2753 Deer Pass Dr SW #178 · North Industry, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
With a brand new home at Fohl Village you will be sure to feel right at home. Newly acquired in 2022, this quiet manufactured home community in Canton, OH is conveniently located near your home town essentials. These high-quality, turnkey ready homes by UMH Properties, Inc. provide the perfect blend of affordability and sought-after features including open concept floor plans and custom touches. When you buy or rent a manufactured home with UMH Properties, Inc. , we work with you every step of the way. From leasing and financing to move-in day, we guarantee a hassle-free sales experience. Our community comes with a variety of amenities to give our residents easy, stress-free living includin
Key facts
- Community clubhouse
- Country setting
- Swimming pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $59,900
Exterior
- Home design: Spec new construction (Plan: SKYLINE Fohl Village)
- Construction: Living area approximately 1,216
- Exterior features: Shake roof
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 2 total bathrooms; 2 total bedrooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $480 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 6.6% in North Industry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Canton Local (suburban): math 54% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #401 of 656 in OH (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.37%
- DSCR
- 2.53
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $20,906
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 37.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.44×
- Total profit
- $57,671
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44706
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,132 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $480
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$59,900 Active 1401-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,585
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,087
- − Management
- −$1,087
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $5,115
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,228
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,537/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with a fresh exterior and well-maintained interior. Minor updates such as painting and replacing the ceiling fan can significantly enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can improve the overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Replace the ceiling fan — A modern ceiling fan can enhance the aesthetic appeal and increase the home's value.
- Both Clean and organize the storage areas — A well-organized home is more appealing to potential buyers and renters, increasing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can improve the overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Replace the ceiling fan — A modern ceiling fan can enhance the aesthetic appeal and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Clean and organize the storage areas — A well-organized home is more appealing to potential buyers and renters, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canton Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904983
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,980
- Composite
- 45.0/100
- National rank
- #2699
- State rank
- #401 of 656 in OH
Livability — North Industry
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Stark County · 272,865 people
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,496
- Household income
- $58,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 502.0
Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 373,708 people
- By 2030
- 371,245 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 361,331 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 345,290 · -7.6%
- By 2075
- 302,669 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 238,870 · -36.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Stark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.35%
- Current HPI
- 239.851
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…