Duplex
157 Hazelwood Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.17%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
2 unit with great long term tenants. Updated electrical, newer hot water tanks, newer back roof, and clean inside and out. Investors, this make a great deal. Owner occupied perfect opportunity in great neighborhood. Please give ample notice for showing for current tenants.
Key facts
- 3,906 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1925
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Gross income reported at $10,472; Operating expenses reported at $7,430 (includes maintenance structure, maintenance, professional management, utilities); One unit currently rented for $800; other unit rent not reported; Owner pays hot water; rent includes hot water
Exterior
- Parking: Garage with approximately 1.5 garage spaces; Two or more off-street spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story building; Existing/resale property
- Construction: Composite siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built (existing)
- Exterior features: Irregular lot; Near public transit; Residential neighborhood; City street and main thoroughfare frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 31 x 126
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchens in both units
- Bedrooms: Two 1-bedroom units (each unit on its own level not specified)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one per unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $685/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.5% vs local median 8.1% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 239 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,401/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2873% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $90k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.20%
- DSCR
- 3.90
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $165,700
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Hazelwood Ave | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 1,498 (-10%) | 1mo | $87,000 | $58 | 79 |
| 274 Newburgh Ave | 0.20mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,754 (+6%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $105 | 73 |
| 124 Roma Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,520 (-8%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $155 | 68 |
| 213 Hagen St | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 | 1,509 (-9%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $99 | 68 |
| 124 Newburgh Ave | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 1,750 (+6%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $54 | 66 |
| 63 Wright Ave | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 1,842 (+11%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $65 | 66 |
| 17 Proctor Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,756 (+6%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $100 | 63 |
| 73 Oakmont Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,616 (-2%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $133 | 60 |
| 78 Freund St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,426 (-14%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $91 | 60 |
| 122 Preston Rd | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 | 1,764 (+6%) | 11mo | $202,000 | $115 | 56 |
| 9 Alma Ave | 0.68mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,630 (-2%) | 9mo | $82,000 | $50 | 53 |
| 376 Norfolk Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,536 (-7%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $104 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $67,092
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 65.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.92×
- Total profit
- $149,074
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14215
- Home prices YoY
- -30.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,401 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $219/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$504
- Net cashflow
- $1,369
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,420 | -5% $1,395 | +0% $1,369 | +5% $1,344 | +10% $1,318 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,179 | -5% $1,274 | +0% $1,369 | +5% $1,464 | +10% $1,559 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,414 | -0.5pp $1,392 | base $1,369 | +0.5pp $1,346 | +1.0pp $1,322 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2 | $2,402 |
| #1 | 2 | 2 | $1,201 |
| #2 | 2 | 2 | $1,201 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,401 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,500 | $0.92 | 0d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 46d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 96 Academy Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2247 | $1,400 | $0.62 | 26d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 46d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1793 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 0d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 143 Reo Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 25 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1914 | $1,350 | $0.71 | 17d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1559 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1065 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 19d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 408 Koons Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,050 | $0.91 | 0d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 162 Southgate Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1364 | $4,500 | $3.30 | 0d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-03-28status Active
-
2026-03-09status Pending
-
2026-02-25price $90,000
-
2026-02-06price $95,000
-
2026-01-23price $100,000
-
2025-12-27price $110,000
-
2025-12-23price $100,000
-
2025-08-25$125,000 Active
-
2023-12-12historical
-
2023-08-30$95,000 Active
-
2016-10-07soldstatus $36,000
-
2016-10-01soldstatus $36,000 Closed Sale or Rented 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
2 unit with great long term tenants. Updated electrical, newer hot water tanks, newer back roof, and clean inside and out. Investors, this make a great deal. Owner occupied perfect opportunity in great neighborhood. Please give ample notice for showing for current tenants.
-
2016-07-20status Pending Sale 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
2 unit with great long term tenants. Updated electrical, newer hot water tanks, newer back roof, and clean inside and out. Investors, this make a great deal. Owner occupied perfect opportunity in great neighborhood. Please give ample notice for showing for current tenants.
-
2016-06-03price $44,900 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
2 unit with great long term tenants. Updated electrical, newer hot water tanks, newer back roof, and clean inside and out. Investors, this make a great deal. Owner occupied perfect opportunity in great neighborhood. Please give ample notice for showing for current tenants.
-
2016-05-26$49,900 Active 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
2 unit with great long term tenants. Updated electrical, newer hot water tanks, newer back roof, and clean inside and out. Investors, this make a great deal. Owner occupied perfect opportunity in great neighborhood. Please give ample notice for showing for current tenants.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $219 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $870 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$651/yr (+$54/mo · 297.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 17% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,812
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$219
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,305
- − Management
- −$2,305
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $15,874
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,810
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,620/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,524
- Household income
- $44,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2873.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.29%
- Current HPI
- 295.2966
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+80.4% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-28 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-09 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $90,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $95,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $100,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-12-27 Price Changed $110,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $100,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-08-25 Listed $125,000 WNYREIS
- 2023-12-12 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2023-08-30 Listed $95,000 WNYREIS
- 2016-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
- 2016-10-01 Sold (MLS) $36,000 WNYREIS
- 2016-07-20 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2016-06-03 Price Changed $44,900 WNYREIS
- 2016-05-26 Listed $49,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $219 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…