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605 NE 219th Ave
D+ Composite 49.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$194,900

605 NE 219th Ave · Cross City, FL 32680
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,280 sqft · Manufactured public records · 113 Days on market
Built 2005 1.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2,280 sq ft 4 bedroom 3 bathroom home has everything your family needs and more! You will fall in love with the quiet neighborhood and your corner lot with beautiful mature trees and wildlife. Spread out between the two living area's, one of which featuring a cozy stone wood-burning fireplace. You will have no problem entertaining guests in the large kitchen with island and tons of storage. Every bedroom features a large walk-in closet. Feel like royalty in the biggest master bedroom you have ever stepped foot in, easily swallows a king-size bed! The outdoor living area features a back porch for your bbq's - and a 2-car detached garage with a man cave/workshop for all of your projects! Seller is offering fully furnished! Must see!!!!

Key facts

  • Massive utility room
  • Large island
  • Crown molding

Tags

CORNER LOTCROWN MOLDINGWOOD BURNING FIREPLACELARGE ISLANDJACK AND JILL BATHROOMMASSIVE UTILITY ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water (private)
  • Home design: Residential mobile home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Cathedral ceiling; Vaulted ceiling; 7 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-39 ($-473/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (3.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (19.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.1% in Cross City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#412 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Dixie (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #36 of 73 in FL (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 262 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Dixie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Dixie County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $195k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $156,240 (19.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.87%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$103,616
Equity at exit
$175,581
10-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
6.63×
Total profit
$307,064
Equity at exit
$378,648

Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32680

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
262
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,562 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,022
Tax from tax record
$170 /mo · $2,045/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$328
Net cashflow
$-39

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,612
Max offer price $187,938
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $71 -5% $16 +0% $-39 +5% $-95 +10% $-150
Rent -10% $-163 -5% $-101 +0% $-39 +5% $22 +10% $84
Rate -1.0pp $59 -0.5pp $10 base $-39 +0.5pp $-90 +1.0pp $-141

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,725
Closing costs
$5,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $194,900 Active 113 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $194,900 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $194,900 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $194,900 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $194,900 Active 108 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $194,900 Active 106 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $194,900 Active 105 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $194,900 Active 102 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $194,900 Active 101 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $194,900 Active 100 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $194,900 Active 99 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $194,900 Active 96 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $194,900 Active 95 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $194,900 Active 94 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $194,900 Active 93 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $194,900 Active 92 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    price $194,900
  18. 2026-03-13
    price $199,900
  19. 2026-02-27
    listed $209,900 Active
  20. 2020-08-28
    soldstatus $100,000
  21. 2020-08-17
    soldstatus $125,000 748-char remark
    Show marketing remark (748 chars)

    This 2,280 sq ft 4 bedroom 3 bathroom home has everything your family needs and more! You will fall in love with the quiet neighborhood and your corner lot with beautiful mature trees and wildlife. Spread out between the two living area's, one of which featuring a cozy stone wood-burning fireplace. You will have no problem entertaining guests in the large kitchen with island and tons of storage. Every bedroom features a large walk-in closet. Feel like royalty in the biggest master bedroom you have ever stepped foot in, easily swallows a king-size bed! The outdoor living area features a back porch for your bbq's - and a 2-car detached garage with a man cave/workshop for all of your projects! Seller is offering fully furnished! Must see!!!!

  22. 2020-06-13
    listed $129,900 748-char remark
    Show marketing remark (748 chars)

    This 2,280 sq ft 4 bedroom 3 bathroom home has everything your family needs and more! You will fall in love with the quiet neighborhood and your corner lot with beautiful mature trees and wildlife. Spread out between the two living area's, one of which featuring a cozy stone wood-burning fireplace. You will have no problem entertaining guests in the large kitchen with island and tons of storage. Every bedroom features a large walk-in closet. Feel like royalty in the biggest master bedroom you have ever stepped foot in, easily swallows a king-size bed! The outdoor living area features a back porch for your bbq's - and a 2-car detached garage with a man cave/workshop for all of your projects! Seller is offering fully furnished! Must see!!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,045 · $170/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,045 · $170/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,749
− Mortgage interest
−$10,917
− Property taxes
−$2,045
− Insurance
−$974
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,500
− Management
−$1,500
− Depreciation
−$5,670
Taxable loss
−$3,858
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$926
After-tax cash flow
$453/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dixie
NCES district ID
1200450
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$34,799
Composite
42.18/100
National rank
#3290
State rank
#36 of 73 in FL

Livability — Cross City

Score
70/100
State rank
#412
US rank
#7340

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,445

Population outlook (Dixie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,122 people
By 2030
14,521 · -4.0%
By 2040
13,503 · -10.7%
By 2050
12,671 · -16.2%
By 2075
10,857 · -28.2%
By 2100
8,344 · -44.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dixie

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -45.0pp · 2024: -70.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.4 2020: R+66.0 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+45.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.22%
Current HPI
424.0037
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $194,900 DGLMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $199,900 DGLMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $209,900 DGLMLS
  • 2020-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-17 Sold (MLS) $125,000 DGLMLS
  • 2020-06-13 Listed $129,900 DGLMLS

Property tax history

+12.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,045 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…