233-06 131 St #1 · New York, NY 11412

$270,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · Condo · 379 Days on market

Built 1950

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +19.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.0/10.0
• 1% rule +5.1/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Location, Location, Location. Updated kitchen and bathroom new appliances. Close to public transportation, near park, shopping and JFK airport. This apartment is ready to go.

Key facts

• Near jfk airport
• Near shopping
• New appliances

Tags

• UPDATED KITCHEN
• NEW APPLIANCES
• CLOSE TO PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION
• NEAR PARK
• NEAR SHOPPING
• NEAR JFK AIRPORT

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: On-street parking
• Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected
• Home design: Stock cooperative
• Construction: Brick construction
• Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Convection oven; Cooktop; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
• Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first floor
• Flooring: Hardwood
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central air
• Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bath; Bay windows; Drapes
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $270k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
• Recommended offer: $238k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 379 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $237,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 379 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.01% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.57%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.57%
• DSCR: 1.20
• GRM: 8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -9.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.66×
• Total profit: $-25,384
• Equity at exit: $40,258

10-year hold

• IRR: 0.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.02×
• Total profit: $1,662
• Equity at exit: $23,345

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11412

• Active inventory: 146
• Price-to-rent: 8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,726 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,416
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$338 /mo · $4,050/yr
• Insurance: −$112
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$572
• Net cashflow: $288

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,362

Max offer price $270,000

Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $474	-5% $381	+0% $288	+5% $194	+10% $101
Rent	-10% $72	-5% $180	+0% $288	+5% $395	+10% $503
Rate	-1.0pp $424	-0.5pp $356	base $288	+0.5pp $218	+1.0pp $147

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $67,500
• Closing costs: $8,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 6 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
138-41 230th Pl Unit 2ND Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	592	$2,600	$4.39	25d	1	0.72mi
21836 133rd Rd Springfield Gardens, NY	2.0	1.0	902	$2,895	$3.21	25d	1	0.78mi
1003 Rottkamp St #1 Valley Stream, NY	1.0	1.0	550	$2,400	$4.36	2d	1	0.96mi
12033 200th St Saint Albans, NY	1.0	1.0	1099	$2,000	$1.82	14d	1	1.11mi
24312 144th Ave Rosedale, NY	1.0	1.0	800	$2,200	$2.75	25d	1	1.26mi
362 W Merrick Rd Unit 101 Valley Stream, NY	2.0	1.0	906	$3,695	$4.08	19d	1	1.46mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $270,000 Active 379 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $270,000 Active 376 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $270,000 Active 375 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $270,000 Active 373 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $270,000 Active 371 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $270,000 Active 367 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $270,000 Active 366 DOM
8. 2026-06-03
   days on market $270,000 Active 361 DOM
9. 2026-06-01
   days on market $270,000 Active 359 DOM
10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $270,000 Active 358 DOM
11. 2026-01-08
    status Active
12. 2025-12-29
    historical
13. 2025-05-28
    listed $270,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $32,714
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,124
• − Property taxes: −$4,050
• − Insurance: −$1,350
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,617
• − Management: −$2,617
• − Depreciation: −$7,855
• Taxable loss: −$899
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$216
• After-tax cash flow: $3,669/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• City population: 7,731,280
• Population (ZIP): 41,350

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,546,320 people
• By 2030: 2,643,059 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 2,815,563 · +10.6%
• By 2050: 2,944,423 · +15.6%
• By 2075: 3,123,338 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (78%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% White 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 7%
• Foreign-born: 42% · Canada
• Languages at home: 82% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -413.59%
• Current HPI: 302.063
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-08 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-29 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-28 Listed $270,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid