None · Watseka, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$19,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Special - Just Outside Watseka Attention investors! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,299 sq. ft. of potential, featuring a fireplace and a peaceful location south of Watseka. The property is in very poor condition and will require a full renovation. Being sold as-is - all buyers and agents must sign a liability waiver prior to any showing, and unrepresented buyers are not permitted. Perfect opportunity for an experienced investor or rehabber ready to take on a project.
Key facts
- Peaceful location
- Full renovation
- 0.57 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 203 x 124; Lot about 0.5–0.99 acre; Zoning: Single
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces; Owned parking (other type)
- Utilities: Shared well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 2 stories; Fee simple ownership; Rehab completed (year listed as 1940)
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation; Property over 100 years old; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Second level); Bedroom 2 (Second level, 9 x 10); Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Unfinished attic; Full unfinished basement; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $20k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 45.9% vs local median 3.4% in Watseka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#811 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Iroquois County CUSD 9 (rural): math 18% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #316 of 620 in IL (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Iroquois County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $403 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $265 appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
- Iroquois County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 45.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 141.48%
- DSCR
- 7.30
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,472
- List price
- $19,900
- Delta
- -83.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.33% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.64×
- Total profit
- $42,577
- Equity at exit
- $7,137
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.10×
- Total profit
- $95,258
- Equity at exit
- $9,757
Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60970
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,056 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$104
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $773/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $657
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $668 | -5% $663 | +0% $657 | +5% $651 | +10% $646 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $574 | -5% $615 | +0% $657 | +5% $699 | +10% $740 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $667 | -0.5pp $662 | base $657 | +0.5pp $652 | +1.0pp $647 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,975
- Closing costs
- $597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $19,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $19,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $19,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $19,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $19,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $19,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $19,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $19,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $19,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $19,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $19,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $19,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 487-char remark
-
2026-05-31pricestatusdays on market $19,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-12historical
-
2026-03-31price
-
2025-11-12Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $773 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $773 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,669
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,115
- − Property taxes
- −$773
- − Insurance
- −$100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,013
- − Management
- −$1,013
- − Depreciation
- −$579
- Taxable income
- $8,076
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,938
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,945/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iroquois County CUSD 9
- NCES district ID
- 1720170
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,590
- Composite
- 22.14/100
- National rank
- #8171
- State rank
- #316 of 620 in IL
Livability — Watseka
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #811
- US rank
- #15998
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,965
Population outlook (Iroquois County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,826 people
- By 2030
- 25,771 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 23,589 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 21,523 · -19.8%
- By 2075
- 17,998 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 14,979 · -44.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Iranian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Iroquois
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.3) · D 20.6% · R 78.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.8pp · 2024: -57.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.3 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+44.7 2008: R+29.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Current HPI
- 156.8
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $19,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-12 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2024): $773 · +28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…