9 Russell Ave · Yorkville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$218,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a home you can move right in to? It's 9 Russell Avenue. The house was already in amazing shape, then the current owners took over. Recently, a finished attic space was polished and completed. A brand new heating system has been added, complete with on demand hot water. Every square foot of space has been painted and perfected. With a price like this, it won't be on the market long. Call today for your showing. PROPERTY IS NOT IN A FLOOD ZONE.
Key facts
- Open concept living
- Bungalow style home
- Enclosed front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Security: Owned security system
- Utilities: Cable available; Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single-story; Existing construction
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built as existing (year built details listed as existing)
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Porch; Screened porch; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air; Hot water heating; Radiant floor heating; Zoned heating; Central air; Zoned cooling
- Interior features: Attic; Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Convertible bedroom; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-141 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (11.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (20.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $174k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#359 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Whitesboro Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #174 of 590 in NY (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $149k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.77%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $153,690
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Russell Ave | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,110 (+2%) | 10mo | $119,500 | $108 | 80 |
| 18 Trinity Ave | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,122 (+3%) | 11mo | $103,000 | $92 | 74 |
| 94 Campbell Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+3%) | 5mo | $252,350 | $225 | 61 |
| 19 Whitesboro St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 1,183 (+8%) | 9mo | $166,500 | $141 | 58 |
| 7 6th St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+5%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $192 | 57 |
| 125 Campbell Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,174 (+8%) | 8mo | $183,200 | $156 | 55 |
| 6 2nd St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,163 (+7%) | 19mo | $136,100 | $117 | 52 |
| 5 Oatley Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,228 (+13%) | 11mo | $79,000 | $64 | 50 |
| 6 Trinity Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 984 (-10%) | 21mo | $175,000 | $178 | 50 |
| 55 Sauquoit St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,069 (-2%) | 19mo | $135,000 | $126 | 50 |
| 2364 Douglas Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,075 (-1%) | 20mo | $245,000 | $228 | 48 |
| 913 Champlin Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,252 (+15%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $108 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $4,893
- Equity at exit
- $85,120
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $46,385
- Equity at exit
- $121,644
Cash invested: $61,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13495
- Home prices YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,738 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$275 /mo · $3,304/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $-141
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-17 | -5% $-79 | +0% $-141 | +5% $-203 | +10% $-265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-279 | -5% $-210 | +0% $-141 | +5% $-73 | +10% $-4 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-31 | -0.5pp $-86 | base $-141 | +0.5pp $-198 | +1.0pp $-256 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,725
- Closing costs
- $6,567
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 1st St Yorkville, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $2,100 | $2.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1224 Whitesboro St Unit 3 Utica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1224 Whitesboro St Unit 1 Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,125 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-13status $218,900 Pending 14 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $218,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $218,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $218,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $218,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $218,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $218,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $218,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $218,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $218,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $218,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$218,900 Active
-
2020-10-06soldstatus $149,350
-
2020-10-05soldstatus $149,350 458-char remark
Show marketing remark (458 chars)
Looking for a home you can move right in to? It's 9 Russell Avenue. The house was already in amazing shape, then the current owners took over. Recently, a finished attic space was polished and completed. A brand new heating system has been added, complete with on demand hot water. Every square foot of space has been painted and perfected. With a price like this, it won't be on the market long. Call today for your showing. PROPERTY IS NOT IN A FLOOD ZONE.
-
2020-07-02$149,900 458-char remark
Show marketing remark (458 chars)
Looking for a home you can move right in to? It's 9 Russell Avenue. The house was already in amazing shape, then the current owners took over. Recently, a finished attic space was polished and completed. A brand new heating system has been added, complete with on demand hot water. Every square foot of space has been painted and perfected. With a price like this, it won't be on the market long. Call today for your showing. PROPERTY IS NOT IN A FLOOD ZONE.
-
2014-10-24soldstatus $77,000
-
2008-11-10soldstatus $42,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,304 · $275/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,502 · $292/mo
- Expected delta
- +$197/yr (+$16/mo · 6.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,860
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,262
- − Property taxes
- −$3,304
- − Insurance
- −$1,094
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,669
- − Management
- −$1,669
- − Depreciation
- −$6,368
- Taxable loss
- −$5,506
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,322
- After-tax cash flow
- $-373/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Whitesboro Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631320
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,732
- Composite
- 55.77/100
- National rank
- #1217
- State rank
- #174 of 590 in NY
Livability — Yorkville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #359
- US rank
- #6063
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yorkville, NY
- City population
- 1,889
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,889
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 28% Lithuanian 5% American 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.90%
- Current HPI
- 286.6347
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+421.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $218,900 CNYIS
- 2020-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $149,350 Public Records
- 2020-10-05 Sold (MLS) $149,350 CNYIS
- 2020-07-02 Listed $149,900 CNYIS
- 2014-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 2008-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,304 · -15.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…