🏗️ New Construction
1011 2nd St · Lawrence, KS
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4-BED NEW CONSTRUCTION WITH OPEN FLOOR PLAN AND MODERN FINISHES! Looking for a brand-new home with space, style, and easy living? This 4-bedroom split-entry offers an open layout filled with natural light, making it easy to enjoy daily life or host friends. The kitchen features granite counters, a center island, pantry, and luxury vinyl floors that flow through the main living areas. The primary suite has a private bath and walk-in closet, while two more bedrooms and a full bath sit nearby on the main level. Main-floor laundry adds everyday convenience. The finished basement gives you even more living space with a comfortable family room, a true 4th bedroom, and another full bath—perfect for guests, hobbies, or movie nights. This home sits in a great location with simple access to shopping, dining, and major routes. A fantastic chance to own a brand-new home at an amazing value. Taxes and room sizes estimated. Seller is a licensed real estate agent in KS & MO.
Key facts
- Pantry
- Open floor plan
- Modern finishes
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-25 ($-304/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $330k).
- Recommended offer: $320k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.7% in Lawrence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#1 in KS, #237 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D-.
- Lawrence (urban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #46 of 169 in KS (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 246 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.26%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $415,200
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1215 W 4th St | 0.32mi | 4/1.5 | 2,016 (-3%) | 7mo | $435,000 | $216 | 68 |
| 415 Illinois St | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,880 (-9%) | 2mo | $284,900 | $152 | 58 |
| 907 W 6th St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 1,853 (-11%) | 10mo | $380,000 | $205 | 45 |
| 627 Maine St | 0.60mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,021 (-3%) | 20mo | $290,000 | $143 | 42 |
| 714 Illinois St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,975 (-5%) | 24mo | $395,000 | $200 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-68,841
- Equity at exit
- $61,908
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-61,804
- Equity at exit
- $35,899
Cash invested: $116,256 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66073
- Home prices YoY
- -8.6%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,600 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,177
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$519 /mo · $6,228/yr
- Insurance
- −$173
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$756
- Net cashflow
- $-25
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $103,800
- Closing costs
- $12,456
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 901 Missouri St Lawrence, KS | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1580 | $3,600 | $2.28 | 7d | 1 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-01-20historical Active Under Contract 986-char remark
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
4-BED NEW CONSTRUCTION WITH OPEN FLOOR PLAN AND MODERN FINISHES! Looking for a brand-new home with space, style, and easy living? This 4-bedroom split-entry offers an open layout filled with natural light, making it easy to enjoy daily life or host friends. The kitchen features granite counters, a center island, pantry, and luxury vinyl floors that flow through the main living areas. The primary suite has a private bath and walk-in closet, while two more bedrooms and a full bath sit nearby on the main level. Main-floor laundry adds everyday convenience. The finished basement gives you even more living space with a comfortable family room, a true 4th bedroom, and another full bath—perfect for guests, hobbies, or movie nights. This home sits in a great location with simple access to shopping, dining, and major routes. A fantastic chance to own a brand-new home at an amazing value. Taxes and room sizes estimated. Seller is a licensed real estate agent in KS & MO.
-
2026-01-12status Pending
-
2025-11-25$329,950 Active 986-char remark
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
4-BED NEW CONSTRUCTION WITH OPEN FLOOR PLAN AND MODERN FINISHES! Looking for a brand-new home with space, style, and easy living? This 4-bedroom split-entry offers an open layout filled with natural light, making it easy to enjoy daily life or host friends. The kitchen features granite counters, a center island, pantry, and luxury vinyl floors that flow through the main living areas. The primary suite has a private bath and walk-in closet, while two more bedrooms and a full bath sit nearby on the main level. Main-floor laundry adds everyday convenience. The finished basement gives you even more living space with a comfortable family room, a true 4th bedroom, and another full bath—perfect for guests, hobbies, or movie nights. This home sits in a great location with simple access to shopping, dining, and major routes. A fantastic chance to own a brand-new home at an amazing value. Taxes and room sizes estimated. Seller is a licensed real estate agent in KS & MO.
-
2025-11-25$329,950 Active
Show marketing remark (986 chars)
4-BED NEW CONSTRUCTION WITH OPEN FLOOR PLAN AND MODERN FINISHES! Looking for a brand-new home with space, style, and easy living? This 4-bedroom split-entry offers an open layout filled with natural light, making it easy to enjoy daily life or host friends. The kitchen features granite counters, a center island, pantry, and luxury vinyl floors that flow through the main living areas. The primary suite has a private bath and walk-in closet, while two more bedrooms and a full bath sit nearby on the main level. Main-floor laundry adds everyday convenience. The finished basement gives you even more living space with a comfortable family room, a true 4th bedroom, and another full bath—perfect for guests, hobbies, or movie nights. This home sits in a great location with simple access to shopping, dining, and major routes. A fantastic chance to own a brand-new home at an amazing value. Taxes and room sizes estimated. Seller is a licensed real estate agent in KS & MO.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,258
- − Property taxes
- −$6,228
- − Insurance
- −$2,076
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,456
- − Management
- −$3,456
- − Depreciation
- −$12,079
- Taxable loss
- −$7,352
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,765
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,460/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawrence
- NCES district ID
- 2008400
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,259
- Composite
- 32.02/100
- National rank
- #5826
- State rank
- #46 of 169 in KS
Livability — Lawrence
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawrence, KS
- City population
- 100,966
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,381
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 136,863 people
- By 2030
- 147,255 · +7.6%
- By 2040
- 167,760 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 190,593 · +39.3%
- By 2075
- 253,850 · +85.5%
- By 2100
- 314,741 · +130.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.0) · D 68.2% · R 30.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: 30.8pp · 2024: 38.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.0 2020: D+39.5 2016: D+32.7 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+30.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.51%
- Current HPI
- 219.277
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-20 Contingent — Lawrence MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-01-12 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-25 Listed $329,950 Lawrence MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-11-25 Listed $329,950 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…