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The Raven : Build On Your Lot Plan 🏗️ New Construction
C Composite 55.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$372,450

The Raven : Build On Your Lot Plan · Flossmoor, IL 60422
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,672 sqft · SingleFamily · 138 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the Charm of a Modern Ranch Home. Explore the charm and efficiency of this spacious 1,910-square-foot ranch home, featuring three bedrooms and a full basement. The contemporary exterior, accentuated by stone and brick details, creates a welcoming ambiance from the moment you arrive. Inside, the open-concept design seamlessly integrates the kitchen, living, and dining areas, offering an inviting space perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Sliding doors from the living room lead to an outdoor area, enhancing the home's indoor-outdoor flow and providing a wonderful setting for gatherings. For privacy, each bedroom is thoughtfully positioned in separate corners of the home. The

Key facts

  • Open-concept design
  • Indoor-outdoor flow
  • Modern ranch home

Tags

MODERN RANCH HOMEFULL BASEMENTOPEN-CONCEPT DESIGNOUTDOOR AREAINDOOR-OUTDOOR FLOWWALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $372,450

Exterior

  • Utilities: Has heating; Has cooling
  • Home design: The Raven — build-on-your-lot plan; Single-family home (plan)
  • Construction: New construction plan (2026); Living area approximately 2672
  • Exterior features: Metal roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Other heating; Wall unit(s) cooling
  • Interior features: Open plan (based on plan listing)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $372,450 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $363,392.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $372k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $649 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $372k).
  • Recommended offer: $328k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.3% in Flossmoor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#107 in IL, #1,718 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F.
  • Homewood Flossmoor Chsd 233 (suburban): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #272 of 620 in IL (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($328k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $327,756 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.44%
Cash-on-cash
7.65%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$363,392
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3043 Bonnie Brae 0.34mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,800 (+5%) 8mo $365,000 $130 59
3000 Lawrence Cres 0.47mi 3/2.5 2,725 (+2%) 16mo $350,000 $128 56
1516 Scott Cres 0.65mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,693 (+1%) 10mo $399,999 $149 49
1344 Heather Hill Cres 0.51mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,419 (-10%) 8mo $389,900 $161 43
1421 Berry Ln 0.68mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,478 (-7%) 2mo $324,999 $131 43
3026 Macfarlane 0.68mi 3/2.5 2,500 (-6%) 11mo $375,000 $150 42
3006 Polly Ln 0.51mi 4/2.5 (+1) 3,000 (+12%) 3mo $395,000 $132 42
1426 Douglas Ave 0.71mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,700 (+1%) 15mo $368,000 $136 42
1402 Berry Ln 0.69mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,958 (+11%) 2mo $514,800 $174 37
3809 Ballantrae Way 0.62mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,842 (+6%) 12mo $550,000 $194 35
3018 Bonnie Brae Cres 0.40mi 4/2.5 (+1) 3,048 (+14%) 19mo $384,000 $126 31
20234 Wilderness Trl 0.65mi 3/3.5 3,000 (+12%) 18mo $341,500 $114 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-17,510
Equity at exit
$54,183
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$38,197
Equity at exit
$31,419

Cash invested: $101,750 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60422

Home prices YoY
-26.3%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,906
Tax est. 1.5%
$454 /mo · $5,451/yr
Insurance
$151
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$840
Net cashflow
$649

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,179
Max offer price $363,392
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $900 -5% $774 +0% $649 +5% $523 +10% $398
Rent -10% $333 -5% $491 +0% $649 +5% $807 +10% $965
Rate -1.0pp $832 -0.5pp $741 base $649 +0.5pp $555 +1.0pp $459

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$90,848
Closing costs
$10,902
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1337 Lawrence Cres Flossmoor, IL 4.0 2.0 2264 $4,000 $1.77 4d 1 0.94mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $372,450 Active 138 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $372,450 Active 135 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $372,450 Active 134 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $372,450 Active 133 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $372,450 Active 132 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $372,450 Active 130 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $372,450 Active 126 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $372,450 Active 125 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $372,450 Active 124 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $372,450 Active 121 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $372,450 Active 120 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $372,450 Active 119 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $372,450 Active 118 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $372,450 Active 117 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,000
− Mortgage interest
−$20,356
− Property taxes
−$5,451
− Insurance
−$1,817
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,840
− Management
−$3,840
− Depreciation
−$10,571
Taxable income
$2,125
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$510
After-tax cash flow
$7,274/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Homewood Flossmoor Chsd 233
NCES district ID
1719560
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$83,564
Composite
24.42/100
National rank
#7681
State rank
#272 of 620 in IL

Livability — Flossmoor

Score
80/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#1718

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living D Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flossmoor, IL
City population
9,885
Population (ZIP)
9,885

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.78%
Current HPI
189.5534
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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