1007 N 7th St · Harlingen, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer upper in the heart of Harlingen, due diligence to be done for buyer, great investment potential. FIRM PRICE
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2000
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $549 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
- Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 465 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.44%
- DSCR
- 2.40
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,639
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- -58.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 Orange Grove Rd | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,806 (+9%) | 12mo | $156,000 | $86 | 59 |
| 1905 N 8th St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (-13%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $146 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $23,629
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.28×
- Total profit
- $68,825
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78550
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 465
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,494 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$207 /mo · $2,479/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $549
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $592 | -5% $571 | +0% $549 | +5% $528 | +10% $507 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $431 | -5% $490 | +0% $549 | +5% $608 | +10% $667 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $587 | -0.5pp $569 | base $549 | +0.5pp $530 | +1.0pp $510 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 914 E Carrol St Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1914 | $1,700 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 709 E Jackson St Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 421 Jennifer Ct Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2027 | $1,975 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Harlingen, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 44 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 94 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $825 | $0.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 714 Winddrift St Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1668 | $1,850 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1917 New Combes Hwy Unit H Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $975 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 918 E Leggett Rd Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $1,700 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1057 E Matz Ave Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $1,850 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1309 Summerfield Ln Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2127 | $2,100 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 226 W Darrell Wayne Shipp St Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1505 N 25th St Unit 305 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $825 | $0.71 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2014 E Monroe Ave Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,350 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2706 Jeff St Harlingen, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2007 | $2,100 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1630 Summerfield Ln N Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,900 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1010 W Madison Ave Unit A Harlingen, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1761 | $1,600 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2002 E Van Buren Ave Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,150 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 504 Rock Cir Unit 1 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $925 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2209 E Jackson St Harlingen, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,250 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 121 W Ebano Ct Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,200 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 821 W Matz Ave Unit B Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,300 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2234 S Christians Cir Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $2,400 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1722 Stone Dr Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1902 E Tyler Ave Harlingen, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,060 | $1.05 | 14d | 6 | 1.33mi |
| 737 Sonesta Dr Unit B Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $950 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2405 E Van Buren Ave Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1370 | $1,350 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1622 Gabriels Lndg Harlingen, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1701 Gabriels Lndg Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1699 | $2,350 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1626 Christians Cir Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $2,200 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 721 Sonesta Ct Unit 4 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1085 | $925 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2526 Chuparosa Ct Apt B Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1092 | $925 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1421 W Madison Ave Unit A Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $925 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $74,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $74,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $74,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $74,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-03-19$84,900 Active 113-char remark
Show marketing remark (113 chars)
Fixer upper in the heart of Harlingen, due diligence to be done for buyer, great investment potential. FIRM PRICE
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,479 · $207/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,479 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,925
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$2,479
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,434
- − Management
- −$1,434
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $5,829
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,399
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,195/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harlingen CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822530
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,182
- Composite
- 24.94/100
- National rank
- #7566
- State rank
- #647 of 826 in TX
Livability — Harlingen
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #5347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harlingen, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- City population
- 95,667
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,335
- Household income
- $49,007
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2251.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 76%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.60%
- Current HPI
- 167.7038
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.45%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Listed $84,900 MCALLENMLS
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,479 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…