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2035 N US-31 N #2404 · Garfield, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tamarack Lodge! Fractional ownership. White Birch room 2404 is a 1,420 sq ft, 2br 2ba fourth floor penthouse unit. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. 1/8 fractional ownership. 6 weeks per year scattered throughout the year. $406 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
Key facts
- Sugar sand beach
- Water views
- $406 HOA
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $59k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $633 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 2.6% in Garfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Traverse City Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #94 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Central Grade School (math 57% / reading 65%, grade B, #190 of 1,397 statewide, top 14%, 516 students, 47% FRL); West Middle School (math 45% / reading 54%, grade C, #127 of 493 statewide, top 26%, 1,081 students, 38% FRL); West Senior High (math 51% / reading 67%, grade C+, #87 of 713 statewide, top 12%, 1,509 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 883 units permitted in Grand Traverse County in 2024 (501 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grand Traverse County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.99%
- DSCR
- 3.05
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $88,470
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- -33.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1717 N U.s. 31 S #11 | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,352 (-5%) | 3mo | $548,000 | $405 | 74 |
| 2068 Chelsea Ln #13 | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,214 (-14%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $251 | 57 |
| 2068 Chelsea Ln | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,214 (-14%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $251 | 57 |
| 3726 Creekside Dr Lot : 51 | 1.08mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,367 (-4%) | 0mo | $450,000 | $329 | 50 |
| 2938 Rennie St Lot : 19 | 1.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (-19%) | 2mo | $294,400 | $257 | 38 |
| 2938 Rennie St | 1.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (-19%) | 2mo | $294,400 | $257 | 38 |
| 3122 Horseshoe Dr | 1.03mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,089 (-23%) | 0mo | $323,000 | $297 | 35 |
| 2799 Garnet Ct Lot : 30 | 1.12mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,626 (+14%) | 2mo | $448,566 | $276 | 33 |
| 2799 Garnet Ct | 1.12mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,626 (+14%) | 2mo | $448,566 | $276 | 33 |
| 2806 Opal Ct Lot : 37 | 1.14mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,626 (+14%) | 2mo | $424,900 | $261 | 32 |
| 2806 Opal Ct | 1.14mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,626 (+14%) | 2mo | $424,900 | $261 | 32 |
| 1386 Silverwood Dr | 1.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-19%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $256 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $25,672
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 43.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.31×
- Total profit
- $54,659
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49686
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 391
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,831 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$406
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $633
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $674 | -5% $653 | +0% $633 | +5% $613 | +10% $592 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $488 | -5% $561 | +0% $633 | +5% $705 | +10% $778 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $663 | -0.5pp $648 | base $633 | +0.5pp $618 | +1.0pp $602 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3341 Mikhail Blvd Traverse City, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 883 | $1,949 | $2.21 | 93d | 10 | 0.36mi |
| 4170 Lilac Ln Unit 905 Traverse City, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,419 | $1.27 | 93d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4418 E Daisy Ln Unit 156 Traverse City, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,649 | $1.84 | 93d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Located in Tamarack Lodge subdivision, East Bay Township (mail: Traverse City)
- HOA & community
- Monthly HOA fee (includes lawn maintenance, snow removal, trash removal, water/sewer, exterior maintenance, heating included)Community grounds maintenance
Exterior
- Utilities
- Public waterCommunity sewerCable available
- Home design
- CondominiumUnit number 2404Built in 2006Residential zoningFacing water frontage (200 feet)
- Construction
- Stone and wood constructionPiers foundationBasement with block, poured, and stone components
- Exterior features
- Stone and wood exteriorSand shorelineBay viewWaterfront on East BayShared waterfront with dock/pier facilityGreat Lake accessSandy bottom waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRange/ovenRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Main-level bedroom (12 x 12)
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms (including primary bath)
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingCentral air conditioningNatural gas heat
- Interior features
- Gas fireplaceWindow treatments
- Laundry & utility
- Washer and dryer on main level
HOA detail $406/mo · $4,872/yr condo
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 28 events
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2026-08-08days on market $59,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $59,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $59,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $59,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $59,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $59,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $59,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $59,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $59,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $59,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $59,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $59,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $59,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $59,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $59,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $59,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $59,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $59,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $59,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $59,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $59,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $59,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $59,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $59,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $59,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $59,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-07-03remarks 699-char remark
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2026-07-03$59,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,977
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,758
- − Management
- −$1,758
- − HOA
- −$4,872
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $7,388
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,773
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,824/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This waterfront condo is in good condition with a well-maintained exterior and interior. Upgrading the flooring and installing smart home technology would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Components & finishes AI
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Upgrade the flooring to a more durable material, such as hardwood or tile, to improve the overall appearance and increase the home's value. — Upgrading the flooring can significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Rental Install smart home technology, such as smart lighting and thermostats, to improve energy efficiency and convenience. — Smart home technology can attract renters who are looking for modern and energy-efficient living spaces. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Traverse City Area Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633870
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,645
- Composite
- 43.51/100
- National rank
- #2990
- State rank
- #94 of 540 in MI
Livability — Garfield
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Grand Traverse County · 102,241 people
- Metro
- Traverse City, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,492
- Household income
- $71,609
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Grand Traverse County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,241 people
- By 2030
- 107,172 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 115,676 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 122,377 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 136,554 · +33.6%
- By 2100
- 137,871 · +34.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Grand Traverse
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.3pp toward D · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+3.0 2016: R+12.5 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -276.28%
- Current HPI
- 352.4866
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.49%
- Metro
- Traverse City, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-07-03 Listed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…