3305 Florence · Kilgore, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* NEW PRICE * Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,302 square feet in Kilgore ISD! This inviting home features original hardwood floors that add timeless character and warmth throughout. The spacious living area flows easily into the dining space, creating a comfortable layout for everyday living or entertaining. Both bedrooms are generously sized with great natural light, and the home offers plenty of charm while still leaving room for your personal touch. Outside, you’ll find a yard perfect for relaxing, gardening, or gatherings. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment opportunity, this home is full of potential and classic appeal in a convenient location.
Key facts
- Yard for gardening
- Great natural light
- Spacious living area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.2% in Kilgore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#257 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Kilgore ISD (town): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #498 of 826 in TX (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kilgore Pri (664 students, 82% FRL); Kilgore Middle (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 885 students, 75% FRL); Kilgore H S (math 39% / reading 45%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 1,164 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 55% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Rusk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rusk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.90%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $162,000
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -25.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404 Beckley | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 1,206 (-7%) | 1mo | $162,000 | $134 | 82 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-5,508
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $35,908
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75662
- Home prices YoY
- -16.9%
- Rents YoY
- 8.9%
- Active inventory
- 289
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,307 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$244 /mo · $2,928/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $109
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $177 | -5% $143 | +0% $109 | +5% $75 | +10% $41 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $6 | -5% $58 | +0% $109 | +5% $161 | +10% $212 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $170 | -0.5pp $140 | base $109 | +0.5pp $78 | +1.0pp $46 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 633 Harris St Kilgore, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 620 Riverside Dr Kilgore, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1376 | $1,495 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-12price $120,000 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
* NEW PRICE * Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,302 square feet in Kilgore ISD! This inviting home features original hardwood floors that add timeless character and warmth throughout. The spacious living area flows easily into the dining space, creating a comfortable layout for everyday living or entertaining. Both bedrooms are generously sized with great natural light, and the home offers plenty of charm while still leaving room for your personal touch. Outside, you’ll find a yard perfect for relaxing, gardening, or gatherings. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment opportunity, this home is full of potential and classic appeal in a convenient location.
-
2026-05-12price $120,000 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
* NEW PRICE * Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,302 square feet in Kilgore ISD! This inviting home features original hardwood floors that add timeless character and warmth throughout. The spacious living area flows easily into the dining space, creating a comfortable layout for everyday living or entertaining. Both bedrooms are generously sized with great natural light, and the home offers plenty of charm while still leaving room for your personal touch. Outside, you’ll find a yard perfect for relaxing, gardening, or gatherings. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment opportunity, this home is full of potential and classic appeal in a convenient location.
-
2026-03-27$130,000 Active 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
* NEW PRICE * Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,302 square feet in Kilgore ISD! This inviting home features original hardwood floors that add timeless character and warmth throughout. The spacious living area flows easily into the dining space, creating a comfortable layout for everyday living or entertaining. Both bedrooms are generously sized with great natural light, and the home offers plenty of charm while still leaving room for your personal touch. Outside, you’ll find a yard perfect for relaxing, gardening, or gatherings. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment opportunity, this home is full of potential and classic appeal in a convenient location.
-
2026-03-25status Active 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
* NEW PRICE * Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,302 square feet in Kilgore ISD! This inviting home features original hardwood floors that add timeless character and warmth throughout. The spacious living area flows easily into the dining space, creating a comfortable layout for everyday living or entertaining. Both bedrooms are generously sized with great natural light, and the home offers plenty of charm while still leaving room for your personal touch. Outside, you’ll find a yard perfect for relaxing, gardening, or gatherings. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment opportunity, this home is full of potential and classic appeal in a convenient location.
-
2026-03-03status Pending 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
* NEW PRICE * Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,302 square feet in Kilgore ISD! This inviting home features original hardwood floors that add timeless character and warmth throughout. The spacious living area flows easily into the dining space, creating a comfortable layout for everyday living or entertaining. Both bedrooms are generously sized with great natural light, and the home offers plenty of charm while still leaving room for your personal touch. Outside, you’ll find a yard perfect for relaxing, gardening, or gatherings. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment opportunity, this home is full of potential and classic appeal in a convenient location.
-
2026-02-27$130,000 Active 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
* NEW PRICE * Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,302 square feet in Kilgore ISD! This inviting home features original hardwood floors that add timeless character and warmth throughout. The spacious living area flows easily into the dining space, creating a comfortable layout for everyday living or entertaining. Both bedrooms are generously sized with great natural light, and the home offers plenty of charm while still leaving room for your personal touch. Outside, you’ll find a yard perfect for relaxing, gardening, or gatherings. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment opportunity, this home is full of potential and classic appeal in a convenient location.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,928 · $244/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,928 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,683
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$2,928
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,255
- − Management
- −$1,255
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$567
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$136
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,446/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kilgore ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825620
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,682
- Composite
- 30.72/100
- National rank
- #6168
- State rank
- #498 of 826 in TX
Livability — Kilgore
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #257
- US rank
- #6044
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kilgore, TX
- County
- Gregg County · 128,826 people
- City population
- 25,034
- Metro
- Longview, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,034
- Household income
- $70,096
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 486.0
Population outlook (Rusk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 52,498 people
- By 2030
- 52,093 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 50,866 · -3.1%
- By 2050
- 49,696 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 48,583 · -7.5%
- By 2100
- 43,265 · -17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 22% Black 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 18%
Political lean MEDSL · Rusk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.4) · D 20.0% · R 79.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.2pp toward R · 2008: -46.3pp · 2024: -59.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.4 2020: R+55.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+51.1 2008: R+46.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.09%
- Current HPI
- 247.1337
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.89%
- Metro
- Longview, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-7.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $120,000 GTAR
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $120,000 LAAR
- 2026-03-27 Listed $130,000 GTAR
- 2026-03-25 Relisted — LAAR
- 2026-03-03 Pending — LAAR
- 2026-02-27 Listed $130,000 LAAR
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,928 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…