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39391 Sandyridge Cir
B+ Composite 75.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

39391 Sandyridge Cir · Mattawan, MI 49071
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Manufactured public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1968 0.67 ac lot Est $95k · 10% under ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable living in the Mattawan School disctrict. This home offers spacaious living with a nice 2 car detatched garage and plenty of room outdoors for kids to play. Call today for your private tour.

Key facts

  • Room outdoors
  • Detached garage
  • 0.67 acre lot

Tags

MATTAWAN SCHOOL DISTRICTDETACHED GARAGEROOM OUTDOORS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Natural gas available; Electricity available
  • Home design: Residential property; Other architectural style; Built in 1968
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Wooded lot; Located on a cul-de-sac; Paved road access; Well water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Replacement windows with window treatments; 6 total rooms; Basement (other)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $605 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 2.5% in Mattawan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#235 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mattawan Consolidated School (suburban): math 51% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #50 of 540 in MI (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 165 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Van Buren County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
14.84%
Cash-on-cash
30.52%
DSCR
2.36
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$94,720
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
37096 22nd St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,147 (-10%) 21mo $85,000 $74 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$24,750
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
32.9%
Equity multiple
3.99×
Total profit
$71,077
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49071

Home prices YoY
-30.6%
Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,406 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $294/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$605

Break-even live

Break-even rent $640
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-30
    status $85,000 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-05-25
    listed $85,000 Active 200-char remark
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    Affordable living in the Mattawan School disctrict. This home offers spacaious living with a nice 2 car detatched garage and plenty of room outdoors for kids to play. Call today for your private tour.

  3. 2026-05-25
    listed $85,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    Affordable living in the Mattawan School disctrict. This home offers spacaious living with a nice 2 car detatched garage and plenty of room outdoors for kids to play. Call today for your private tour.

  4. 2026-05-25
    listed $85,000 Active 200-char remark
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    Affordable living in the Mattawan School disctrict. This home offers spacaious living with a nice 2 car detatched garage and plenty of room outdoors for kids to play. Call today for your private tour.

  5. 2022-08-26
    soldstatus $85,000
  6. 2022-08-19
    soldstatus $85,000 Sold
  7. 2022-08-19
    soldstatus $85,000 Sold
  8. 2022-08-05
    status Pending
  9. 2022-08-05
    status Pending
  10. 2022-08-01
    price $89,900
  11. 2022-08-01
    price $89,900
  12. 2022-07-22
    listed $99,500 Active
  13. 2022-07-22
    listed $99,500 Active
  14. 2022-07-22
    listed $89,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$294 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$802 · $67/mo
Expected delta
+$507/yr (+$42/mo · 172.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,876
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$294
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,350
− Management
−$1,350
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$6,223
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,493
After-tax cash flow
$5,770/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mattawan Consolidated School
NCES district ID
2623250
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$76,525
Composite
50.67/100
National rank
#1825
State rank
#50 of 540 in MI

Livability — Mattawan

Score
72/100
State rank
#235
US rank
#5936

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
11,839
Population (ZIP)
11,839

Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,479 people
By 2030
68,693 · -3.9%
By 2040
62,093 · -13.1%
By 2050
55,232 · -22.7%
By 2075
40,786 · -42.9%
By 2100
27,785 · -61.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 8% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren

2024 margin
R (+15.1) · D 41.7% · R 56.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.9pp toward R · 2008: 8.8pp · 2024: -15.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.1 2020: R+12.3 2016: R+13.9 2012: D+0.5 2008: D+8.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.32%
Current HPI
230.0572
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.6% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $85,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-19 Sold (MLS) $85,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-08-19 Sold (MLS) $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-05 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-05 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-08-01 Price Changed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-01 Price Changed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-07-22 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-07-22 Listed $99,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-07-22 Listed $99,500 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $294 · -69.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…