🌊 Lakefront
1900 University Blvd Unit 4008 · Brownsville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a balcony that encourages relaxing evening sunset viewing. Close proximity to Space X. Walking distance to UTRGV, TSC, & downtown Brownsville. Water, electricity, trash, access to common areas including a pool, and on-site laundry are all included with the monthly rent. Perfect for Space X employees, University students, staff, or if you are looking to enjoy the beautiful and growing Downtown Brownsville.
Key facts
- Balcony
- Pool
- Pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.0% in Brownsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#62 in TX, #2,311 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime D-.
- Brownsville ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #710 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.4%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 86% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.73%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $62,876
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- 67.00%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1537 E Harrison St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+5%) | 8mo | $149,000 | $172 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $2,913
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $48,760
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78520
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Rents YoY
- 11.4%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,189 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $214
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1900 W University Blvd #3012 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,000 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1900 W University Blvd Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 801 International Blvd Ste B Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $950 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1234 E Jackson St Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $800 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 913 E Jefferson St Unit D Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 634 E 6th St Apt 2 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $1,000 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 305 Calle Amistosa Unit L502 Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 753 | $1,300 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 424 E Levee St Unit 1 & 4 Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 424 E Levee St Unit 7 Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 351 E Saint Charles St Brownsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $650 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 219 E 3rd St Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 221 E 3rd St Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,325 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 230 W Jefferson St Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $795 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1800 Palm Blvd Unit 101 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $1,050 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $105,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $112,900 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $112,900 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $112,900 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $112,900 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $112,900 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $112,900 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,900 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $112,900 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $112,900 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $112,900 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $112,900 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $112,900 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $112,900 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-04-12price $112,900 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a balcony that encourages relaxing evening sunset viewing. Close proximity to Space X. Walking distance to UTRGV, TSC, & downtown Brownsville. Water, electricity, trash, access to common areas including a pool, and on-site laundry are all included with the monthly rent. Perfect for Space X employees, University students, staff, or if you are looking to enjoy the beautiful and growing Downtown Brownsville.
-
2025-08-05$115,000 Active 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
This spacious unit features 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a balcony that encourages relaxing evening sunset viewing. Close proximity to Space X. Walking distance to UTRGV, TSC, & downtown Brownsville. Water, electricity, trash, access to common areas including a pool, and on-site laundry are all included with the monthly rent. Perfect for Space X employees, University students, staff, or if you are looking to enjoy the beautiful and growing Downtown Brownsville.
-
2025-04-08historical $1,350
-
2025-03-21$1,350
-
2024-09-11historical $1,350
-
2024-07-08price $1,350
-
2024-05-30$1,450
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,272
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,142
- − Management
- −$1,142
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $952
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$228
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,339/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos
This well-maintained apartment unit offers a good balance of functionality and potential for improvement. With minor updates to the kitchen and bathrooms, it can significantly enhance its value for both resale and rental purposes.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Slight wear and tear visible on cabinet doors.
- Minor Kitchen appliances — Appliances appear functional but dated and may need updating.
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Bathroom fixtures are functional but dated and may need updating.
- Minor Kitchen flooring — Tile flooring in kitchen appears to be in good condition but may need cleaning or minor repairs.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the overall appearance and value of the home.
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets can significantly improve the kitchen's functionality and aesthetic appeal.
- Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Upgrading fixtures can make the bathroom more appealing and functional.
- Both Replace kitchen flooring — New flooring can improve the kitchen's appearance and functionality.
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained landscape can enhance curb appeal and attract more potential buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Slight wear and tear visible on cabinet doors. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Kitchen appliances · Appliances appear functional but dated and may need updating. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Bathroom fixtures are functional but dated and may need updating. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Kitchen flooring · Tile flooring in kitchen appears to be in good condition but may need cleaning or minor repairs. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $2,000–12,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the overall appearance and value of the home. ↑
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets can significantly improve the kitchen's functionality and aesthetic appeal. ↑
- Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Upgrading fixtures can make the bathroom more appealing and functional. ↑
- Both Replace kitchen flooring — New flooring can improve the kitchen's appearance and functionality. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained landscape can enhance curb appeal and attract more potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brownsville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811680
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,490
- Composite
- 21.8/100
- National rank
- #8249
- State rank
- #710 of 826 in TX
Livability — Brownsville
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #2311
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brownsville, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- City population
- 212,132
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,740
- Household income
- $50,116
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1800.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 93% Two or more races 44% White 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 88%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 18% English-only · Spanish 82%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.91%
- Current HPI
- 214.4335
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.41%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+7686.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $112,900 RGVMLS
- 2025-08-05 Listed $115,000 RGVMLS
- 2025-04-08 Rental Removed $1,350 RGVMLS
- 2025-03-21 Listed for Rent $1,350 RGVMLS
- 2024-09-11 Rental Removed $1,350 RGVMLS
- 2024-07-08 Price Changed $1,350 RGVMLS
- 2024-05-30 Listed for Rent $1,450 RGVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…