975 N H St #41 · Tulare, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 36 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 39 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3 bed / 2 bath mobile home in Parkview Mobile Home Estates with great potential. Home features newer cabinets, quartz countertops, laminate flooring, tile showers, newer windows, and a 2 year old roof. While the property needs some TLC, many important updates have already been completed, and it is located in a family-friendly park. Call today for more details or to schedule a showing.
Key facts
- 2 year old roof
- Quartz countertops
- Laminate flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Carport (1 space); Attached carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected
- Home design: Manufactured in park (manufactured home); Double wide; Single-story; No common walls; Residential zoning; Has a view
- Construction: Vertical siding; Wood siding; Raised foundation; Shingle roof; Manufactured home model: CASA GRANDE (12' x 60')
- Exterior features: Private yard; Storage; Covered patio/side porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Gas range; Free-standing range; Range hood; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Beamed ceilings; Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Recessed lighting
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.7% vs local median 3.3% in Tulare — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#701 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: commute C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Tulare Joint Union High (suburban): math 18% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #280 of 517 in CA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Heritage Elementary (math 14% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,329 of 1,571 statewide, top 85%, 607 students, 83% FRL); Los Tules Middle (math 12% / reading 35%, grade F, #370 of 498 statewide, top 75%, 664 students, 86% FRL); Tulare Western High (math 18% / reading 56%, grade F, #578 of 1,170 statewide, top 51%, 1,933 students, 78% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,447 units permitted in Tulare County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulare County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.03%
- DSCR
- 3.14
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $53,880
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 50.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.87×
- Total profit
- $134,891
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93274
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 355
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,136 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $210/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $1,109
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,166 | -5% $1,137 | +0% $1,109 | +5% $1,081 | +10% $935 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $941 | -5% $1,025 | +0% $1,109 | +5% $1,194 | +10% $1,278 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,159 | -0.5pp $1,135 | base $1,109 | +0.5pp $1,084 | +1.0pp $1,058 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1170 N Petaluma St Tulare, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1547 | $2,200 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1136 W Damron Ave Tulare, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1919 N Oaks St Tulare, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1380 | $2,325 | $1.68 | 15d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1927 N Oaks St Tulare, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1590 | $2,050 | $1.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1989 N Oaks St Tulare, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1590 | $2,195 | $1.38 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 648 Auburn St Tulare, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 606 Auburn St Tulare, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1166 | $1,800 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 790 E San Joaquin Ave Unit 790 Tulare, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1727 | $2,395 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-18$99,000 Active
-
2026-04-25$99,000 Active
-
2026-04-20historical
-
2026-01-09$110,000 Active
-
2026-01-08$110,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $210 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $752 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$542/yr (+$45/mo · 258.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 36 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,631
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$210
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,050
- − Management
- −$2,050
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $12,400
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,976
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,338/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tulare Joint Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0639930
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,858
- Composite
- 29.91/100
- National rank
- #6384
- State rank
- #280 of 517 in CA
Livability — Tulare
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #701
- US rank
- #21185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulare, CA
- County
- Tulare County · 323,826 people
- City population
- 80,026
- Metro
- Visalia, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 80,026
- Household income
- $72,650
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2393.0
Population outlook (Tulare County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,681 people
- By 2030
- 496,241 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 518,507 · +7.0%
- By 2050
- 534,920 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 548,417 · +13.2%
- By 2100
- 513,085 · +5.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 64% White 29% Two or more races 24% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 60%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 7% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulare
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 38.5% · R 59.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+12.1 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -402.03%
- Current HPI
- 316.0806
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.67%
- Metro
- Visalia, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $99,000 TCMLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $99,000 GEMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $110,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-08 Listed $110,000 GEMLS
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2021): $210 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…