🏷️ Likely Rental
2400 Snowgoose Dr Unit RV12-C · Eagle Crest, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 22 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Own your getaway! This 1/5 deeded share gives you 10 rotating weeks each year in a fully furnished 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,405 sq ft Eagle Crest townhome with a brand-new deck and hot tub overlooking the canyon and Deschutes River—your perfect spot to unwind. Conveniently situated within Eagle Crest Resort, you'll have access to an unmatched lineup of amenities including miles of scenic trails, three golf courses, swimming pools, pickleball and tennis courts, biking paths, and on-site restaurants including a new cliffside taphouse overlooking the river. Whether you're seeking adventure or relaxation, this is the ideal getaway and an affordable way to enjoy resort living year-round.
Key facts
- Brand new deck
- Scenic trails
- Hot tub
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $999.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $999).
- Recommended offer: $879 (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 1324.7% vs local median 1.5% in Eagle Crest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#272 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Redmond SD 2J (town): math 24% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #28 of 58 in OR (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 731 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,624 units permitted in Deschutes County in 2024 (391 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Deschutes County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $280 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 197 days — a 12% lower offer ($879) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 197 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 233.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1324.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4708.47%
- DSCR
- 210.50
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $15,803
- List price
- $999
- Delta
- -93.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1978 Redtail Hawk Dr Unit 21i | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (0%) | 3mo | $2,500 | $2 | 90 |
| 2280 Snowgoose Dr Unit RV6D | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (0%) | 18mo | $9,500 | $7 | 82 |
| 2390 Snowgoose Dr Unit RV 11-C 10 Weeks | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (0%) | 22mo | $5,000 | $4 | 81 |
| 1836 Redtail Hawk Dr Unit RV57A | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (0%) | 12mo | $2,000 | $1 | 79 |
| 1982 Redtail Hawk Dr Unit RV19J | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (0%) | 20mo | $4,500 | $3 | 77 |
| 1844 Redtail Hawk Dr Unit RV55B | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (0%) | 16mo | $4,000 | $3 | 76 |
| 1844 Redtail Hawk Dr Unit RV55E | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (0%) | 18mo | $4,000 | $3 | 72 |
| 1830 Redtail Hawk Dr Unit RV59E | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,323 (-6%) | 6mo | $1 | — | 71 |
| 6960 Robin Ct Unit FV22B | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (0%) | 16mo | $26,500 | $19 | 64 |
| 6960 Robin Ct Unit FV22E | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (0%) | 16mo | $15,000 | $11 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 255.36×
- Total profit
- $71,150
- Equity at exit
- $149
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 564.98×
- Total profit
- $157,758
- Equity at exit
- $86
Cash invested: $280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97756
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 731
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,333 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1 /mo · $15/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$739
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$490
- Net cashflow
- $1,098
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,098 | -5% $1,098 | +0% $1,098 | +5% $1,097 | +10% $1,097 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $913 | -5% $1,005 | +0% $1,098 | +5% $1,190 | +10% $1,282 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,098 | -0.5pp $1,098 | base $1,098 | +0.5pp $1,097 | +1.0pp $1,097 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $250
- Closing costs
- $30
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $739 · $8,868/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $999 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $999 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $999 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $999 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $999 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $999 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $999 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $999 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $999 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $999 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $999 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $999 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $999 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $999 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-05-10price $999 689-char remark
Show marketing remark (689 chars)
Own your getaway! This 1/5 deeded share gives you 10 rotating weeks each year in a fully furnished 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,405 sq ft Eagle Crest townhome with a brand-new deck and hot tub overlooking the canyon and Deschutes River—your perfect spot to unwind. Conveniently situated within Eagle Crest Resort, you'll have access to an unmatched lineup of amenities including miles of scenic trails, three golf courses, swimming pools, pickleball and tennis courts, biking paths, and on-site restaurants including a new cliffside taphouse overlooking the river. Whether you're seeking adventure or relaxation, this is the ideal getaway and an affordable way to enjoy resort living year-round.
-
2026-04-10price $5,000 689-char remark
Show marketing remark (689 chars)
Own your getaway! This 1/5 deeded share gives you 10 rotating weeks each year in a fully furnished 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,405 sq ft Eagle Crest townhome with a brand-new deck and hot tub overlooking the canyon and Deschutes River—your perfect spot to unwind. Conveniently situated within Eagle Crest Resort, you'll have access to an unmatched lineup of amenities including miles of scenic trails, three golf courses, swimming pools, pickleball and tennis courts, biking paths, and on-site restaurants including a new cliffside taphouse overlooking the river. Whether you're seeking adventure or relaxation, this is the ideal getaway and an affordable way to enjoy resort living year-round.
-
2025-12-03$9,000 Active 689-char remark
Show marketing remark (689 chars)
Own your getaway! This 1/5 deeded share gives you 10 rotating weeks each year in a fully furnished 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,405 sq ft Eagle Crest townhome with a brand-new deck and hot tub overlooking the canyon and Deschutes River—your perfect spot to unwind. Conveniently situated within Eagle Crest Resort, you'll have access to an unmatched lineup of amenities including miles of scenic trails, three golf courses, swimming pools, pickleball and tennis courts, biking paths, and on-site restaurants including a new cliffside taphouse overlooking the river. Whether you're seeking adventure or relaxation, this is the ideal getaway and an affordable way to enjoy resort living year-round.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 22 unhealthy d/yr today · 25 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,002
- − Mortgage interest
- −$56
- − Property taxes
- −$15
- − Insurance
- −$5
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,240
- − Management
- −$2,240
- − HOA
- −$8,868
- − Depreciation
- −$29
- Taxable income
- $14,548
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,492
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,679/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Redmond SD 2J
- NCES district ID
- 4110350
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,027
- Composite
- 28.72/100
- National rank
- #6682
- State rank
- #28 of 58 in OR
Livability — Eagle Crest
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #272
- US rank
- #18365
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eagle Crest, OR
- County
- Deschutes County · 197,892 people
- Metro
- Bend, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,914
- Household income
- $87,278
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1205.0
Population outlook (Deschutes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 213,908 people
- By 2030
- 232,387 · +8.6%
- By 2040
- 265,858 · +24.3%
- By 2050
- 295,286 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 353,553 · +65.3%
- By 2100
- 380,293 · +77.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Portuguese 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Deschutes
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.1) · D 53.6% · R 43.5% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.4pp toward D · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: 10.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.1 2020: D+8.2 2016: R+3.8 2012: R+7.3 2008: R+0.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -292.28%
- Current HPI
- 385.3027
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.39%
- Metro
- Bend, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-44.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $999 MLSCO
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $5,000 MLSCO
- 2025-12-03 Listed $9,000 MLSCO
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…