4475 Merrigold Way · South Fulton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- Cash flow +8.9/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$385,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Prime corner-lot home ideally located at the front of the neighborhood, directly across from community amenities including the pool, clubhouse, mailboxes, tennis courts, and toddler playground. This home sits on one of the larger lots in the community and offers added privacy and space rarely available. An original $5,000 unadjusted lot premium was paid at purchase for this desirable placement. The property presents a great opportunity for buyers to personalize with new carpet and fresh paint. Appliances are included as-is, allowing flexibility for buyer upgrades. Exceptional location, strong lot value, and unbeatable access to neighborhood amenities make this home a standout opportunity.
Key facts
- Toddler playground
- Corner-lot home
- Clubhouse
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $385k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-309 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $330k (14.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $297k (22.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $297k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 531 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($350k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.44%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $421,745
- List price
- $385,000
- Delta
- -8.71%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4390 Oakhurst Dr | 0.09mi | 4/3.5 | 2,340 (-3%) | 17mo | $437,000 | $187 | 73 |
| 364 Mossycup Dr | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 | 2,698 (+12%) | 10mo | $390,000 | $145 | 66 |
| 4207 Fortune Pt | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 | 2,307 (-4%) | 12mo | $337,000 | $146 | 58 |
| 7120 Jumpers Trl | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 | 2,554 (+6%) | 2mo | $364,900 | $143 | 55 |
| 6808 Foxfire Pl | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,262 (-6%) | 13mo | $320,000 | $141 | 53 |
| 7475 Jennadee Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,278 (-6%) | 15mo | $355,000 | $156 | 50 |
| 7438 Jennadee Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,254 (-7%) | 15mo | $391,000 | $173 | 49 |
| 1050 Athena Bnd | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 | 2,340 (-3%) | 21mo | $421,990 | $180 | 49 |
| 383 Berkshire Pl | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 2,674 (+11%) | 5mo | $325,000 | $122 | 45 |
| 840 Athena Bnd | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 | 2,340 (-3%) | 21mo | $419,490 | $179 | 44 |
| 4409 Challedon Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 | 2,772 (+15%) | 19mo | $400,000 | $144 | 27 |
| 7625 Demeter Dr | 0.59mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,711 (+12%) | 21mo | $411,490 | $152 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-83,426
- Equity at exit
- $57,405
- IRR
- -18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-103,505
- Equity at exit
- $33,288
Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30213
- Home prices YoY
- -17.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 531
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,975 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,019
- Tax from tax record
- −$427 /mo · $5,119/yr
- Insurance
- −$160
- HOA
- −$53
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$625
- Net cashflow
- $-309
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $96,250
- Closing costs
- $11,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1124 Sly Fox Run Fairburn, GA | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3064 | $3,750 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4377 Montberry Ln Fairburn, GA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2896 | $3,200 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 7571 Deerridge Way Fairburn, GA | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3136 | $3,049 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 6876 Foxfire Pl Atlanta, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2990 | $2,700 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 965 Athena Bnd Fairburn, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3104 | $3,100 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 300 Pennant Ln Fairburn, GA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2948 | $2,900 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6802 Fireside Ln Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2664 | $2,525 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4551 Derby Loop Fairburn, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2152 | $2,099 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 420 Tarpan Ct Fairburn, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2776 | $2,760 | $0.99 | 5d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4341 Estate St Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1885 | $2,400 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4274 Sir Dixon Dr Fairburn, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2860 | $2,855 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 625 Blueangel Dr Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2514 | $2,670 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 864 Bentley Dr Fairburn, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1989 | $2,409 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5148 Estonian Dr Fairburn, GA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2776 | $2,799 | $1.01 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5055 Southwood Rd Fairburn, GA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1692 | $2,733 | $1.61 | 1d | 76 | 1.14mi |
| 6469 Snowden Dr Atlanta, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2487 | $2,579 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 6496 Snowden Dr Atlanta, GA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2730 | $2,551 | $0.93 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 7436 Petal Pl Fairburn, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2872 | $2,859 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4780 Butner Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1950 | $2,250 | $1.15 | 19d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5505 Southwood Rd Fairburn, GA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1885 | $2,595 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 5505 Southwood Rd Fairburn, GA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1885 | $2,595 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $53 · $636/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $385,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $385,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $385,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $385,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $385,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $385,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-04-18price $385,000 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (697 chars)
Prime corner-lot home ideally located at the front of the neighborhood, directly across from community amenities including the pool, clubhouse, mailboxes, tennis courts, and toddler playground. This home sits on one of the larger lots in the community and offers added privacy and space rarely available. An original $5,000 unadjusted lot premium was paid at purchase for this desirable placement. The property presents a great opportunity for buyers to personalize with new carpet and fresh paint. Appliances are included as-is, allowing flexibility for buyer upgrades. Exceptional location, strong lot value, and unbeatable access to neighborhood amenities make this home a standout opportunity.
-
2026-04-05price $385,000 706-char remark
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
Prime corner-lot home ideally located at the front of the neighborhood, directly across from community amenities including the pool, clubhouse, mailboxes, tennis courts, and toddler playground. This home sits on one of the larger lots in the community and offers added privacy and space rarely available. An original $5,000 unadjusted lot premium was paid at purchase for this desirable placement. The property presents a great opportunity for buyers to personalize with new carpet and fresh paint. Appliances are included as-is, allowing flexibility for buyer upgrades. Exceptional location, strong lot value, and unbeatable access to neighborhood amenities make this home a standout opportunity.
-
2026-03-16price $395,000 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
Prime corner-lot home ideally located at the front of the neighborhood, directly across from community amenities including the pool, clubhouse, mailboxes, tennis courts, and toddler playground. This home sits on one of the larger lots in the community and offers added privacy and space rarely available. An original $5,000 unadjusted lot premium was paid at purchase for this desirable placement. The property presents a great opportunity for buyers to personalize with new carpet and fresh paint. Appliances are included as-is, allowing flexibility for buyer upgrades. Exceptional location, strong lot value, and unbeatable access to neighborhood amenities make this home a standout opportunity.
-
2026-03-16price $395,000 706-char remark
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
Prime corner-lot home ideally located at the front of the neighborhood, directly across from community amenities including the pool, clubhouse, mailboxes, tennis courts, and toddler playground. This home sits on one of the larger lots in the community and offers added privacy and space rarely available. An original $5,000 unadjusted lot premium was paid at purchase for this desirable placement. The property presents a great opportunity for buyers to personalize with new carpet and fresh paint. Appliances are included as-is, allowing flexibility for buyer upgrades. Exceptional location, strong lot value, and unbeatable access to neighborhood amenities make this home a standout opportunity.
-
2026-03-08$405,000 Active 697-char remark
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
Prime corner-lot home ideally located at the front of the neighborhood, directly across from community amenities including the pool, clubhouse, mailboxes, tennis courts, and toddler playground. This home sits on one of the larger lots in the community and offers added privacy and space rarely available. An original $5,000 unadjusted lot premium was paid at purchase for this desirable placement. The property presents a great opportunity for buyers to personalize with new carpet and fresh paint. Appliances are included as-is, allowing flexibility for buyer upgrades. Exceptional location, strong lot value, and unbeatable access to neighborhood amenities make this home a standout opportunity.
-
2026-03-08$405,000 New 706-char remark
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
Prime corner-lot home ideally located at the front of the neighborhood, directly across from community amenities including the pool, clubhouse, mailboxes, tennis courts, and toddler playground. This home sits on one of the larger lots in the community and offers added privacy and space rarely available. An original $5,000 unadjusted lot premium was paid at purchase for this desirable placement. The property presents a great opportunity for buyers to personalize with new carpet and fresh paint. Appliances are included as-is, allowing flexibility for buyer upgrades. Exceptional location, strong lot value, and unbeatable access to neighborhood amenities make this home a standout opportunity.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,119 · $427/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,119 · $427/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,566
- − Property taxes
- −$5,119
- − Insurance
- −$1,925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,856
- − Management
- −$2,856
- − HOA
- −$636
- − Depreciation
- −$11,200
- Taxable loss
- −$10,462
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,511
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,198/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton County
- NCES district ID
- 1302280
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,035
- Composite
- 45.33/100
- National rank
- #2640
- State rank
- #12 of 174 in GA
Livability — South Fulton
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Fulton, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 127,674
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,621
- Household income
- $94,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1025.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Arab 1% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.66%
- Current HPI
- 235.9372
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.53%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-4.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $385,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-05 Price Changed $385,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $395,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $395,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-08 Listed $405,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-08 Listed $405,000 FMLS
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,119 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…