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D+ Composite 48.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$19,900

None · Watseka, IL 60970
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,299 sqft · SingleFamily · 19 Days on market
Built 1880 0.57 ac lot $15/sqft · 87% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special - Just Outside Watseka Attention investors! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,299 sq. ft. of potential, featuring a fireplace and a peaceful location south of Watseka. The property is in very poor condition and will require a full renovation. Being sold as-is - all buyers and agents must sign a liability waiver prior to any showing, and unrepresented buyers are not permitted. Perfect opportunity for an experienced investor or rehabber ready to take on a project.

Key facts

  • Peaceful location
  • Full renovation
  • 0.57 acre lot

Tags

FULL RENOVATIONPEACEFUL LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 203 x 124; Lot about 0.5–0.99 acre; Zoning: Single
  • HOA & community: No master association fees required

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces; Owned parking (other type)
  • Utilities: Shared well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 2 stories; Fee simple ownership; Rehab completed (year listed as 1940)
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation; Property over 100 years old; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Second level); Bedroom 2 (Second level, 9 x 10); Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Unfinished attic; Full unfinished basement; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $20k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 45.9% vs local median 3.4% in Watseka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#811 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Iroquois County CUSD 9 (rural): math 18% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #316 of 620 in IL (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Iroquois County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $403 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $265 appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
  • Iroquois County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $19,601 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.31%
Cap rate
45.91%
Cash-on-cash
141.48%
DSCR
7.30
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,472
List price
$19,900
Delta
-83.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.33% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.64×
Total profit
$42,577
Equity at exit
$7,137
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
18.10×
Total profit
$95,258
Equity at exit
$9,757

Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60970

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,056 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$104
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $773/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$657

Break-even live

Break-even rent $224
Max offer price $19,900
Occupancy floor 33%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $668 -5% $663 +0% $657 +5% $651 +10% $646
Rent -10% $574 -5% $615 +0% $657 +5% $699 +10% $740
Rate -1.0pp $667 -0.5pp $662 base $657 +0.5pp $652 +1.0pp $647

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,975
Closing costs
$597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $19,900 Active 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $19,900 Active 18 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $19,900 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $19,900 Active 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $19,900 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $19,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $19,900 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $19,900 Active 9 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $19,900 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $19,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $19,900 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $19,900 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    remarks 487-char remark
  14. 2026-05-31
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $19,900 Active 1 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    historical
  16. 2026-03-31
    price
  17. 2025-11-12
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$773 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$773 · $64/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,669
− Mortgage interest
−$1,115
− Property taxes
−$773
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,013
− Management
−$1,013
− Depreciation
−$579
Taxable income
$8,076
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,938
After-tax cash flow
$5,945/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Iroquois County CUSD 9
NCES district ID
1720170
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$38,590
Composite
22.14/100
National rank
#8171
State rank
#316 of 620 in IL

Livability — Watseka

Score
63/100
State rank
#811
US rank
#15998

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,965

Population outlook (Iroquois County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,826 people
By 2030
25,771 · -3.9%
By 2040
23,589 · -12.1%
By 2050
21,523 · -19.8%
By 2075
17,998 · -32.9%
By 2100
14,979 · -44.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Iranian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Iroquois

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.3) · D 20.6% · R 78.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.8pp · 2024: -57.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.3 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+44.7 2008: R+29.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.33%
Current HPI
156.8
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $19,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-12 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $773 · +28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…