🏗️ New Construction
114 Sabel Ct · Guyton, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Cash flow +4.5/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.7/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$362,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Palm Ridge, a new community in charming Guyton, GA, offering a peaceful small-town setting just minutes from Pooler and Savannah. The Belhaven is a two-story home featuring four bedrooms and a versatile flex room/study at the front of the home, just off the foyer perfect for a home office, playroom, or quiet retreat. The main floor offers a spacious, open kitchen with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances including a refrigerator, and a central island, ideal for family meals or entertaining. Upstairs, the private primary suite includes dual sinks and a roomy walk-in closet. The Belhaven combines everyday functionality with designer touches to create a home where everyone can thrive. Photos are for illustrative purposes only and may not reflect the actual home. Home is under construction. More information on available programs and options is available for this home.
Key facts
- Central island
- Flex room
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $363k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (25.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (33.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $243k (33.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.2% vs local median 4.5% in Guyton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#128 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Effingham County (rural): math 49% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #16 of 174 in GA (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Marlow Elementary School (math 63% / reading 50%, grade C+, #159 of 1,228 statewide, top 13%, 775 students, 31% FRL); South Effingham Middle School (math 51% / reading 58%, grade B-, #52 of 470 statewide, top 11%, 1,097 students, 32% FRL); South Effingham High School (math 33% / reading 27%, grade F, #135 of 424 statewide, top 32%, 1,888 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 31% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 463 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 836 units permitted in Effingham County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Effingham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($358k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.57% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.04%
- DSCR
- 0.51
- GRM
- 14.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $428,917
- List price
- $362,990
- Delta
- -13.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1206 Zittrouer Rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,033 (+2%) | 4mo | $440,000 | $216 | 81 |
| 119 Sabel Ct | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 | 1,774 (-11%) | 3mo | $358,990 | $202 | 74 |
| 153 Whirlwind Way | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,947 (-2%) | 8mo | $317,900 | $163 | 62 |
| 157 Old Lake Rd | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 2,004 (+1%) | 7mo | $459,900 | $229 | 60 |
| 146 Whirlwind Way | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 | 2,060 (+4%) | 9mo | $337,700 | $164 | 59 |
| 100 Whirlwind Way | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,099 (+5%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $143 | 58 |
| 181 Old Lake Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,902 (-4%) | 4mo | $385,000 | $202 | 52 |
| 883 Zittrouer Rd | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 | 2,260 (+14%) | 6mo | $529,900 | $234 | 48 |
| 130 Whirlwind Way | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,848 (-7%) | 11mo | $320,500 | $173 | 42 |
| 101 Shelton Dr | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 2,203 (+11%) | 14mo | $382,990 | $174 | 41 |
| 108 Grove Dr | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 | 2,203 (+11%) | 14mo | $410,990 | $187 | 39 |
| 140 Whirlwind Way | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,734 (-13%) | 7mo | $302,900 | $175 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -36.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.16×
- Total profit
- $-139,774
- Equity at exit
- $63,953
- IRR
- -50.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.77×
- Total profit
- $-211,989
- Equity at exit
- $37,085
Cash invested: $120,097 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 34 active · 19 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.2 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $377,870 ($206/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 88 d
- This list price
- 38% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +4.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 31312
- Home prices YoY
- -26.6%
- Active inventory
- 463
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,434 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,249
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$536 /mo · $6,434/yr
- Insurance
- −$179
- HOA
- −$63
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$511
- Net cashflow
- $-1,105
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-808 | -5% $-956 | +0% $-1,105 | +5% $-1,253 | +10% $-1,401 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,297 | -5% $-1,201 | +0% $-1,105 | +5% $-1,008 | +10% $-912 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-889 | -0.5pp $-995 | base $-1,105 | +0.5pp $-1,216 | +1.0pp $-1,329 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $107,229
- Closing costs
- $12,868
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Burrows WAY Guyton, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1353 | $1,999 | $1.48 | 72d | 37 | 1.41mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Under constructionDirections available
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with annual fee of $750Community playgroundCommunity parkSubdivision: Palm Ridge
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerUnderground utilities
- Home design
- Single-family residenceNew constructionTwo storiesBelhaven model by DR HortonFacing/entry level not specified
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingSlab foundationOther roof typeBuilt by DR Horton
- Exterior features
- Covered patioPatioFront porch
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveOvenRangeRefrigerator
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathroomsOne half bathroomOne main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features
- Breakfast barDouble vanityKitchen islandPantry
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookup on upper levelElectric water heater
HOA detail $63/mo · $756/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $362,990 Active 25 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $362,990 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $362,990 Active 23 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $362,990 Active 22 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $362,990 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $362,990 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $362,990 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $362,990 Active 16 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $362,990 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $362,990 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $362,990 Active 11 DOM
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2026-07-23price $362,990 Active 9 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $372,990 Active 9 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $372,990 Active 8 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $372,990 Active 7 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $372,990 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $372,990 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $372,990 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $372,990 Active 109 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $372,990 Active 108 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $372,990 Active 107 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $372,990 Active 106 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $372,990 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $372,990 Active 104 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $372,990 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $372,990 Active 102 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $372,990 Active 101 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $372,990 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $372,990 Active 99 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $372,990 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $372,990 Active 97 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $372,990 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $372,990 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $372,990 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $372,990 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $372,990 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $372,990 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $372,990 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $372,990 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $372,990 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $372,990 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $372,990 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $372,990 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $372,990 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $372,990 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $372,990 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $372,990 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $372,990 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $372,990 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $372,990 Active 72 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,205
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,026
- − Property taxes
- −$6,434
- − Insurance
- −$2,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,336
- − Management
- −$2,336
- − HOA
- −$756
- − Depreciation
- −$12,478
- Taxable loss
- −$21,306
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,113
- After-tax cash flow
- $-8,141/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This two-story home in Palm Ridge, Bloomingdale, GA, is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a spacious kitchen, two bathrooms, and a versatile flex room. The home is move-in ready with potential for minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Interior touch-ups — Enhances interior aesthetics and value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Effingham County
- NCES district ID
- 1301980
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,503
- Composite
- 42.56/100
- National rank
- #3195
- State rank
- #16 of 174 in GA
Livability — Guyton
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #128
- US rank
- #9058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Effingham County · 67,399 people
- City population
- 25,991
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,991
- Household income
- $101,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9% of renters
Population outlook (Effingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,399 people
- By 2030
- 72,297 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 81,602 · +21.1%
- By 2050
- 89,494 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 105,976 · +57.2%
- By 2100
- 111,943 · +66.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 11% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Effingham
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.1) · D 25.2% · R 74.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: -50.7pp · 2024: -49.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.1 2020: R+49.5 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+50.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.77%
- Current HPI
- 205.9899
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-14 Listed $372,990 Hive MLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $372,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…