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157 Hazelwood Ave Duplex
B+ Composite 77.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

157 Hazelwood Ave · Buffalo, NY 14215
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,657 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 215 Days on market
Built 1925 3,906 sqft lot Est $166k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

2 unit with great long term tenants. Updated electrical, newer hot water tanks, newer back roof, and clean inside and out. Investors, this make a great deal. Owner occupied perfect opportunity in great neighborhood. Please give ample notice for showing for current tenants.

Key facts

  • 3,906 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1925

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Gross income reported at $10,472; Operating expenses reported at $7,430 (includes maintenance structure, maintenance, professional management, utilities); One unit currently rented for $800; other unit rent not reported; Owner pays hot water; rent includes hot water

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage with approximately 1.5 garage spaces; Two or more off-street spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story building; Existing/resale property
  • Construction: Composite siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built (existing)
  • Exterior features: Irregular lot; Near public transit; Residential neighborhood; City street and main thoroughfare frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 31 x 126

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchens in both units
  • Bedrooms: Two 1-bedroom units (each unit on its own level not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one per unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $685/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.5% vs local median 8.1% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 239 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,401/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2873% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $90k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.67%
Cap rate
24.55%
Cash-on-cash
65.20%
DSCR
3.90
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$165,700
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
112 Hazelwood Ave 0.09mi 4/2.0 1,498 (-10%) 1mo $87,000 $58 79
274 Newburgh Ave 0.20mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,754 (+6%) 4mo $185,000 $105 73
124 Roma Ave 0.29mi 4/2.0 1,520 (-8%) 5mo $235,000 $155 68
213 Hagen St 0.21mi 4/2.0 1,509 (-9%) 9mo $150,000 $99 68
124 Newburgh Ave 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,750 (+6%) 7mo $95,000 $54 66
63 Wright Ave 0.31mi 4/2.0 1,842 (+11%) 2mo $120,000 $65 66
17 Proctor Ave 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,756 (+6%) 8mo $175,000 $100 63
73 Oakmont Ave 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,616 (-2%) 6mo $215,000 $133 60
78 Freund St 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,426 (-14%) 3mo $130,000 $91 60
122 Preston Rd 0.52mi 4/2.0 1,764 (+6%) 11mo $202,000 $115 56
9 Alma Ave 0.68mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,630 (-2%) 9mo $82,000 $50 53
376 Norfolk Ave 0.74mi 4/2.0 1,536 (-7%) 3mo $160,000 $104 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.8%
Equity multiple
3.66×
Total profit
$67,092
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
65.6%
Equity multiple
6.92×
Total profit
$149,074
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14215

Home prices YoY
-30.0%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
239
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,401 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $219/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$504
Net cashflow
$1,369

Break-even live

Break-even rent $668
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,420 -5% $1,395 +0% $1,369 +5% $1,344 +10% $1,318
Rent -10% $1,179 -5% $1,274 +0% $1,369 +5% $1,464 +10% $1,559
Rate -1.0pp $1,414 -0.5pp $1,392 base $1,369 +0.5pp $1,346 +1.0pp $1,322

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,401

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1632 $1,500 $0.92 0d 1 0.55mi
74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 46d 1 0.58mi
96 Academy Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2247 $1,400 $0.62 26d 1 0.99mi
24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,700 $1.48 46d 1 1.11mi
979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 3.0 1793 $2,000 $1.12 0d 1 1.16mi
143 Reo Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1143 $1,600 $1.40 14d 1 1.17mi
25 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1914 $1,350 $0.71 17d 1 1.20mi
517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1559 $1,800 $1.15 21d 1 1.23mi
189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 1065 $1,595 $1.50 12d 1 1.27mi
1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 19d 1 1.27mi
408 Koons Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,050 $0.91 0d 1 1.36mi
162 Southgate Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.5 1364 $4,500 $3.30 0d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-28
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-09
    status Pending
  4. 2026-02-25
    price $90,000
  5. 2026-02-06
    price $95,000
  6. 2026-01-23
    price $100,000
  7. 2025-12-27
    price $110,000
  8. 2025-12-23
    price $100,000
  9. 2025-08-25
    listed $125,000 Active
  10. 2023-12-12
    historical
  11. 2023-08-30
    listed $95,000 Active
  12. 2016-10-07
    soldstatus $36,000
  13. 2016-10-01
    soldstatus $36,000 Closed Sale or Rented 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    2 unit with great long term tenants. Updated electrical, newer hot water tanks, newer back roof, and clean inside and out. Investors, this make a great deal. Owner occupied perfect opportunity in great neighborhood. Please give ample notice for showing for current tenants.

  14. 2016-07-20
    status Pending Sale 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    2 unit with great long term tenants. Updated electrical, newer hot water tanks, newer back roof, and clean inside and out. Investors, this make a great deal. Owner occupied perfect opportunity in great neighborhood. Please give ample notice for showing for current tenants.

  15. 2016-06-03
    price $44,900 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    2 unit with great long term tenants. Updated electrical, newer hot water tanks, newer back roof, and clean inside and out. Investors, this make a great deal. Owner occupied perfect opportunity in great neighborhood. Please give ample notice for showing for current tenants.

  16. 2016-05-26
    listed $49,900 Active 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    2 unit with great long term tenants. Updated electrical, newer hot water tanks, newer back roof, and clean inside and out. Investors, this make a great deal. Owner occupied perfect opportunity in great neighborhood. Please give ample notice for showing for current tenants.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$219 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$870 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$651/yr (+$54/mo · 297.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 17% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,812
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$219
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,305
− Management
−$2,305
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$15,874
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,810
After-tax cash flow
$12,620/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
42,524
Household income
$44,955
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
2873.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.29%
Current HPI
295.2966
Rent YoY
▲ 0.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.4% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-28 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-09 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $90,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $95,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $100,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-12-27 Price Changed $110,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-12-23 Price Changed $100,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $125,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-12-12 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2023-08-30 Listed $95,000 WNYREIS
  • 2016-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
  • 2016-10-01 Sold (MLS) $36,000 WNYREIS
  • 2016-07-20 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2016-06-03 Price Changed $44,900 WNYREIS
  • 2016-05-26 Listed $49,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

-2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $219 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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