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9 Russell Ave
D- Composite 35.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$218,900

9 Russell Ave · Yorkville, NY 13495
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,090 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1925 4,800 sqft lot Est $154k · 42% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a home you can move right in to? It's 9 Russell Avenue. The house was already in amazing shape, then the current owners took over. Recently, a finished attic space was polished and completed. A brand new heating system has been added, complete with on demand hot water. Every square foot of space has been painted and perfected. With a price like this, it won't be on the market long. Call today for your showing. PROPERTY IS NOT IN A FLOOD ZONE.

Key facts

  • Open concept living
  • Bungalow style home
  • Enclosed front porch

Tags

BUNGALOW STYLE HOMEWHITESBORO SCHOOL DISTRICTOPEN CONCEPT LIVINGHEATED RADIANT FLOORINGUV AIR FILTRATION SYSTEMENCLOSED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
  • Security: Owned security system
  • Utilities: Cable available; Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single-story; Existing construction
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built as existing (year built details listed as existing)
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Porch; Screened porch; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air; Hot water heating; Radiant floor heating; Zoned heating; Central air; Zoned cooling
  • Interior features: Attic; Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Convertible bedroom; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-141 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (11.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (20.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#359 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Whitesboro Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #174 of 590 in NY (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $149k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $173,832 (20.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.52%
Cash-on-cash
-2.77%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$153,690
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10 Russell Ave 0.03mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,110 (+2%) 10mo $119,500 $108 80
18 Trinity Ave 0.25mi 2/2.0 1,122 (+3%) 11mo $103,000 $92 74
94 Campbell Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (+3%) 5mo $252,350 $225 61
19 Whitesboro St 0.34mi 2/1.0 1,183 (+8%) 9mo $166,500 $141 58
7 6th St 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,144 (+5%) 8mo $220,000 $192 57
125 Campbell Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 1,174 (+8%) 8mo $183,200 $156 55
6 2nd St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,163 (+7%) 19mo $136,100 $117 52
5 Oatley Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,228 (+13%) 11mo $79,000 $64 50
6 Trinity Ave 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 984 (-10%) 21mo $175,000 $178 50
55 Sauquoit St 0.52mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,069 (-2%) 19mo $135,000 $126 50
2364 Douglas Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,075 (-1%) 20mo $245,000 $228 48
913 Champlin Ave 0.62mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,252 (+15%) 7mo $135,000 $108 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$4,893
Equity at exit
$85,120
10-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$46,385
Equity at exit
$121,644

Cash invested: $61,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13495

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,738 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,148
Tax from tax record
$275 /mo · $3,304/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$-141

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,917
Max offer price $193,949
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-17 -5% $-79 +0% $-141 +5% $-203 +10% $-265
Rent -10% $-279 -5% $-210 +0% $-141 +5% $-73 +10% $-4
Rate -1.0pp $-31 -0.5pp $-86 base $-141 +0.5pp $-198 +1.0pp $-256

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,725
Closing costs
$6,567
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4 1st St Yorkville, NY 3.0 1.0 888 $2,100 $2.36 45d 1 0.32mi
1224 Whitesboro St Unit 3 Utica, NY 1.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 45d 1 1.38mi
1224 Whitesboro St Unit 1 Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,125 $1.02 45d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $218,900 Pending 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $218,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $218,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $218,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $218,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $218,900 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $218,900 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $218,900 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $218,900 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $218,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $218,900 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-05-27
    listed $218,900 Active
  13. 2020-10-06
    soldstatus $149,350
  14. 2020-10-05
    soldstatus $149,350 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    Looking for a home you can move right in to? It's 9 Russell Avenue. The house was already in amazing shape, then the current owners took over. Recently, a finished attic space was polished and completed. A brand new heating system has been added, complete with on demand hot water. Every square foot of space has been painted and perfected. With a price like this, it won't be on the market long. Call today for your showing. PROPERTY IS NOT IN A FLOOD ZONE.

  15. 2020-07-02
    listed $149,900 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    Looking for a home you can move right in to? It's 9 Russell Avenue. The house was already in amazing shape, then the current owners took over. Recently, a finished attic space was polished and completed. A brand new heating system has been added, complete with on demand hot water. Every square foot of space has been painted and perfected. With a price like this, it won't be on the market long. Call today for your showing. PROPERTY IS NOT IN A FLOOD ZONE.

  16. 2014-10-24
    soldstatus $77,000
  17. 2008-11-10
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,304 · $275/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,502 · $292/mo
Expected delta
+$197/yr (+$16/mo · 6.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,860
− Mortgage interest
−$12,262
− Property taxes
−$3,304
− Insurance
−$1,094
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,669
− Management
−$1,669
− Depreciation
−$6,368
Taxable loss
−$5,506
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,322
After-tax cash flow
$-373/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Whitesboro Central School District
NCES district ID
3631320
Math proficiency
68% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$59,732
Composite
55.77/100
National rank
#1217
State rank
#174 of 590 in NY

Livability — Yorkville

Score
72/100
State rank
#359
US rank
#6063

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yorkville, NY
City population
1,889
Population (ZIP)
1,889

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 28% Lithuanian 5% American 3%
Foreign-born
4% · China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.90%
Current HPI
286.6347
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+421.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $218,900 CNYIS
  • 2020-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $149,350 Public Records
  • 2020-10-05 Sold (MLS) $149,350 CNYIS
  • 2020-07-02 Listed $149,900 CNYIS
  • 2014-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
  • 2008-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,304 · -15.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…