1127 N Jefferson Dr · Huntington, WV
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Adorable cottage home in Spring Valley has 2 bedrooms and a full bathroom on the 1st floor. The 2nd floor is open space as a potential 3rd bedroom. Wood flooring in the living room and dining room. Carport parking and a storage area for yard tools and more.
Key facts
- Wood flooring
- Open space
- Carport parking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; 2-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Porch; Storm doors; Rolling slope lot; Level areas; Wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Oven
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Crawl space; Central heating; Electric heating; Central air; Smoke detectors
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($421/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (14.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $103k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#16 in WV, #2,045 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Wayne County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #25 of 55 in WV (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kellogg Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #87 of 377 statewide, top 28%, 327 students, 0% FRL); Vinson Middle School (math 19% / reading 53%, grade F, #31 of 109 statewide, top 28%, 197 students, 0% FRL); Spring Valley High School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #55 of 110 statewide, top 59%, 910 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.6%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 67 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $120k implies a 380% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.63%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,082
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -23.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4322 Hughes St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (-0%) | 5mo | $87,500 | $112 | 80 |
| 4022 Hughes St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (+1%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $126 | 75 |
| 1306 Spring Valley Dr | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+2%) | 20mo | $35,000 | $44 | 66 |
| 520 Burlington Rd | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+2%) | 20mo | $97,000 | $121 | 54 |
| 4648 Piedmont Rd | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 847 (+8%) | 16mo | $25,000 | $30 | 53 |
| 603 East Rd | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 886 (+13%) | 13mo | $87,000 | $98 | 43 |
| 401 East Rd | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-14%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $89 | 39 |
| 4641 Bradley Rd | 0.48mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 700 (-11%) | 23mo | $65,000 | $93 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-11,790
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $17,287
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25701
- Home prices YoY
- -8.7%
- Rents YoY
- 10.6%
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,029 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $380/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $103 | -5% $69 | +0% $35 | +5% $1 | +10% $-33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-46 | -5% $-6 | +0% $35 | +5% $76 | +10% $116 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $96 | -0.5pp $66 | base $35 | +0.5pp $4 | +1.0pp $-28 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2956 Auburn Rd Huntington, WV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,050 | $1.37 | 45d | 2 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-12$120,000 Active 257-char remark
-
1990-06-29soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $380 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $708 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$328/yr (+$27/mo · 86.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,343
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$380
- − Insurance
- −$1,398
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$987
- − Management
- −$987
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$1,623
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$389
- After-tax cash flow
- $811/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayne County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401500
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,283
- Composite
- 26.08/100
- National rank
- #7297
- State rank
- #25 of 55 in WV
Livability — Huntington
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #2045
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cabell County · 30,893 people
- City population
- 25,795
- Metro
- Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,197
- Household income
- $56,292
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1186.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,267 people
- By 2030
- 36,578 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 33,034 · -13.7%
- By 2050
- 29,671 · -22.5%
- By 2075
- 22,901 · -40.2%
- By 2100
- 17,421 · -54.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.4) · D 22.4% · R 75.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.1pp toward R · 2008: -18.2pp · 2024: -53.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.4 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+51.3 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+18.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.39%
- Current HPI
- 202.9629
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.58%
- Metro
- Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+380.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — HBRMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $120,000 HBRMLS
- 1990-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $380 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…