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612 Cross Lanes Dr
B+ Composite 75.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

612 Cross Lanes Dr · Cross Lanes, WV 25143
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,324 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1956 0.38 ac lot Est $134k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

CENTRALLY LOCATED 4 BEDROOM 2 FULL BATH HOME WITH DOUBLE CAR GARAGE. CLOSE TO ALL AMENITIES. THIS HOME NEEDS TLC BUT HAS LOTS OF POTENTIAL.

Key facts

  • 0.38 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1956

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.38 acres (dimensions: 140 x 141 x 151 x 175)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Ranch-style residential home; Single-story
  • Construction: Stone and vinyl siding exterior; Composition/shingle roof; No basement (listed as none) with sump pump
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 9 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Sump pump in basement
  • Laundry & utility: Sump pump (basement)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 4.8% in Cross Lanes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#90 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Cross Lanes Elementary School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #87 of 377 statewide, top 28%, 309 students, 0% FRL); Andrew Jackson Middle School (math 23% / reading 41%, grade F, #46 of 109 statewide, top 46%, 512 students, 0% FRL); Nitro High School (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #21 of 110 statewide, top 26%, 827 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,660 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
12.27%
Cash-on-cash
21.34%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,724
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
108 Cobble Ln 0.71mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,320 (-0%) 5mo $260,000 $197 55
115 Valley Dr 0.42mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,236 (-7%) 7mo $125,000 $101 55
5 Hambrick Rd 0.48mi 4/1.5 1,231 (-7%) 12mo $120,000 $97 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$5,894
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$31,486
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25143

Home prices YoY
-19.2%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,285 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $818/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$318

Break-even live

Break-even rent $882
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $368 -5% $343 +0% $318 +5% $293 +10% $268
Rent -10% $216 -5% $267 +0% $318 +5% $369 +10% $419
Rate -1.0pp $363 -0.5pp $341 base $318 +0.5pp $295 +1.0pp $271

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-11
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-27
    status Pending
  4. 2026-01-20
    listed $89,000 Active
  5. 2023-08-18
    historical $1,220
  6. 2023-08-06
    listed $1,220
  7. 2022-07-29
    price $1,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$818 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$818 · $68/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,419
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$818
− Insurance
−$1,948
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,233
− Management
−$1,233
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$2,612
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$627
After-tax cash flow
$3,188/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kanawha County Schools
NCES district ID
5400600
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,329
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6540
State rank
#17 of 55 in WV

Livability — Cross Lanes

Score
67/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#10503

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cross Lanes, WV
Population (ZIP)
9,185

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,946 people
By 2030
172,906 · -3.4%
By 2040
159,874 · -10.7%
By 2050
148,148 · -17.2%
By 2075
123,257 · -31.1%
By 2100
96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

2024 margin
R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.75%
Current HPI
205.6038
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+8800.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending KVBOR
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted KVBOR
  • 2026-03-27 Pending KVBOR
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $89,000 KVBOR
  • 2023-08-18 Rental Removed $1,220 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-08-06 Listed for Rent $1,220 BUILDIUM
  • 2022-07-29 Price Changed $1,000 BUILDIUM

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $818 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…