475 Anthony Dr · Tyrone, GA 30290

$459,000

4 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,167 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market

Built 1984 1.42 ac lot $212/sqft · 31% above area Est $414k · 11% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.8/10.0
• Schools +5.1/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• ARV discount +2.6/15.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this beautifully renovated 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom home in the desirable Briarhill community of Tyrone, offering modern updates, flexible living space, and sought-after lake access living in Fayette County. Thoughtfully updated throughout, this move-in ready property blends style, comfort, and peace of mind in one exceptional package. The stunning renovated kitchen features new cabinetry, stylish modern finishes, and a clean, updated design perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Luxury vinyl plank flooring flows throughout the main living areas, while brand-new carpet adds warmth and comfort in the bedrooms. Fresh interior paint, updated trim, and renovated cabinet

Key facts

• 1.42 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1984

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: No HOA; Community includes lake

Exterior

• Parking: Garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; High-speed internet available
• Home design: Single family residence; House structure; Three or more levels; Resale property
• Construction: Built in 1984; Brick construction; Composition roof; Finished area includes below-grade finished space
• Exterior features: Level lot; Lake privileges

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (1 bedroom on lower level)
• Flooring: Other flooring
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (1 on main level)
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Tile baths; Walk-in closets; Finished basement; Family room; One fireplace
• Laundry & utility: Laundry area (other)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $459k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $459k).
• Recommended offer: $452k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.5% in Tyrone — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#13 in GA, #2,017 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Flat Rock Middle School (math 35% / reading 55%, grade D, #103 of 470 statewide, top 23%, 883 students, 46% FRL); Sandy Creek High School (math 23% / reading 42%, grade F, #104 of 424 statewide, top 25%, 1,188 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 21% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 39% at this address vs 56% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fayette County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $129k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($452k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $345k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $452,115 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
3. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
4. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
5. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.28% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.26%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.75%
• DSCR: 1.79
• GRM: 6.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $414,325
• List price: $459,000
• Delta: 10.78%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
100 Brookfield Ct	0.45mi	4/2.5	2,236 (+3%)	1mo	$499,900	$224	67
140 Julie Rd	0.34mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,270 (+5%)	3mo	$420,000	$185	63
360 Michael Rd	0.24mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,219 (+2%)	18mo	$450,000	$203	59
230 Julie Rd	0.31mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,165 (-0%)	21mo	$400,000	$185	55
210 Farr Lake Dr	0.51mi	4/2.5	2,237 (+3%)	12mo	$499,900	$223	55
919 Tyrone Rd	0.52mi	4/3.0	1,975 (-9%)	4mo	$260,000	$132	54
290 Farr Lake Dr	0.55mi	4/2.5	2,329 (+8%)	4mo	$459,900	$197	53
215 Farr Lake Dr	0.59mi	4/2.5	2,218 (+2%)	13mo	$430,000	$194	52
260 Chimney Springs Rd	0.65mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,310 (+7%)	2mo	$550,000	$238	46
771 Tyrone Rd	0.24mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,922 (-11%)	21mo	$320,000	$166	42
170 Brennan Dr	0.61mi	4/2.5	2,468 (+14%)	2mo	$500,000	$203	41
100 Kindlehurst Dr	0.47mi	4/3.0	2,432 (+12%)	16mo	$488,500	$201	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 9.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.36×
• Total profit: $46,539
• Equity at exit: $68,438

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.52×
• Total profit: $195,754
• Equity at exit: $39,686

Cash invested: $128,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 30290

• Home prices YoY: -25.8%
• Active inventory: 70
• Price-to-rent: 6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $5,889 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,407
• Tax from tax record: −$153 /mo · $1,832/yr
• Insurance: −$191
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,237
• Net cashflow: $1,901

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,482

Max offer price $459,000

Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $114,750
• Closing costs: $13,770
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
135 Farr Lake Dr Tyrone, GA	4.0	3.0	2683	$7,500	$2.80	43d	1	0.58mi
115 Sutton Ct Tyrone, GA	5.0	4.0	2695	$3,850	$1.43	4d	1	0.73mi

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-10
   status $459,000 Under Contract 19 DOM
2. 2026-06-09
   days on market $459,000 Active 19 DOM
3. 2026-06-08
   days on market $459,000 Active 18 DOM
4. 2026-06-07
   days on market $459,000 Active 17 DOM
5. 2026-06-04
   statusdays on market $459,000 Active 14 DOM
6. 2026-06-03
   days on market $459,000 New 13 DOM
7. 2026-06-02
   days on market $459,000 New 12 DOM
8. 2026-06-01
   days on market $459,000 New 11 DOM
9. 2026-05-31
   days on market $459,000 New 10 DOM
10. 2026-05-08
    historical $459,000 1010-char remark
11. 2026-05-08
    historical
12. 2026-05-08
    listed $459,000 New
13. 2026-04-20
    historical
14. 2026-04-02
    soldstatus $345,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,832 · $153/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,223 · $352/mo
• Expected delta: +$2,390/yr (+$199/mo · 130.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $70,666
• − Mortgage interest: −$25,711
• − Property taxes: −$1,832
• − Insurance: −$2,295
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$5,653
• − Management: −$5,653
• − Depreciation: −$13,353
• Taxable income: $16,168
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,880
• After-tax cash flow: $18,934/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Fayette County
• NCES district ID: 1302130
• Math proficiency: 52% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 60% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $80,746
• Composite: 50.67/100
• National rank: #1824
• State rank: #7 of 174 in GA

Livability — Tyrone

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #13
• US rank: #2017

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Tyrone, GA
• City population: 9,083
• Population (ZIP): 9,083

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 120,914 people
• By 2030: 125,439 · +3.7%
• By 2040: 132,378 · +9.5%
• By 2050: 137,123 · +13.4%
• By 2075: 156,091 · +29.1%
• By 2100: 163,102 · +34.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 57% Black 28% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Portuguese 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Vietnam, Mexico
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 51.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +27.5pp toward D · 2008: -30.7pp · 2024: -3.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.1 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+30.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -84.69%
• Current HPI: 243.293
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+33.0% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-09 Pending — GAMLS
• 2026-05-21 Listed $459,000 GAMLS
• 2026-05-08 Coming Soon $459,000 GAMLS
• 2026-05-08 Listing Removed — GAMLS
• 2026-05-08 Listed $459,000 GAMLS
• 2026-04-20 Coming Soon — GAMLS
• 2026-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $345,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,832 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.