39391 Sandyridge Cir · Mattawan, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable living in the Mattawan School disctrict. This home offers spacaious living with a nice 2 car detatched garage and plenty of room outdoors for kids to play. Call today for your private tour.
Key facts
- Room outdoors
- Detached garage
- 0.67 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Natural gas available; Electricity available
- Home design: Residential property; Other architectural style; Built in 1968
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Wooded lot; Located on a cul-de-sac; Paved road access; Well water
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Replacement windows with window treatments; 6 total rooms; Basement (other)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $605 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 2.5% in Mattawan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#235 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Mattawan Consolidated School (suburban): math 51% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #50 of 540 in MI (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 165 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Van Buren County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.52%
- DSCR
- 2.36
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $94,720
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37096 22nd St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,147 (-10%) | 21mo | $85,000 | $74 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $24,750
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.99×
- Total profit
- $71,077
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49071
- Home prices YoY
- -30.6%
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,406 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $294/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $605
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-30status $85,000 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-05-25$85,000 Active 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Affordable living in the Mattawan School disctrict. This home offers spacaious living with a nice 2 car detatched garage and plenty of room outdoors for kids to play. Call today for your private tour.
-
2026-05-25$85,000 Active
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Affordable living in the Mattawan School disctrict. This home offers spacaious living with a nice 2 car detatched garage and plenty of room outdoors for kids to play. Call today for your private tour.
-
2026-05-25$85,000 Active 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Affordable living in the Mattawan School disctrict. This home offers spacaious living with a nice 2 car detatched garage and plenty of room outdoors for kids to play. Call today for your private tour.
-
2022-08-26soldstatus $85,000
-
2022-08-19soldstatus $85,000 Sold
-
2022-08-19soldstatus $85,000 Sold
-
2022-08-05status Pending
-
2022-08-05status Pending
-
2022-08-01price $89,900
-
2022-08-01price $89,900
-
2022-07-22$99,500 Active
-
2022-07-22$99,500 Active
-
2022-07-22$89,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $294 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $802 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- +$507/yr (+$42/mo · 172.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,876
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$294
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,350
- − Management
- −$1,350
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $6,223
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,493
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,770/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mattawan Consolidated School
- NCES district ID
- 2623250
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,525
- Composite
- 50.67/100
- National rank
- #1825
- State rank
- #50 of 540 in MI
Livability — Mattawan
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #235
- US rank
- #5936
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 11,839
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,839
Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,479 people
- By 2030
- 68,693 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 62,093 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 55,232 · -22.7%
- By 2075
- 40,786 · -42.9%
- By 2100
- 27,785 · -61.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 8% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.1) · D 41.7% · R 56.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.9pp toward R · 2008: 8.8pp · 2024: -15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.1 2020: R+12.3 2016: R+13.9 2012: D+0.5 2008: D+8.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.32%
- Current HPI
- 230.0572
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-14.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-25 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-25 Listed $85,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-19 Sold (MLS) $85,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-08-19 Sold (MLS) $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-08-05 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-08-05 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-08-01 Price Changed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-08-01 Price Changed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-07-22 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-07-22 Listed $99,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-07-22 Listed $99,500 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $294 · -69.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…