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1401 Nix St
A- Composite 81.0
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$74,900

1401 Nix St · Daingerfield, TX 75638
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,106 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1942 1.64 ac lot Est $147k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits in Daingerfield, TX! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home, built in 1942, sits on a spacious 1.64-acre lot in a quiet, established neighborhood. Offering plenty of potential, this property is an excellent opportunity for investors. The generous acreage provides room for outdoor activities, gardening, or future improvements while maintaining the peaceful feel of country living. Don't miss your chance to transform this property into something special!

Key facts

  • Country living
  • Spacious lot
  • Quiet neighborhood

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTQUIET NEIGHBORHOODCOUNTRY LIVING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces; Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: No fencing; On a 1.64-acre lot; Outdoor storage structure

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Electric water heater; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.5% in Daingerfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#536 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Daingerfield-Lone Star ISD (town): math 24% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #679 of 826 in TX (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Morris County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
  • Morris County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.78%
Cash-on-cash
19.61%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$147,098
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
414 Lindsey St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,086 (-2%) 2mo $144,900 $133 83
911 Bert St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,210 (+9%) 23mo $112,000 $93 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.2%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$31,274
Equity at exit
$34,141
10-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
4.82×
Total profit
$80,195
Equity at exit
$52,978

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75638

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,030 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $561/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$343

Break-even live

Break-even rent $596
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $385 -5% $364 +0% $343 +5% $322 +10% $300
Rent -10% $261 -5% $302 +0% $343 +5% $383 +10% $424
Rate -1.0pp $380 -0.5pp $362 base $343 +0.5pp $323 +1.0pp $304

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 463-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $74,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$561 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,371 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$810/yr (+$67/mo · 144.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,357
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$561
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$989
− Management
−$989
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$3,070
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$737
After-tax cash flow
$3,376/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Daingerfield-Lone Star ISD
NCES district ID
4816180
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$39,097
Composite
23.48/100
National rank
#7877
State rank
#679 of 826 in TX

Livability — Daingerfield

Score
67/100
State rank
#536
US rank
#10463

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,363

Population outlook (Morris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,628 people
By 2030
11,126 · -4.3%
By 2040
10,181 · -12.4%
By 2050
9,408 · -19.1%
By 2075
8,268 · -28.9%
By 2100
7,463 · -35.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Scottish 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% Vietnamese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Morris

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.2) · D 24.1% · R 75.3%
2008→2024 swing
-30.2pp toward R · 2008: -21.0pp · 2024: -51.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.2 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+26.7 2008: R+21.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.11%
Current HPI
186.7313
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $74,900 LAAR
  • 2006-07-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-01-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $561 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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