None · Zephyrhills West, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$102,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Zephyr Shores - This two-bedroom, two bath home comes furnished and ready to move into. In the kitchen you have stove-top range, built- in oven, dishwasher, and refrigerator. It has a breakfast nook and a dining room with built in hutch that flows to your living room. Off the living room there is a slider into your glassed-in Florida room for added living space. On the other end of the home, you have the two bedrooms. The master is spacious with two closets and master bath has shower and large walk- in closet. On the outside you have your utility/storage room at the end of carport. In the back of home is another shed for storage with area to do small projects. The HOA is only $410.00 a year which has a clubhouse, community pool, and shuffleboard. Trash pickup is also included in the fee. You own the lot here. No lot rent. You are allowed 1 cat here but no dogs in this section. Check with HOA about comfort animal etc. Call for your appointment to view this property.
Key facts
- Eat-in dining area
- Laundry area
- Formal dining space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total monthly fees $50; total annual fees $600
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly $50; annual $600); Pool included in association amenities; Association fee covers pool and trash; Association approval required; Buyer approval required; Clubhouse; Deed restrictions; Golf carts allowed; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats OK, max pet weight 20 lbs)
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Driveway; Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Faces north; Entry level: One
- Construction: Metal roof; Other construction materials; Crawlspace foundation; Building area about 2,030 sq ft (living area 1,152 sq ft)
- Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Private mailbox; Shed(s); Paved road access; Lot approximately 52 x 117 (0.12 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven; Dishwasher; Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; Florida room; Formal dining room (separate)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $103k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $838 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $103k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 7.8% in Zephyrhills West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#772 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: New River Elementary School (math 36% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,560 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 721 students, 57% FRL); Zephyrhills High School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,656 students, 70% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 856 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $711 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.91%
- DSCR
- 2.55
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $148,608
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35148 Ada Ave | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (0%) | 2mo | $89,900 | $78 | 89 |
| 4655 Madison Ave | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 984 (-15%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $137 | 72 |
| 34915 Adam Ave | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-12%) | 1mo | $123,000 | $122 | 66 |
| 35122 Mcculloughs Leap | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-1%) | 0mo | $161,000 | $141 | 65 |
| 34925 Carl Ave | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-8%) | 13mo | $120,000 | $114 | 62 |
| 35429 Chambers Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (+9%) | 15mo | $253,000 | $201 | 52 |
| 35026 Colony Hills Dr | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,212 (+5%) | 11mo | $152,000 | $125 | 47 |
| 4100 Carefree Way | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,302 (+13%) | 1mo | $139,500 | $107 | 44 |
| 35042 Colony Hills Dr | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 13mo | $170,000 | $136 | 40 |
| 35139 Wagner Way | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (+15%) | 8mo | $169,900 | $129 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $30,787
- Equity at exit
- $15,343
- IRR
- 32.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $72,685
- Equity at exit
- $8,897
Cash invested: $28,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33541
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 856
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,044 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$540
- Tax from tax record
- −$144 /mo · $1,727/yr
- Insurance
- −$43
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$429
- Net cashflow
- $838
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,725
- Closing costs
- $3,087
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5019 Coopers Hawk Pl Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,699 | $1.17 | 10d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 34652 Blue Starling St Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 34747 Double Eagle Ct Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $1,650 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 36232 Lanier Oaks Pt , FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 35940 Inspiration Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1034 | $1,988 | $1.92 | 2d | 21 | 1.04mi |
| 33976 Lusitano Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1251 | $2,895 | $2.31 | 12d | 71 | 1.12mi |
| 4111 Ryals Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1216 | $2,195 | $1.81 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 34002 Painthorse Way Wesley Chapel, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $2,945 | $2.88 | 3d | 46 | 1.37mi |
| 33780 Charleston Club Cir Wesley Chapel, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 977 | $2,135 | $2.19 | 2d | 11 | 1.38mi |
| 3829 Kim Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,395 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
- Likely covers
- trashpool
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $102,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $102,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $102,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $102,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $102,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $102,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $102,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $102,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $102,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $102,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $102,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $102,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $102,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $104,900
-
2026-04-14price $109,900
-
2026-02-27price $112,000
-
2026-02-09$114,900 Active
-
2022-03-11soldstatus $109,000
-
2022-03-02soldstatus $109,000 Closed 979-char remark
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
Zephyr Shores - This two-bedroom, two bath home comes furnished and ready to move into. In the kitchen you have stove-top range, built- in oven, dishwasher, and refrigerator. It has a breakfast nook and a dining room with built in hutch that flows to your living room. Off the living room there is a slider into your glassed-in Florida room for added living space. On the other end of the home, you have the two bedrooms. The master is spacious with two closets and master bath has shower and large walk- in closet. On the outside you have your utility/storage room at the end of carport. In the back of home is another shed for storage with area to do small projects. The HOA is only $410.00 a year which has a clubhouse, community pool, and shuffleboard. Trash pickup is also included in the fee. You own the lot here. No lot rent. You are allowed 1 cat here but no dogs in this section. Check with HOA about comfort animal etc. Call for your appointment to view this property.
-
2022-01-08status Pending 979-char remark
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
Zephyr Shores - This two-bedroom, two bath home comes furnished and ready to move into. In the kitchen you have stove-top range, built- in oven, dishwasher, and refrigerator. It has a breakfast nook and a dining room with built in hutch that flows to your living room. Off the living room there is a slider into your glassed-in Florida room for added living space. On the other end of the home, you have the two bedrooms. The master is spacious with two closets and master bath has shower and large walk- in closet. On the outside you have your utility/storage room at the end of carport. In the back of home is another shed for storage with area to do small projects. The HOA is only $410.00 a year which has a clubhouse, community pool, and shuffleboard. Trash pickup is also included in the fee. You own the lot here. No lot rent. You are allowed 1 cat here but no dogs in this section. Check with HOA about comfort animal etc. Call for your appointment to view this property.
-
2021-12-08$108,900 Active 979-char remark
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
Zephyr Shores - This two-bedroom, two bath home comes furnished and ready to move into. In the kitchen you have stove-top range, built- in oven, dishwasher, and refrigerator. It has a breakfast nook and a dining room with built in hutch that flows to your living room. Off the living room there is a slider into your glassed-in Florida room for added living space. On the other end of the home, you have the two bedrooms. The master is spacious with two closets and master bath has shower and large walk- in closet. On the outside you have your utility/storage room at the end of carport. In the back of home is another shed for storage with area to do small projects. The HOA is only $410.00 a year which has a clubhouse, community pool, and shuffleboard. Trash pickup is also included in the fee. You own the lot here. No lot rent. You are allowed 1 cat here but no dogs in this section. Check with HOA about comfort animal etc. Call for your appointment to view this property.
-
2013-03-29soldstatus $39,000 838-char remark
Show marketing remark (838 chars)
Zephyr Shores- This 2 bedroom/2 bath home comes furnished and ready to move in. As you enter the home you have a breakfast nook in the kitchen with stove-top range, built-in oven, dishwasher, & refrigerator. Note the nice laminate flooring in the kitchen and breakfast area. Next is the dining room with built-in hutch to store your special collectibles & dishes. On the front of the home you have a glassed-in Florida room for added living space . On the other end of the home you have the two bedrooms. The master is spacious with two closets and master bath with shower and walk-in closet. You own your lot here and the have no lot rent. The HOA is $360.00 a year which includes use of the clubhouse, pool and shuffleboard. The fee also covers your twice weekly trash pickup. Call for your appointment to view this property.
-
2012-07-27$42,000 838-char remark
Show marketing remark (838 chars)
Zephyr Shores- This 2 bedroom/2 bath home comes furnished and ready to move in. As you enter the home you have a breakfast nook in the kitchen with stove-top range, built-in oven, dishwasher, & refrigerator. Note the nice laminate flooring in the kitchen and breakfast area. Next is the dining room with built-in hutch to store your special collectibles & dishes. On the front of the home you have a glassed-in Florida room for added living space . On the other end of the home you have the two bedrooms. The master is spacious with two closets and master bath with shower and walk-in closet. You own your lot here and the have no lot rent. The HOA is $360.00 a year which includes use of the clubhouse, pool and shuffleboard. The fee also covers your twice weekly trash pickup. Call for your appointment to view this property.
-
2000-12-27soldstatus $44,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,727 · $144/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,727 · $144/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,524
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,764
- − Property taxes
- −$1,727
- − Insurance
- −$514
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,962
- − Management
- −$1,962
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$2,993
- Taxable income
- $9,001
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,160
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,897/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Zephyrhills West
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #772
- US rank
- #17403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,654
- Household income
- $56,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 393.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.21%
- Current HPI
- 308.0619
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.51%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+138.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $104,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $109,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $112,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-09 Listed $114,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
- 2022-03-02 Sold (MLS) $109,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-08 Listed $108,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-29 Sold (MLS) $39,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-07-27 Listed $42,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,727 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…