25525 Farmers Crop Ln · Elgin, TX 78621

$295,750

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily · 60 Days on market

Built 2026 6,229 sqft lot $176/sqft · at area comps Est $305k · at est. $95/mo HOA · 4% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +8.9/15.0
• Cash flow +6.8/30.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.2/10.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0
• DSCR +1.0/10.0

Listing remarks

NEW COMMUNITY! HOME READY IN JUNE. The Easton is one of our one-story floorplans featured in our Briarwood community in Elgin, Texas. With 1,680 square feet of comfortable living space, this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is designed to perfectly accommodate the needs of any family. Your journey begins at the welcoming front porch, which leads you into a long, bright foyer. To one side, you’ll find two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full secondary bathroom, providing a private wing for children or guests. As you continue down the hall, a third secondary bedroom sits across from the convenient utility room, which offers direct access to the two-car garage. The home then opens up into a

Key facts

• Bright foyer
• Open-concept heart
• Private wing

Tags

• WELCOMING FRONT PORCH
• BRIGHT FOYER
• PRIVATE WING
• CONVENIENT UTILITY ROOM
• OPEN-CONCEPT HEART
• DEDICATED CORNER PANTRY

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Homeowners association (Briarwood); HOA fee approximately $95.83 per month; HOA fee covers common area maintenance

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage facing front; 2 covered parking spaces (2 total)
• Security: Smoke detectors
• Utilities: Public water (Municipal Utility District); Public sewer (Municipal Utility District); Natural gas available; Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Cable available; Underground utilities
• Home design: Single-story new construction; Faces northeast; Builder: DR HORTON
• Construction: Brick construction; Shingle/composition roof; Slab foundation; New construction (builder-reported)
• Exterior features: Private yard; Covered patio; Patio; Back yard and front yard landscaping; Automatic in-ground sprinklers (front, rear, side) with rain sensor; Small trees

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Refrigerator; Disposal; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances; ENERGY STAR qualified water heater
• Bedrooms: Four main-level bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas, ENERGY STAR qualified equipment); Central air conditioning (ENERGY STAR qualified equipment)
• Interior features: Open floorplan; Entrance foyer; Kitchen island; Pantry; Quartz counters; Recessed lighting; Double vanity; Smart home features including smart thermostat; Walk-in closet(s)
• Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room; Gas dryer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $296k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-462 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (22.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (28.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $212k (28.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#167 in TX, #4,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Elgin ISD (rural): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #741 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Neidig El (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 599 students, 79% FRL); Elgin Middle (math 22% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,327 of 1,662 statewide, top 81%, 780 students, 82% FRL); Elgin H S (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,264 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 1,672 students, 74% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 814 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 17,121 units permitted in Travis County in 2024 (11,963 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Travis County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $212,294 (28.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.72% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.42%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.69%
• DSCR: 0.70
• GRM: 11.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $304,920
• List price: $295,750
• Delta: -3.01%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
25632 Wheat Seed Ln	0.22mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,680 (0%)	1mo	$299,999	$179	84
25641 Flora Bella Ln	0.27mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,680 (0%)	2mo	$299,999	$179	81
13701 Scarlett Song Dr	0.22mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,721 (+2%)	1mo	$299,999	$174	80
13817 Tucker Hedge Pass	0.22mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,732 (+3%)	3mo	$326,700	$189	77
13601 Hamilton Hart Dr	0.34mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,840 (+10%)	1mo	$329,890	$179	62
18309 Rock Sage Cv	0.66mi	4/2.0	1,766 (+5%)	2mo	$279,900	$158	59
13605 Barn Chime St	0.61mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,610 (-4%)	2mo	$289,990	$180	58
101 Bandera Woods Blvd	0.40mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,499 (-11%)	1mo	$254,000	$169	58
13512 Muny Pkwy	0.72mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,650 (-2%)	3mo	$289,990	$176	56
13500 Barn Chime St	0.72mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,650 (-2%)	3mo	$274,990	$167	56
19012 Speculator Ln	0.67mi	4/2.0	1,794 (+7%)	3mo	$255,000	$142	55
13708 Sierra Wind Ln	0.64mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,833 (+9%)	1mo	$254,999	$139	47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 19.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.59×
• Total profit: $132,012
• Equity at exit: $266,435

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.0%
• Equity multiple: 5.98×
• Total profit: $412,583
• Equity at exit: $574,577

Cash invested: $82,810 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78621

• Home prices YoY: 7.6%
• Rents YoY: 3.1%
• Active inventory: 814
• Price-to-rent: 11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,123 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,551
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$370 /mo · $4,436/yr
• Insurance: −$123
• HOA: −$95
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$446
• Net cashflow: $-462

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,707

Max offer price $228,936

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-257	-5% $-360	+0% $-462	+5% $-564	+10% $-666
Rent	-10% $-629	-5% $-546	+0% $-462	+5% $-378	+10% $-294
Rate	-1.0pp $-313	-0.5pp $-387	base $-462	+0.5pp $-538	+1.0pp $-616

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $73,938
• Closing costs: $8,872
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 38 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
101 Bandara Woods Blvd Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1499	$1,769	$1.18	16d	1	0.38mi
18436 Weatherby Ln Elgin, TX	4.0	2.5	2095	$2,000	$0.95	6d	1	0.49mi
401 Bandara Woods Blvd Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1665	$1,875	$1.13	45d	1	0.57mi
18505 Quiet Range Dr Unit 18505 Elgin, TX	4.0	2.0	1794	$1,785	$0.99	6d	1	0.58mi
18505 Quiet Range Dr Elgin, TX	4.0	2.0	1794	$1,950	$1.09	25d	1	0.58mi
18525 Quiet Range Dr Elgin, TX	4.0	2.0	1794	$1,725	$0.96	19d	1	0.60mi
18721 Quiet Range Dr Elgin, TX	3.0–5.0	2.0–3.5	1773	$2,452	$1.38	0d	1	0.62mi
13817 County Line Rd Elgin, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	937	$1,890	$2.02	0d	6	0.65mi
14101 Prospector Way Elgin, TX	4.0	2.5	2198	$2,099	$0.95	45d	1	0.67mi
14101 Prospector Way Unit 14101 Elgin, TX	4.0	2.5	2198	$2,099	$0.95	25d	1	0.67mi
18500 Allen Welch Dr Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1525	$1,875	$1.23	0d	1	0.69mi
18612 Allen Welch Dr Elgin, TX	4.0	2.0	1794	$1,935	$1.08	0d	1	0.71mi
19405 Bear Grass Dr Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1495	$1,760	$1.18	45d	1	0.71mi
14141 Prospector Way Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1520	$1,650	$1.09	45d	1	0.75mi
14300 Boomtown Way Elgin, TX	4.0	2.0	1794	$2,050	$1.14	25d	1	0.75mi
722 Lavaca Loop Elgin, TX	4.0	2.5	2075	$1,895	$0.91	19d	1	0.75mi
13501 Sierra Wind Ln Elgin, TX	4.0	2.5	2066	$2,500	$1.21	21d	1	0.80mi
18300 Speculator Ln Elgin, TX	4.0	2.0	1794	$1,995	$1.11	25d	1	0.81mi
18224 Speculator Ln Elgin, TX	3.0	2.5	1599	$1,700	$1.06	45d	1	0.81mi
14421 Prairie Sod Ln Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1525	$1,650	$1.08	3d	1	0.84mi
14508 Wahlbergs Way Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1076	$2,045	$1.90	13d	1	0.90mi
107 Tillage Rd Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1548	$1,765	$1.14	0d	1	0.91mi
18200 Papuan Cv Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1402	$1,900	$1.36	5d	1	0.93mi
234 Heritage Mill Trl Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1530	$1,800	$1.18	0d	1	1.00mi
18316 Stellers Sea St Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1076	$2,045	$1.90	21d	1	1.04mi
14521 Gurneys Eagle Dr Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1878	$1,895	$1.01	3d	1	1.05mi
14129 Tordillo Dr Elgin, TX	4.0	2.5	1874	$2,675	$1.43	25d	1	1.11mi
14129 Tordillo Dr Unit NA Elgin, TX	4.0	2.5	1874	$2,495	$1.33	0d	1	1.11mi
419 Gettysburg Loop Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1565	$1,850	$1.18	14d	1	1.18mi
116 Honeybee Ln Elgin, TX	3.0	2.5	1782	$2,000	$1.12	5d	1	1.21mi
13804 Knights Branch Dr Elgin, TX	3.0	2.5	1427	$1,900	$1.33	6d	1	1.27mi
242 Barley Ln Elgin, TX	3.0	2.5	1782	$2,150	$1.21	0d	1	1.29mi
13725 Knights Branch Dr Elgin, TX	4.0	2.5	1800	$2,100	$1.17	25d	1	1.29mi
13121 Blackeyed Susan Trl Elgin, TX	4.0	2.0	1586	$1,800	$1.13	19d	1	1.31mi
13604 Menard Way Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1474	$1,875	$1.27	25d	1	1.33mi
13520 Knights Branch Dr Elgin, TX	3.0	2.5	1600	$1,850	$1.16	3d	1	1.38mi
13501 Mussel Run Elgin, TX	4.0	2.0	1667	$1,800	$1.08	18d	1	1.45mi
13305 Banquete St Elgin, TX	4.0	2.0	1707	$1,995	$1.17	45d	1	1.49mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $95 · $1,140/yr

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $295,750 Active 60 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $295,750 Active 57 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $295,750 Active 56 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $295,750 Active 55 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $295,750 Active 54 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $295,750 Active 52 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $295,750 Active 48 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $295,750 Active 47 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $295,750 Active 46 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $295,750 Active 43 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $295,750 Active 42 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $295,750 Active 41 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $295,750 Active 40 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $295,750 Active 39 DOM
15. 2026-05-15
    price $295,750 1713-char remark
16. 2026-04-22
    listed $309,990 Active 1713-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,475
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,567
• − Property taxes: −$4,436
• − Insurance: −$1,479
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,038
• − Management: −$2,038
• − HOA: −$1,140
• − Depreciation: −$8,604
• Taxable loss: −$10,826
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,598
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,943/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Elgin ISD
• NCES district ID: 4818360
• Math proficiency: 17% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $55,176
• Composite: 19.62/100
• National rank: #8749
• State rank: #741 of 826 in TX

Livability — Elgin

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #167
• US rank: #4404

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Elgin, TX
• County: Bastrop County · 68,601 people
• City population: 27,860
• Metro: Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
• Population (ZIP): 30,411
• Household income: $98,534
• Rent vs Own: 18.9% rent · 81.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 235.0

Population outlook (Travis County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,545,133 people
• By 2030: 1,729,269 · +11.9%
• By 2040: 2,097,596 · +35.8%
• By 2050: 2,463,890 · +59.5%
• By 2075: 3,249,374 · +110.3%
• By 2100: 3,801,868 · +146.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 46% White 38% Two or more races 19% Black 11% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 38%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 63% English-only · Spanish 36%

Political lean MEDSL · Travis

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+39.3) · D 68.8% · R 29.4% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 39.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+39.3 2020: D+45.0 2016: D+38.9 2012: D+23.9 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 29.47%
• Current HPI: 416.87
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.12%
• Metro: Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-4.6% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-15 Price Changed $295,750 Unlock MLS
• 2026-04-22 Listed $309,990 Unlock MLS