1073 Moonlight Ct · Palm Bay, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Rule #1 LOCATION! Minutes from shopping, restaurants, hospital and I-95. Perfect as a seasonal retreat or full-time residence this 2BR/2BA mobile home in a desirable 55+ gated & land owned community! The home features an open-concept living area, vinyl flooring throughout, and spacious bedrooms. Fully furnished with lightly used furniture (under 3 years old), as home was used seasonally. Primary bath offers a walk-in shower; guest bath includes a tub/shower combo. Enjoy the 3-season Florida room with tinted windows--perfect for relaxing & privacy. New AC unit with updated ductwork. Amenities including 2 pools (1 heated), clubhouse, fitness center, shuffleboard, bocce ball, libra
Key facts
- New ac unit
- Vinyl flooring
- 2 pools
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished unit; Located in a senior community
- HOA & community: Part of Port Malabar Holiday Park association; Voluntary association fee ($5); Association amenities include cable TV, clubhouse, gated entry, laundry, grounds maintenance, RV/boat storage, and security
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 space); RV access/parking
- Security: 24-hour security; Gated community with guard
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured home; One story; Entry level: 1; Faces northwest
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Side porch; Shed(s); Cleared lot; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; His and hers closets; Primary bathroom with tub and shower
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $603 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#366 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Lockmar Elementary School (math 45% / reading 53%, grade D, #1,134 of 2,144 statewide, top 54%, 583 students, 58% FRL); Southwest Middle School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 920 students, 58% FRL); Palm Bay Magnet Senior High School (math 25% / reading 37%, grade F, #429 of 667 statewide, top 65%, 1,486 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 43% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 40% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 739 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.72%
- DSCR
- 2.28
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $20,230
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $52,966
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32907
- Home prices YoY
- -10.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 739
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,835 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$338 /mo · $4,059/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $603
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $891 | -5% $628 | +0% $603 | +5% $577 | +10% $552 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $458 | -5% $530 | +0% $603 | +5% $675 | +10% $748 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $648 | -0.5pp $625 | base $603 | +0.5pp $579 | +1.0pp $556 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 Valor Dr SE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 901 | $1,937 | $2.15 | 15d | 17 | 0.70mi |
| 1698 Sunny Brook Ln NE Unit G109 Palm Bay, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 658 | $1,200 | $1.82 | 19d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $89,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31price $95,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $101,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $101,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $101,000
-
2026-04-09$109,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,059 · $338/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,059 · $338/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,021
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$4,059
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,762
- − Management
- −$1,762
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $6,338
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,521
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,709/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm Bay
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #366
- US rank
- #6458
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Bay, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- City population
- 132,211
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,080
- Household income
- $75,311
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 702.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 15% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -34.79%
- Current HPI
- 308.9719
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.93%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-7.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $101,000 SCMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $109,000 SCMLS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,059 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…