816 N Gettysburg Ave · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover a charming Dayton residence brimming with potential, ideal for those seeking to downsize or expand their investment portfolio. This delightful single-story home welcomes you with an enclosed porch at both the front and rear, offering versatile spaces for relaxation or enjoying the outdoors in comfort. Inside, an abundance of windows bathes the living areas in natural light, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere throughout the 768 square feet of living space. The interior features a dedicated living room and a separate dining room, perfect for intimate gatherings and quiet meals. A unique and adorable bathroom awaits, showcasing a shower surround with distinctive tulip flower molding, adding a touch of whimsical elegance. Situated on a generous 0.13-acre lot, the property provides ample outdoor space, and while it doesn't currently include a garage, there is considerable room to build one to suit your needs. The convenient driveway offers the added benefit of a drive-through option to the alley, enhancing accessibility. With a few little touch-ups, this property can present a wonderful opportunity to embrace comfortable living in a well-established neighborhood, combining practical features with an inviting ambiance.
Key facts
- Unique bathroom
- Generous lot
- Separate dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($980 rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $480 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $69k implies a 382% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.81%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,452
- List price
- $69,400
- Delta
- -1.49%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 524 Crestmore Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 786 (+2%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $95 | 76 |
| 752 Cleverly Rd | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 788 (+3%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $146 | 74 |
| 759 Geneva Rd | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 735 (-4%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $136 | 71 |
| 38 N Hatfield St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (0%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $78 | 69 |
| 936 Walton Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (+3%) | 5mo | $60,000 | $76 | 58 |
| 848 N Upland Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 846 (+10%) | 3mo | $52,000 | $61 | 57 |
| 720 Geneva Rd | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 | 848 (+10%) | 9mo | $149,600 | $176 | 55 |
| 361 Roxbury Rd | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+12%) | 7mo | $120,000 | $139 | 54 |
| 938 Leland Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 844 (+10%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $47 | 52 |
| 548 Huron Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 830 (+8%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $90 | 52 |
| 320 Huron Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+9%) | 8mo | $52,000 | $62 | 51 |
| 550 Brooklyn Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+12%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $93 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $12,279
- Equity at exit
- $10,348
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.26×
- Total profit
- $43,993
- Equity at exit
- $6,000
Cash invested: $19,432 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45417
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $980 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$364
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $336/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $353
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $392 | -5% $373 | +0% $353 | +5% $333 | +10% $314 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $276 | -5% $314 | +0% $353 | +5% $392 | +10% $431 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $388 | -0.5pp $371 | base $353 | +0.5pp $335 | +1.0pp $317 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,350
- Closing costs
- $2,082
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3627 Delphos Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $625 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3925 Hoover Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4109 Midway Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 729 Cleverly Rd Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 626 | $950 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 863 N Upland Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 828 Walton Ave Unit 832 Walton Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 137 Westwood Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $900 | $1.15 | 3d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 920 Huron Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1816 N James H McGee Blvd Unit C Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt A Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt B Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 70 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4625 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 322 Lorenz Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 634 | $850 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 635 Anna St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4576 Live Oak Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3222 Athens Ave Unit C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $700 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 725 Maplehurst Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 41 N Marion St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $925 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 500 Bowie Dr Unit 122 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $910 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3220 Princeton Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1498 Elaine St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,025 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1595 Elaine St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1427 Stuben Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $900 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 126 Bluecrest Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,000 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3552 Stanford Pl Unit 3552 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3552 Stanford Pl Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2525 Lakeview Ave Unit 9 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $700 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2525 Lakeview Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2525 Lakeview Ave Unit 5 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5336 Rockport Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,025 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1903 W Grand Ave Unit 4 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3007 Cornell Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,000 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1732 Harold Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $925 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,400 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,400 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,400 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,400 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,400 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,400 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,400 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,400 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,400 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $69,400 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-03-22$69,900 Active 1248-char remark
Show marketing remark (1248 chars)
Discover a charming Dayton residence brimming with potential, ideal for those seeking to downsize or expand their investment portfolio. This delightful single-story home welcomes you with an enclosed porch at both the front and rear, offering versatile spaces for relaxation or enjoying the outdoors in comfort. Inside, an abundance of windows bathes the living areas in natural light, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere throughout the 768 square feet of living space. The interior features a dedicated living room and a separate dining room, perfect for intimate gatherings and quiet meals. A unique and adorable bathroom awaits, showcasing a shower surround with distinctive tulip flower molding, adding a touch of whimsical elegance. Situated on a generous 0.13-acre lot, the property provides ample outdoor space, and while it doesn't currently include a garage, there is considerable room to build one to suit your needs. The convenient driveway offers the added benefit of a drive-through option to the alley, enhancing accessibility. With a few little touch-ups, this property can present a wonderful opportunity to embrace comfortable living in a well-established neighborhood, combining practical features with an inviting ambiance.
-
1993-02-16soldstatus $14,400
-
1980-10-20soldstatus $15,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $336 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $709 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$373/yr (+$31/mo · 111.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,756
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,887
- − Property taxes
- −$336
- − Insurance
- −$347
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$940
- − Management
- −$940
- − Depreciation
- −$2,019
- Taxable income
- $3,286
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$789
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,449/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,186
- Household income
- $36,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1822.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.43%
- Current HPI
- 193.4175
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.06%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+351.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-22 Listed $69,900 Dayton MLS
- 1993-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $14,400 Public Records
- 1980-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $15,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $336 · +33466.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…