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B+ Composite 76.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$102,900

None · Zephyrhills West, FL 33541
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 129 Days on market
Built 1977 5,200 sqft lot Est $149k · 31% under $50/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Zephyr Shores - This two-bedroom, two bath home comes furnished and ready to move into. In the kitchen you have stove-top range, built- in oven, dishwasher, and refrigerator. It has a breakfast nook and a dining room with built in hutch that flows to your living room. Off the living room there is a slider into your glassed-in Florida room for added living space. On the other end of the home, you have the two bedrooms. The master is spacious with two closets and master bath has shower and large walk- in closet. On the outside you have your utility/storage room at the end of carport. In the back of home is another shed for storage with area to do small projects. The HOA is only $410.00 a year which has a clubhouse, community pool, and shuffleboard. Trash pickup is also included in the fee. You own the lot here. No lot rent. You are allowed 1 cat here but no dogs in this section. Check with HOA about comfort animal etc. Call for your appointment to view this property.

Key facts

  • Eat-in dining area
  • Laundry area
  • Formal dining space

Tags

FLORIDA ROOMEAT-IN DINING AREAFORMAL DINING SPACESTORAGE SHEDLAUNDRY AREABACKYARD SITTING AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total monthly fees $50; total annual fees $600
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly $50; annual $600); Pool included in association amenities; Association fee covers pool and trash; Association approval required; Buyer approval required; Clubhouse; Deed restrictions; Golf carts allowed; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats OK, max pet weight 20 lbs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking; Driveway; Carport with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Faces north; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Metal roof; Other construction materials; Crawlspace foundation; Building area about 2,030 sq ft (living area 1,152 sq ft)
  • Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Private mailbox; Shed(s); Paved road access; Lot approximately 52 x 117 (0.12 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in oven; Dishwasher; Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Florida room; Formal dining room (separate)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $103k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $838 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $103k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 7.8% in Zephyrhills West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#772 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: New River Elementary School (math 36% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,560 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 721 students, 57% FRL); Zephyrhills High School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,656 students, 70% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 856 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $711 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,552 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
16.07%
Cash-on-cash
34.91%
DSCR
2.55
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$148,608
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
35148 Ada Ave 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (0%) 2mo $89,900 $78 89
4655 Madison Ave 0.01mi 3/2.0 984 (-15%) 4mo $135,000 $137 72
34915 Adam Ave 0.16mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,008 (-12%) 1mo $123,000 $122 66
35122 Mcculloughs Leap 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,144 (-1%) 0mo $161,000 $141 65
34925 Carl Ave 0.17mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,056 (-8%) 13mo $120,000 $114 62
35429 Chambers Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,260 (+9%) 15mo $253,000 $201 52
35026 Colony Hills Dr 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,212 (+5%) 11mo $152,000 $125 47
4100 Carefree Way 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,302 (+13%) 1mo $139,500 $107 44
35042 Colony Hills Dr 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (+8%) 13mo $170,000 $136 40
35139 Wagner Way 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,320 (+15%) 8mo $169,900 $129 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$30,787
Equity at exit
$15,343
10-year hold
IRR
32.5%
Equity multiple
3.52×
Total profit
$72,685
Equity at exit
$8,897

Cash invested: $28,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33541

Home prices YoY
-15.2%
Rents YoY
-2.5%
Active inventory
856
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,044 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$540
Tax from tax record
$144 /mo · $1,727/yr
Insurance
$43
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$429
Net cashflow
$838

Break-even live

Break-even rent $983
Max offer price $102,900
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,725
Closing costs
$3,087
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5019 Coopers Hawk Pl Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,699 $1.17 10d 1 0.35mi
34652 Blue Starling St Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.0 1352 $1,650 $1.22 5d 1 0.38mi
34747 Double Eagle Ct Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1308 $1,650 $1.26 18d 1 0.47mi
36232 Lanier Oaks Pt , FL 3.0 2.0 1325 $1,700 $1.28 24d 1 0.67mi
35940 Inspiration Dr Zephyrhills, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1034 $1,988 $1.92 2d 21 1.04mi
33976 Lusitano Dr Wesley Chapel, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1251 $2,895 $2.31 12d 71 1.12mi
4111 Ryals Rd Zephyrhills, FL 4.0 3.0 1216 $2,195 $1.81 3d 1 1.27mi
34002 Painthorse Way Wesley Chapel, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1022 $2,945 $2.88 3d 46 1.37mi
33780 Charleston Club Cir Wesley Chapel, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 977 $2,135 $2.19 2d 11 1.38mi
3829 Kim Dr Wesley Chapel, FL 2.0 1.0 832 $1,395 $1.68 24d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$50 · $600/yr
Likely covers
trashpool

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $102,900 Active 129 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $102,900 Active 128 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $102,900 Active 127 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $102,900 Active 126 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $102,900 Active 124 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $102,900 Active 120 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $102,900 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $102,900 Active 118 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $102,900 Active 115 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $102,900 Active 114 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $102,900 Active 113 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $102,900 Active 112 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $102,900 Active 111 DOM
  14. 2026-05-07
    price $104,900
  15. 2026-04-14
    price $109,900
  16. 2026-02-27
    price $112,000
  17. 2026-02-09
    listed $114,900 Active
  18. 2022-03-11
    soldstatus $109,000
  19. 2022-03-02
    soldstatus $109,000 Closed 979-char remark
    Show marketing remark (979 chars)

    Zephyr Shores - This two-bedroom, two bath home comes furnished and ready to move into. In the kitchen you have stove-top range, built- in oven, dishwasher, and refrigerator. It has a breakfast nook and a dining room with built in hutch that flows to your living room. Off the living room there is a slider into your glassed-in Florida room for added living space. On the other end of the home, you have the two bedrooms. The master is spacious with two closets and master bath has shower and large walk- in closet. On the outside you have your utility/storage room at the end of carport. In the back of home is another shed for storage with area to do small projects. The HOA is only $410.00 a year which has a clubhouse, community pool, and shuffleboard. Trash pickup is also included in the fee. You own the lot here. No lot rent. You are allowed 1 cat here but no dogs in this section. Check with HOA about comfort animal etc. Call for your appointment to view this property.

  20. 2022-01-08
    status Pending 979-char remark
    Show marketing remark (979 chars)

    Zephyr Shores - This two-bedroom, two bath home comes furnished and ready to move into. In the kitchen you have stove-top range, built- in oven, dishwasher, and refrigerator. It has a breakfast nook and a dining room with built in hutch that flows to your living room. Off the living room there is a slider into your glassed-in Florida room for added living space. On the other end of the home, you have the two bedrooms. The master is spacious with two closets and master bath has shower and large walk- in closet. On the outside you have your utility/storage room at the end of carport. In the back of home is another shed for storage with area to do small projects. The HOA is only $410.00 a year which has a clubhouse, community pool, and shuffleboard. Trash pickup is also included in the fee. You own the lot here. No lot rent. You are allowed 1 cat here but no dogs in this section. Check with HOA about comfort animal etc. Call for your appointment to view this property.

  21. 2021-12-08
    listed $108,900 Active 979-char remark
    Show marketing remark (979 chars)

    Zephyr Shores - This two-bedroom, two bath home comes furnished and ready to move into. In the kitchen you have stove-top range, built- in oven, dishwasher, and refrigerator. It has a breakfast nook and a dining room with built in hutch that flows to your living room. Off the living room there is a slider into your glassed-in Florida room for added living space. On the other end of the home, you have the two bedrooms. The master is spacious with two closets and master bath has shower and large walk- in closet. On the outside you have your utility/storage room at the end of carport. In the back of home is another shed for storage with area to do small projects. The HOA is only $410.00 a year which has a clubhouse, community pool, and shuffleboard. Trash pickup is also included in the fee. You own the lot here. No lot rent. You are allowed 1 cat here but no dogs in this section. Check with HOA about comfort animal etc. Call for your appointment to view this property.

  22. 2013-03-29
    soldstatus $39,000 838-char remark
    Show marketing remark (838 chars)

    Zephyr Shores- This 2 bedroom/2 bath home comes furnished and ready to move in. As you enter the home you have a breakfast nook in the kitchen with stove-top range, built-in oven, dishwasher, & refrigerator. Note the nice laminate flooring in the kitchen and breakfast area. Next is the dining room with built-in hutch to store your special collectibles & dishes. On the front of the home you have a glassed-in Florida room for added living space . On the other end of the home you have the two bedrooms. The master is spacious with two closets and master bath with shower and walk-in closet. You own your lot here and the have no lot rent. The HOA is $360.00 a year which includes use of the clubhouse, pool and shuffleboard. The fee also covers your twice weekly trash pickup. Call for your appointment to view this property.

  23. 2012-07-27
    listed $42,000 838-char remark
    Show marketing remark (838 chars)

    Zephyr Shores- This 2 bedroom/2 bath home comes furnished and ready to move in. As you enter the home you have a breakfast nook in the kitchen with stove-top range, built-in oven, dishwasher, & refrigerator. Note the nice laminate flooring in the kitchen and breakfast area. Next is the dining room with built-in hutch to store your special collectibles & dishes. On the front of the home you have a glassed-in Florida room for added living space . On the other end of the home you have the two bedrooms. The master is spacious with two closets and master bath with shower and walk-in closet. You own your lot here and the have no lot rent. The HOA is $360.00 a year which includes use of the clubhouse, pool and shuffleboard. The fee also covers your twice weekly trash pickup. Call for your appointment to view this property.

  24. 2000-12-27
    soldstatus $44,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,727 · $144/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,727 · $144/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,524
− Mortgage interest
−$5,764
− Property taxes
−$1,727
− Insurance
−$514
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,962
− Management
−$1,962
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$2,993
Taxable income
$9,001
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,160
After-tax cash flow
$7,897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Zephyrhills West

Score
61/100
State rank
#772
US rank
#17403

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
24,654
Household income
$56,579
Rent vs Own
14.0% rent · 86.0% own
Severe rent burden
393.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.21%
Current HPI
308.0619
Rent YoY
▼ -2.51%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+138.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $104,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $109,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $112,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $114,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
  • 2022-03-02 Sold (MLS) $109,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-08 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-08 Listed $108,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-03-29 Sold (MLS) $39,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-27 Listed $42,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+16.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,727 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…