1220 13th Ave · Phenix City, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Historic 3 bedrooms / 2 bath home with Bonus Room. 1740 Sq. Ft. Large kitchen with washer & dryer connection. Living Room with fireplace & large bay window. Lots of storage. Large, fenced backyard.
Key facts
- Lots of storage
- Bonus room
- Large kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Veterans to 13th Street to 13th Ave, house on left; Subdivision: MORGAN COMMONS
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single story
- Construction: Residential construction
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $637 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 5.1% in Phenix City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#297 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Phenix City (suburban): math 22% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #59 of 129 in AL (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Westview Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #424 of 627 statewide, top 68%, 421 students, 79% FRL); Phenix City Intermediate School (math 18% / reading 41%, grade F, #129 of 257 statewide, top 52%, 1,044 students, 80% FRL); Central High School (math 26% / reading 21%, grade F, #139 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 1,495 students, 74% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 183 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Russell County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $110k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.80%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $111,360
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1001 12th St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,760 (+1%) | 16mo | $152,700 | $87 | 71 |
| 1807 (a&b) 10th Ct | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,762 (+1%) | 9mo | $113,000 | $64 | 56 |
| 1301 21st St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,705 (-2%) | 9mo | $141,000 | $83 | 55 |
| 1104 20th st St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,597 (-8%) | 0mo | $96,800 | $61 | 54 |
| 1307 15th Pl | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,855 (+7%) | 15mo | $66,000 | $36 | 54 |
| 1302 Adie St | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,970 (+13%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $140 | 47 |
| 1200 20th St | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,645 (-6%) | 4mo | $106,000 | $64 | 46 |
| 1312 Ingersoll Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,516 (-13%) | 2mo | $249,900 | $165 | 44 |
| 1711 15th Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (-14%) | 7mo | $178,900 | $120 | 43 |
| 1810 13th St | 0.51mi | 3/3.0 | 1,930 (+11%) | 13mo | $100,000 | $52 | 43 |
| 1612 8th Ave | 0.62mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 1,780 (+2%) | 14mo | $35,000 | $20 | 43 |
| 1024 20th St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,547 (-11%) | 9mo | $63,000 | $41 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $26,751
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 30.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.02×
- Total profit
- $92,867
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36867
- Home prices YoY
- -30.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 217
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,688 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $887/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $637
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $699 | -5% $668 | +0% $637 | +5% $605 | +10% $574 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $503 | -5% $570 | +0% $637 | +5% $703 | +10% $770 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $692 | -0.5pp $665 | base $637 | +0.5pp $608 | +1.0pp $579 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1346 Ingersoll Dr Phenix City, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 651 Builder Dr Phenix City, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $1,750 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 414 21st Ave Phenix City, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 16d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-03-09status Active
-
2026-02-21status Pending
-
2026-02-02status Active
-
2026-01-27status Pending
-
2026-01-20$110,000 Active
-
2007-03-23soldstatus $51,059
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $887 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $887 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,251
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$887
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,620
- − Management
- −$1,620
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $6,212
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,491
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,148/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Phenix City
- NCES district ID
- 0102700
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,228
- Composite
- 27.29/100
- National rank
- #7001
- State rank
- #59 of 129 in AL
Livability — Phenix City
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #19037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phenix City, AL
- County
- Russell County · 53,055 people
- City population
- 62,290
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,821
- Household income
- $48,026
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1399.0
Population outlook (Russell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 70,137 people
- By 2030
- 75,826 · +8.1%
- By 2040
- 87,858 · +25.3%
- By 2050
- 99,721 · +42.2%
- By 2075
- 128,009 · +82.5%
- By 2100
- 149,251 · +112.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Russell
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 48.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: 7.3pp · 2024: 1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.7 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+1.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+7.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.10%
- Current HPI
- 171.8426
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.33%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+115.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — CBOR
- 2026-02-21 Pending — CBOR
- 2026-02-02 Relisted — CBOR
- 2026-01-27 Pending — CBOR
- 2026-01-20 Listed $110,000 CBOR
- 2007-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $51,059 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $887 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…