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2753 Deer Pass Dr SW #178
B Composite 71.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

2753 Deer Pass Dr SW #178 · North Industry, OH 44706
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 37 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

With a brand new home at Fohl Village you will be sure to feel right at home. Newly acquired in 2022, this quiet manufactured home community in Canton, OH is conveniently located near your home town essentials. These high-quality, turnkey ready homes by UMH Properties, Inc. provide the perfect blend of affordability and sought-after features including open concept floor plans and custom touches. When you buy or rent a manufactured home with UMH Properties, Inc. , we work with you every step of the way. From leasing and financing to move-in day, we guarantee a hassle-free sales experience. Our community comes with a variety of amenities to give our residents easy, stress-free living includin

Key facts

  • Community clubhouse
  • Country setting
  • Swimming pool

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT FLOOR PLANSCOMMUNITY CLUBHOUSEPLAYGROUNDSWIMMING POOLRV STORAGECOUNTRY SETTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $59,900

Exterior

  • Home design: Spec new construction (Plan: SKYLINE Fohl Village)
  • Construction: Living area approximately 1,216
  • Exterior features: Shake roof

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 2 total bathrooms; 2 total bedrooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $480 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 6.6% in North Industry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Canton Local (suburban): math 54% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #401 of 656 in OH (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $58,103 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
15.92%
Cash-on-cash
34.37%
DSCR
2.53
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.8%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$20,906
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
37.1%
Equity multiple
4.44×
Total profit
$57,671
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44706

Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,132 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$480

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $59,900 Active 1401-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,585
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,087
− Management
−$1,087
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$5,115
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,228
After-tax cash flow
$4,537/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with a fresh exterior and well-maintained interior. Minor updates such as painting and replacing the ceiling fan can significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can improve the overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace the ceiling fan — A modern ceiling fan can enhance the aesthetic appeal and increase the home's value.
  • Both Clean and organize the storage areas — A well-organized home is more appealing to potential buyers and renters, increasing both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can improve the overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace the ceiling fan — A modern ceiling fan can enhance the aesthetic appeal and increase the home's value.
  • Both Clean and organize the storage areas — A well-organized home is more appealing to potential buyers and renters, increasing both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canton Local
NCES district ID
3904983
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$46,980
Composite
45.0/100
National rank
#2699
State rank
#401 of 656 in OH

Livability — North Industry

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Stark County · 272,865 people
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
Population (ZIP)
16,496
Household income
$58,228
Rent vs Own
32.3% rent · 67.7% own
Severe rent burden
502.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
373,708 people
By 2030
371,245 · -0.7%
By 2040
361,331 · -3.3%
By 2050
345,290 · -7.6%
By 2075
302,669 · -19.0%
By 2100
238,870 · -36.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.35%
Current HPI
239.851
Rent YoY
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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