25 Carroll St #25 · Poughkeepsie, NY 12601

$499,000

6 bd · 9.0 ba · 2,100 sqft · MultiFamily · 127 Days on market

Built 1880 2,178 sqft lot Est $428k · 16% over ↓ 6% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.2/30.0
• DSCR +6.8/10.0
• 1% rule +5.6/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +3.4/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.1/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Excellent investment property! A True Turn Key! Keep all 3 units rented or live in one and let other rents work for you. Well maintained legal 3 family on quiet manicured corner lot . 1 car garage. Income producing. Long term tenants. Super central location, minutes to trains, bus routes, Route 9 and Route 44/55, Poughkeepsie Tennis Club, parks, shopping, eateries, hospitals, historic sites colleges and more. First floor unit was a 2 bedroom, but was converted for larger room and less traffic, to a 1 bedroom, can easily go back to 2 bedroom. Gross $45,900 Net $31,955. All units rents could be a higher. Tenants pay for cooking gas, their electric and cable bills.

Key facts

• Investment property
• Legal 3 family
• Manicured corner lot

Tags

• INVESTMENT PROPERTY
• LEGAL 3 FAMILY
• MANICURED CORNER LOT
• SUPER CENTRAL LOCATION
• INCOME PRODUCING
• LONG TERM TENANTS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3 × 2-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $499k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $724 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $241/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $499k).
• Recommended offer: $439k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.4% in Poughkeepsie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#165 in NY, #2,577 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
• Poughkeepsie City School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #559 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Gov George Clinton School (math 5% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,825 of 2,108 statewide, top 88%, 222 students, 77% FRL); Poughkeepsie Middle School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #650 of 729 statewide, top 90%, 877 students, 82% FRL); Poughkeepsie High School (math 59% / reading 67%, grade B-, #819 of 1,100 statewide, top 74%, 1,165 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools at 77% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 620 units permitted in Dutchess County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $5,281/mo this rent would consume 100% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 2891% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Dutchess County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($439k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $439,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.06% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.03%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.21%
• DSCR: 1.28
• GRM: 7.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $428,400
• Comps found: 6

Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
138 Montgomery St	0.18mi	5/2.0 (-1)	2,000 (-5%)	15mo	$725,000	$363	51
30 S White St	0.50mi	5/2.0 (-1)	2,100 (0%)	8mo	$380,000	$181	50
236 Mansion St	0.69mi	6/2.0	2,100 (0%)	7mo	$444,500	$212	42
7 Fox Ter	0.49mi	6/2.0	2,000 (-5%)	10mo	$350,000	$175	41
13 Grand St	0.44mi	5/3.0 (-1)	2,400 (+14%)	6mo	$489,250	$204	31
24 North White St	0.64mi	6/2.0	2,400 (+14%)	16mo	$215,000	$90	13

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.78×
• Total profit: $-31,115
• Equity at exit: $74,403

10-year hold

• IRR: 4.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.34×
• Total profit: $47,473
• Equity at exit: $43,144

Cash invested: $139,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12601

• Rents YoY: 3.7%
• Active inventory: 189
• Price-to-rent: 23.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $5,281 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,617
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$624 /mo · $7,485/yr
• Insurance: −$208
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,109
• Net cashflow: $724

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,365

Max offer price $499,000

Occupancy floor 81%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 3× units	2	3	$5,280
Total (3 units)			$5,281

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $124,750
• Closing costs: $14,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-01-07
   status Pending
2. 2025-10-29
   price $499,000
3. 2025-10-13
   price $510,000
4. 2025-10-10
   price $511,000
5. 2025-09-18
   price $520,000
6. 2025-08-31
   listed $529,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $63,372
• − Mortgage interest: −$27,952
• − Property taxes: −$7,485
• − Insurance: −$2,495
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$5,070
• − Management: −$5,070
• − Depreciation: −$14,516
• Taxable income: $784
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$188
• After-tax cash flow: $8,494/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Poughkeepsie City School District
• NCES district ID: 3623760
• Math proficiency: 29% ▲ 5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▲ 12.00%
• Median HH income: $39,159
• Composite: 29.68/100
• National rank: #6459
• State rank: #559 of 590 in NY

Livability — Poughkeepsie

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #165
• US rank: #2577

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime F Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Poughkeepsie, NY
• County: Dutchess County · 188,048 people
• City population: 86,468
• Metro: Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
• Population (ZIP): 44,164
• Household income: $63,652
• Rent vs Own: 56.8% rent · 43.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 2891.0

Population outlook (Dutchess County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 291,768 people
• By 2030: 287,131 · -1.6%
• By 2040: 274,881 · -5.8%
• By 2050: 259,971 · -10.9%
• By 2075: 235,366 · -19.3%
• By 2100: 208,786 · -28.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 44% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 17% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 19% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dutchess

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.4) · D 52.7% · R 47.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.2pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: 5.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+9.6 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -210.62%
• Current HPI: 293.9789
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.67%
• Metro: Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-5.7% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-07 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-29 Price Changed $499,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-13 Price Changed $510,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-10 Price Changed $511,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-09-18 Price Changed $520,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-08-31 Listed $529,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid