21863 Fishmarket Rd · Pink, OK 74873

$184,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,048 sqft · SingleFamily · 129 Days on market

Built 2015 9.50 ac lot ↓ 38% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• Cash flow +8.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• 1% rule +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.4/10.0
• Schools +1.4/10.0

Listing remarks

NEED ROOM FOR THE FAMILY? Love Nature? Sit outside on the front deck in the evening and watch the deer! Nice 3 Bedroom 2 Bathroom manufactured home built in 2015 . Huge Living area with a Fireplace. 4th room can be used as a 4th Bedroom or an office. Home has new carpet! There is also a nice custom built deck on the North side. Seller is offering a $7,500 allowance for a new water well to be drilled. (Water well is on neighboring property. Seller owns both properties. ) Seller has had a survey and has divided the land. There is a basketball court and a storm shelter.

Key facts

• Front deck
• Custom built deck
• Basketball court

Tags

• FRONT DECK
• CUSTOM BUILT DECK
• BASKETBALL COURT
• STORM SHELTER

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Below-ground storm shelter; Livestock permitted; Approximately 9.5 acres
• Financial info: Loan qualifying available
• HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

• Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public utilities
• Home design: Single-family manufactured home; One level; Faces west; Residential property
• Construction: Manufactured construction; Composition roof; Conventional foundation; Move-to-site build status; Built for homestead use
• Exterior features: Covered porch; Pond; Wire fencing; Rural lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Free-standing electric range; Electric oven
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating
• Interior features: Ceiling fans

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $184k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-152 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (12.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (23.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $142k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#120 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Tecumseh (town): math 13% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #215 of 270 in OK (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Cross Timbers Es (math 12% / reading 15%, grade F, #642 of 845 statewide, top 76%, 409 students, 0% FRL); Tecumseh Ms (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #234 of 345 statewide, top 72%, 451 students, 0% FRL); Tecumseh Hs (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #222 of 447 statewide, top 52%, 616 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 183 units permitted in Pottawatomie County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Pottawatomie County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $141,706 (23.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.77% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.30%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.54%
• DSCR: 0.84
• GRM: 10.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 21.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.76×
• Total profit: $90,545
• Equity at exit: $165,762

10-year hold

• IRR: 19.6%
• Equity multiple: 6.32×
• Total profit: $274,301
• Equity at exit: $357,472

Cash invested: $51,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Oklahoma: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 74873

• Home prices YoY: 5.2%
• Active inventory: 100
• Price-to-rent: 10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,417 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$965
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$230 /mo · $2,760/yr
• Insurance: −$77
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$298
• Net cashflow: $-152

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,610

Max offer price $161,990

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-25	-5% $-89	+0% $-152	+5% $-216	+10% $-279
Rent	-10% $-264	-5% $-208	+0% $-152	+5% $-96	+10% $-40
Rate	-1.0pp $-59	-0.5pp $-105	base $-152	+0.5pp $-200	+1.0pp $-248

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $46,000
• Closing costs: $5,520
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $184,000 Active 129 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   days on market $184,000 Active 127 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $184,000 Active 126 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $184,000 Active 125 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $184,000 Active 124 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $184,000 Active 123 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $184,000 Active 121 DOM
8. 2026-06-12
   days on market $184,000 Active 120 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $184,000 Active 117 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $184,000 Active 116 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $184,000 Active 115 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $184,000 Active 110 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $184,000 Active 109 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $184,000 Active 108 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $184,000 Active 107 DOM
16. 2026-05-17
    price $184,000
17. 2026-05-17
    price $194,000
18. 2026-02-11
    listed $199,900 Active
19. 2026-02-11
    historical
20. 2026-01-06
    price $275,000
21. 2025-11-14
    price $289,000
22. 2025-10-20
    listed $299,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,005
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,307
• − Property taxes: −$2,760
• − Insurance: −$920
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,360
• − Management: −$1,360
• − Depreciation: −$5,353
• Taxable loss: −$5,056
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,213
• After-tax cash flow: $-612/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Tecumseh
• NCES district ID: 4029610
• Math proficiency: 13% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 18% ▼ -14.00%
• Median HH income: $43,473
• Composite: 13.54/100
• National rank: #9516
• State rank: #215 of 270 in OK

Livability — Pink

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #120
• US rank: #12039

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Pink, OK
• Population (ZIP): 11,033

Population outlook (Pottawatomie County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 76,622 people
• By 2030: 78,816 · +2.9%
• By 2040: 82,766 · +8.0%
• By 2050: 86,031 · +12.3%
• By 2075: 93,316 · +21.8%
• By 2100: 95,820 · +25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Native American 12% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pottawatomie

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.2% · R 72.7% · Other 2.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -9.1pp toward R · 2008: -38.4pp · 2024: -47.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+46.0 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.7 2008: R+38.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 14.18%
• Current HPI: 286.31
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.55%
• F500 in state: 6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	3	$48B

Price history

-38.5% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-17 Price Changed $184,000 MLSOK
• 2026-05-17 Price Changed $194,000 MLSOK
• 2026-02-11 Listing Removed — MLSOK
• 2026-02-11 Listed $199,900 MLSOK
• 2026-01-06 Price Changed $275,000 MLSOK
• 2025-11-14 Price Changed $289,000 MLSOK
• 2025-10-20 Listed $299,000 MLSOK