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962 Greensboro Street Ext
D Composite 42.82
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

962 Greensboro Street Ext · Lexington, NC 27295
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,322 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1915 0.91 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Future redevelopment
  • Rental income
  • Ra3 land

Tags

NEARLY 1 ACRE3 SEPARATE LIVING SPACESMULTI-GENERATIONAL LIVINGRENTAL INCOMEFUTURE REDEVELOPMENTRA3 LAND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: RA3
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Driveway; 4 garage spaces; Main level garage
  • Utilities: Water: other (see remarks); Sewer: N/A
  • Home design: Single-family residence (residential); Site-built construction; Two levels; Main level garage
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Basement foundation; Basement present
  • Exterior features: Lot includes both dirt and paved road frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Interior entry basement; Fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry details — see remarks

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($977/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (20.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.5% in Lexington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#89 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-, employment F.
  • Lexington City Schools (suburban): math 32% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #136 of 178 in NC (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Pickett Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #908 of 1,410 statewide, top 67%, 394 students, 99% FRL); Lexington Middle School (math 31% / reading 41%, grade F, #273 of 475 statewide, top 58%, 647 students, 100% FRL); Lexington Senior High School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #393 of 535 statewide, top 75%, 928 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 78% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 990 units permitted in Davidson County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Davidson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $59k; list at $215k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,366 (20.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.62%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.4%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-29,117
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-16,457
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27295

Home prices YoY
-15.2%
Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
362
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,714 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $663/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,611
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $203 -5% $142 +0% $81 +5% $21 +10% $-40
Rent -10% $-54 -5% $14 +0% $81 +5% $149 +10% $217
Rate -1.0pp $190 -0.5pp $136 base $81 +0.5pp $26 +1.0pp $-31

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $215,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    status $215,000 Active 1 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $215,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$663 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,763 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$1,100/yr (+$92/mo · 165.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,564
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$663
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,645
− Management
−$1,645
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$2,763
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$663
After-tax cash flow
$1,640/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lexington City Schools
NCES district ID
3702640
Math proficiency
32% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$27,758
Composite
28.2/100
National rank
#6807
State rank
#136 of 178 in NC

Livability — Lexington

Score
72/100
State rank
#89
US rank
#6051

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Davidson County · 129,088 people
City population
79,578
Metro
Winston-Salem, NC
Population (ZIP)
39,267
Household income
$63,961
Rent vs Own
24.5% rent · 75.5% own
Severe rent burden
733.0

Population outlook (Davidson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
167,156 people
By 2030
167,216 · +0.0%
By 2040
164,524 · -1.6%
By 2050
157,229 · -5.9%
By 2075
138,084 · -17.4%
By 2100
112,729 · -32.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Davidson

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.1 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+49.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.39%
Current HPI
258.6557
Rent YoY
▲ 3.37%
Metro
Winston-Salem, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+264.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $215,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1990-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $663 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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