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15687 Palm Dr #73
B+ Composite 77.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,900

15687 Palm Dr #73 · Desert Hot Springs, CA 92240
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · Manufactured · 34 Days on market
Built 1979 Good condition 2,500 sqft lot Est $129k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Completely renovated and move-in ready! This beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home located in all age Palm Drive Mobile Home Estates, offers approximately 1,040 sq. ft. of stylish living space with modern upgrades throughout. Features include granite countertops, stunning marble walk-in showers with glass enclosures, drywalled interior, central air conditioning, updated vinyl windows, fresh interior paint, and brand-new waterproof vinyl wood flooring. Enjoy community amenities including a pool, hot tub, clubhouse, dog park, playground, and basketball courts. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and local attractions, this home offers comfort, style, and affordability all

Key facts

  • Drywalled interior
  • Granite countertops
  • 2,500 sq ft lot

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSMARBLE WALK-IN SHOWERSDRYWALLED INTERIORCENTRAL AIR CONDITIONINGUPDATED VINYL WINDOWSWATERPROOF VINYL WOOD FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Park type: Family (Palm Drive Mobile Estates); Park manager: Betty Villanueva (760-251-2205); Mobile home will remain; Lot/land held in fee simple
  • Financial info: Monthly space rent: $744.00; Rental restrictions apply; Manager approval required for park residency; Listing terms: Cash or cash to new loan
  • HOA & community: No monthly association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; 2 total parking spaces (2 covered)
  • Security: Community security; Resident manager; Security patrol
  • Utilities: Sewer: Unknown; PUD: No
  • Home design: Detached double-wide mobile home; Single-story (one level); Year built recorded by builder
  • Construction: Aluminum skirting; Manufactured by Jefferson; Manufacture date: 01/01/1973; Double-wide mobile home, approximately 20 ft wide and 52 ft long
  • Exterior features: Rectangular lot on a public street; Community security and resident manager; Security patrol included with space rent

Interior

  • Flooring: Mixed flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Dining area; Family room; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $967 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 4.0% in Desert Hot Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,149 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 515 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,297/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 2095% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,753 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.19%
Cap rate
18.76%
Cash-on-cash
44.52%
DSCR
2.98
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$128,960
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15225 Palm Dr #8 0.34mi 2/2.0 1,040 (0%) 21mo $63,000 $61 66
14881 Palm Dr Unit D-08 0.46mi 2/2.0 1,050 (+1%) 17mo $42,500 $40 63
15687 Palm Drive #36 0.05mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,112 (+7%) 23mo $140,000 $126 62
14777 Palm #35 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,000 (-4%) 2mo $90,000 $90 61
14777 Palm Dr #146 0.65mi 2/2.0 1,070 (+3%) 8mo $122,000 $114 58
14777 Palm Dr #95 0.57mi 2/1.0 960 (-8%) 0mo $91,000 $95 56
15300 Palm Dr #258 0.25mi 2/2.0 1,178 (+13%) 12mo $222,000 $188 56
15300 Palm Dr #42 0.47mi 2/2.0 1,178 (+13%) 2mo $230,000 $195 55
14777 Palm Dr #30 0.65mi 2/2.0 1,000 (-4%) 16mo $140,000 $140 50
15750 Via Montana 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+2%) 22mo $335,000 $317 48
14777 Palm Dr #77 0.57mi 2/2.0 1,130 (+9%) 14mo $140,000 $124 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.7%
Equity multiple
2.57×
Total profit
$46,255
Equity at exit
$15,641
10-year hold
IRR
43.7%
Equity multiple
5.30×
Total profit
$126,439
Equity at exit
$9,070

Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92240

Home prices YoY
-19.6%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
515
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,297 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$550
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,574/yr
Insurance
$44
Flood insurance flood zone
−$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$482
Net cashflow
$967

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,072
Max offer price $104,900
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,040 -5% $1,004 +0% $967 +5% $931 +10% $895
Rent -10% $786 -5% $877 +0% $967 +5% $1,058 +10% $1,149
Rate -1.0pp $1,020 -0.5pp $994 base $967 +0.5pp $940 +1.0pp $912

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,225
Closing costs
$3,147
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15300 Palm Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1458 $2,800 $1.92 44d 1 0.37mi
13987 El Cajon Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1215 $2,600 $2.14 8d 1 0.97mi
13950 West Dr Unit B Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1008 $1,600 $1.59 2d 1 1.03mi
15490 Avenue Rambla Unit NA Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1088 $2,600 $2.39 24d 1 1.10mi
15490 Avenida Rambla Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1088 $2,600 $2.39 44d 1 1.10mi
13895 Luis Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 1.0 814 $1,800 $2.21 44d 1 1.15mi
66590 Joseph Way Unit B Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 1.0 785 $2,295 $2.92 24d 1 1.19mi
13715 El Rio Ln Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1318 $2,600 $1.97 8d 1 1.23mi
13405 Ocotillo Rd Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 1.0 864 $1,750 $2.03 2d 1 1.29mi
13322 El Rio Ln Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1215 $2,750 $2.26 44d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $104,900 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $104,900 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $104,900 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $104,900 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $104,900 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $104,900 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $104,900 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $104,900 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $104,900 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $104,900 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $104,900 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $104,900 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $104,900 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $104,900 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    listed $104,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AO · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,563
− Mortgage interest
−$5,876
− Property taxes
−$1,574
− Insurance
−$1,992
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,205
− Management
−$2,205
− Depreciation
−$3,052
Taxable income
$10,659
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,558
After-tax cash flow
$9,049/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos

Good 85/100 Cosmetic rehab

This completely renovated and move-in ready mobile home offers modern upgrades throughout, including granite countertops and marble walk-in showers, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Landscaping — Improves curb appeal
  • Both Addition of outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Landscaping — Improves curb appeal
  • Both Addition of outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Desert Hot Springs

Score
49/100
State rank
#1149
US rank
#25774

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime D+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Desert Hot Springs, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
41,615
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
41,615
Household income
$54,023
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
2095.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 27% White 23% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 53%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 50% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.10%
Current HPI
418.4691
Rent YoY
▲ 3.66%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $104,900 GPSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…