612 Cross Lanes Dr · Cross Lanes, WV
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CENTRALLY LOCATED 4 BEDROOM 2 FULL BATH HOME WITH DOUBLE CAR GARAGE. CLOSE TO ALL AMENITIES. THIS HOME NEEDS TLC BUT HAS LOTS OF POTENTIAL.
Key facts
- 0.38 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1956
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.38 acres (dimensions: 140 x 141 x 151 x 175)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Ranch-style residential home; Single-story
- Construction: Stone and vinyl siding exterior; Composition/shingle roof; No basement (listed as none) with sump pump
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 9 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Sump pump in basement
- Laundry & utility: Sump pump (basement)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 4.8% in Cross Lanes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#90 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cross Lanes Elementary School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #87 of 377 statewide, top 28%, 309 students, 0% FRL); Andrew Jackson Middle School (math 23% / reading 41%, grade F, #46 of 109 statewide, top 46%, 512 students, 0% FRL); Nitro High School (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #21 of 110 statewide, top 26%, 827 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.34%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $133,724
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Cobble Ln | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,320 (-0%) | 5mo | $260,000 | $197 | 55 |
| 115 Valley Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,236 (-7%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $101 | 55 |
| 5 Hambrick Rd | 0.48mi | 4/1.5 | 1,231 (-7%) | 12mo | $120,000 | $97 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $5,894
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $31,486
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25143
- Home prices YoY
- -19.2%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,285 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $818/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $318
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $368 | -5% $343 | +0% $318 | +5% $293 | +10% $268 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $216 | -5% $267 | +0% $318 | +5% $369 | +10% $419 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $363 | -0.5pp $341 | base $318 | +0.5pp $295 | +1.0pp $271 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending
-
2026-05-11status Active
-
2026-03-27status Pending
-
2026-01-20$89,000 Active
-
2023-08-18historical $1,220
-
2023-08-06$1,220
-
2022-07-29price $1,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $818 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $818 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,419
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$818
- − Insurance
- −$1,948
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,233
- − Management
- −$1,233
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $2,612
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$627
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,188/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kanawha County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400600
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,329
- Composite
- 29.35/100
- National rank
- #6540
- State rank
- #17 of 55 in WV
Livability — Cross Lanes
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #10503
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cross Lanes, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,185
Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,946 people
- By 2030
- 172,906 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 159,874 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 148,148 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 123,257 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 96,454 · -46.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.75%
- Current HPI
- 205.6038
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+8800.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — KVBOR
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — KVBOR
- 2026-03-27 Pending — KVBOR
- 2026-01-20 Listed $89,000 KVBOR
- 2023-08-18 Rental Removed $1,220 BUILDIUM
- 2023-08-06 Listed for Rent $1,220 BUILDIUM
- 2022-07-29 Price Changed $1,000 BUILDIUM
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $818 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…