🏷️ Likely Rental
403 Oak Hill Ave Ave · Endicott, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
This two-family home is a high-utility investment property, specifically designed to maximize owner profit through tenant-paid electric and versatile land options from the extra vacant lot. The addition of a two-bay garage provides a premium amenity that can further increase rental income or property resale value. Large, newly redone covered porches offer immediate charm and durable outdoor living space. Contact your favorite real estate salesperson and schedule your private showing today!
Key facts
- Tenant paid electric
- Extra vacant lot
- Two family home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned residential
- Financial info: Unit 1 rent: $600; Unit 2 rent: $750
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 3-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Duplex residential income property; Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 52 x 94
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built area above grade: 2,100
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (units each include 1 full bathroom)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central air
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Exhaust fan
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $549/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 5.5% in Endicott — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#438 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
- Union-Endicott Central School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #387 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: George F Johnson Elementary School (math 35% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,410 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 596 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,688/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1480% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $145k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.44%
- DSCR
- 2.44
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $289,622
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -49.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 Hill Ave | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 2,144 (+2%) | 13mo | $227,000 | $106 | 79 |
| 709 / 707.5 Milan Ave | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 2,062 (-2%) | 16mo | $182,500 | $89 | 69 |
| 320 Odell Ave | 0.12mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,166 (+3%) | 21mo | $172,000 | $79 | 67 |
| 906-908 Irving Ave | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 | 2,052 (-2%) | 0mo | $193,000 | $94 | 65 |
| 408 Squires Ave | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 1,820 (-13%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $115 | 64 |
| 838 Squires Ave | 0.51mi | 4/3.0 | 2,052 (-2%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $85 | 61 |
| 311 Oak Hl | 0.12mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,240 (+7%) | 14mo | $175,000 | $78 | 58 |
| 317 N Jackson Ave | 0.50mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,100 (0%) | 13mo | $162,000 | $77 | 57 |
| 103 Squires Ave | 0.43mi | 4/4.0 | 1,900 (-10%) | 5mo | $166,315 | $88 | 51 |
| 2603 Smith Dr | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 | 2,004 (-5%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $115 | 48 |
| 23 Robble Ave | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 | 2,300 (+10%) | 11mo | $180,000 | $78 | 47 |
| 836 Rogers Ave. Ave N | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 | 2,318 (+10%) | 9mo | $300,000 | $129 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $57,988
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 41.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.73×
- Total profit
- $192,162
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13760
- Home prices YoY
- -32.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,688 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$205 /mo · $2,460/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$564
- Net cashflow
- $1,098
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,180 | -5% $1,139 | +0% $1,098 | +5% $1,057 | +10% $1,016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $885 | -5% $992 | +0% $1,098 | +5% $1,204 | +10% $1,310 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,171 | -0.5pp $1,135 | base $1,098 | +0.5pp $1,060 | +1.0pp $1,022 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,688 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,344 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,344 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,688 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409 Milan Ave Endicott, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2240 | $2,350 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 723 Prescott Ave Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $2,200 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 9 S Seward Ave Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $2,000 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 208 S Liberty Ave Unit 2 Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2376 | $1,700 | $0.72 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18status $145,000 Pending 36 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $145,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$165,000 Active 494-char remark
-
2022-05-13soldstatus $60,000
-
2007-07-20soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,460 · $205/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,460 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,256
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,460
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,580
- − Management
- −$2,580
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $11,569
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,777
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,396/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union-Endicott Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610710
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,265
- Composite
- 42.66/100
- National rank
- #3176
- State rank
- #387 of 590 in NY
Livability — Endicott
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #438
- US rank
- #7657
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Endicott, NY
- County
- Broome County · 126,805 people
- City population
- 42,896
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,896
- Household income
- $66,095
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1480.0
Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,989 people
- By 2030
- 183,066 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 172,228 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 163,161 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 153,641 · -18.3%
- By 2100
- 140,851 · -25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Broome
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.29%
- Current HPI
- 270.2661
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.09%
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+190.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Price Changed $145,000 GBAOR
- 2026-05-13 Listed $165,000 GBAOR
- 2022-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2007-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,460 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…