107 Bowie · Forney, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WOW. .. WHAT A NEAT HOME IN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD AND PRICED RIGHT!!! This is a very nice home with big yard, landscaped, and nice trees. All bedrooms are spacious with walk-in closets and high ceilings. Ceiling fans and decorative lighting throughout. Eat-in Kitchen with separate large utility room plus a utility closet! Roof replaced Oct 2014 with 10 yr warranty. Laminate hardwoods in living room, ceramic tile in kitchen & bathrooms. Wood plant tile in 2nd bedroom. Large backyard with steel post fence. Pre wired for surround sound. Quite friendly neighborhood. Mustang Park right down the street. Don't Miss this one!!
Key facts
- Split-bedroom layout
- Hobby room
- Open floorplan
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing/funding
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage indicated; Special listing condition: Real Estate Owned; Deed restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Mandatory association; HOA semi-annual fee of $135; Association fee includes management fees; HOA managed by Texas Star Community Mgmt
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1-car); Covered parking space; Driveway; Garage faces front
- Utilities: City sewer; Curbs; All-weather road; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property in Mustang Creek subdivision
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in 2003
- Exterior features: Patio; Lot less than 0.5 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Primary bedroom with walk-in closet
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Eat-in kitchen; High-speed internet available; One living area; One dining area; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Utility/laundry room (6 x 6)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-27 ($-328/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $205k (2.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (1.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.1% in Forney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#98 in TX, #3,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Forney ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #234 of 826 in TX (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Criswell El (math 41% / reading 50%, grade D-, #1,112 of 4,322 statewide, top 26%, 807 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 26% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 2200 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.56%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $281,940
- List price
- $209,900
- Delta
- -25.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 418 Bowie St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,509 (+1%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $182 | 72 |
| 524 Appaloosa Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,407 (-5%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $171 | 69 |
| 514 Pinto Ln | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,622 (+9%) | 0mo | $255,000 | $157 | 67 |
| 914 Royal St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,588 (+7%) | 4mo | $249,000 | $157 | 64 |
| 920 York St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,567 (+5%) | 2mo | $299,000 | $191 | 63 |
| 106 Robin Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,546 (+4%) | 5mo | $212,900 | $138 | 62 |
| 505 Southlake Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+5%) | 3mo | $229,900 | $147 | 61 |
| 908 York St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+5%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $147 | 60 |
| 523 Magnolia Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,497 (+1%) | 5mo | $209,999 | $140 | 58 |
| 714 Parkview Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-10%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $119 | 53 |
| 534 Elm St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,710 (+15%) | 5mo | $319,990 | $187 | 39 |
| 530 Elm St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,710 (+15%) | 5mo | $319,990 | $187 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-38,822
- Equity at exit
- $31,297
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-48,231
- Equity at exit
- $18,148
Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75126
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 2200
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,060 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$444 /mo · $5,327/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$23
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $-27
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $91 | -5% $32 | +0% $-27 | +5% $-87 | +10% $-146 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-190 | -5% $-109 | +0% $-27 | +5% $54 | +10% $135 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $78 | -0.5pp $26 | base $-27 | +0.5pp $-82 | +1.0pp $-137 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,475
- Closing costs
- $6,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Galloping Trl Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1663 | $1,999 | $1.20 | 8d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 113 Galloping Trl Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $1,769 | $1.19 | 18d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 507 Thunder Trl Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 308 Southlake Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1491 | $1,965 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 110 Meadow Ct Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1840 | $1,783 | $0.97 | 0d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 611 Orchard Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 603 Woodcrest Way Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $1,805 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 920 Royal St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,870 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 300 Trailhouse Ln Forney, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1041 | $2,115 | $2.03 | 0d | 37 | 0.46mi |
| 415 Southlake Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1283 | $1,723 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 415 Southlake Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1283 | $1,913 | $1.49 | 7d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 905 Royal St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 404 Woodcrest Way Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1434 | $1,900 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 416 Forestwood Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $1,799 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 416 Woodcrest Way Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1379 | $1,950 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 201 Wildwood Blvd Forney, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 964 | $1,955 | $2.03 | 0d | 33 | 0.57mi |
| 413 Redbud Dr Unit NA Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1671 | $2,200 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 517 Burgett St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,695 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 509 Southlake Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $2,299 | $1.99 | 13d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 511 Brazos St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1570 | $1,945 | $1.24 | 8d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2201 Woodberry Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1839 | $2,050 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 236 Pennridge Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1871 | $2,295 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 907 Alpine St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,810 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 404 Oak St Unit 1 Forney, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,349 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 105 Independence Trl Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,900 | $1.18 | 8d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2105 Cardinal Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1763 | $2,200 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 604 Carl C Senter St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $2,300 | $1.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 616 Carl C Senter St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1507 | $1,950 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 213 Independence Trl Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 304 Burgett St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $1,595 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 224 Independence Trl Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $2,095 | $1.34 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 204 Freedom Trl Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $1,925 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 124 Stanford Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,800 | $1.21 | 8d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 300 Stanford Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1714 | $1,999 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 525 Ardsley Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1775 | $2,395 | $1.35 | 0d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 407 S Bois D Arc St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1412 Grove Pond Rd Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1708 | $2,500 | $1.46 | 19d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 121 Princeton Cir Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $2,095 | $1.31 | 12d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1100 N Gateway Blvd Forney, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $1,819 | $2.04 | 0d | 30 | 1.33mi |
| 1450 Whaley Dr Forney, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 922 | $2,532 | $2.75 | 0d | 20 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $23 · $276/yr
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $209,900 Pending 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $209,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $209,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $209,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $209,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $209,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $209,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-28$209,900 Active 1652-char remark
-
2026-03-20$225,000 Active
-
2018-03-16soldstatus
-
2018-03-15soldstatus Sold
Show marketing remark (636 chars)
WOW. .. WHAT A NEAT HOME IN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD AND PRICED RIGHT!!! This is a very nice home with big yard, landscaped, and nice trees. All bedrooms are spacious with walk-in closets and high ceilings. Ceiling fans and decorative lighting throughout. Eat-in Kitchen with separate large utility room plus a utility closet! Roof replaced Oct 2014 with 10 yr warranty. Laminate hardwoods in living room, ceramic tile in kitchen & bathrooms. Wood plant tile in 2nd bedroom. Large backyard with steel post fence. Pre wired for surround sound. Quite friendly neighborhood. Mustang Park right down the street. Don't Miss this one!!
-
2018-02-08status Pending
Show marketing remark (636 chars)
WOW. .. WHAT A NEAT HOME IN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD AND PRICED RIGHT!!! This is a very nice home with big yard, landscaped, and nice trees. All bedrooms are spacious with walk-in closets and high ceilings. Ceiling fans and decorative lighting throughout. Eat-in Kitchen with separate large utility room plus a utility closet! Roof replaced Oct 2014 with 10 yr warranty. Laminate hardwoods in living room, ceramic tile in kitchen & bathrooms. Wood plant tile in 2nd bedroom. Large backyard with steel post fence. Pre wired for surround sound. Quite friendly neighborhood. Mustang Park right down the street. Don't Miss this one!!
-
2018-02-01historical Active Option Contract
Show marketing remark (636 chars)
WOW. .. WHAT A NEAT HOME IN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD AND PRICED RIGHT!!! This is a very nice home with big yard, landscaped, and nice trees. All bedrooms are spacious with walk-in closets and high ceilings. Ceiling fans and decorative lighting throughout. Eat-in Kitchen with separate large utility room plus a utility closet! Roof replaced Oct 2014 with 10 yr warranty. Laminate hardwoods in living room, ceramic tile in kitchen & bathrooms. Wood plant tile in 2nd bedroom. Large backyard with steel post fence. Pre wired for surround sound. Quite friendly neighborhood. Mustang Park right down the street. Don't Miss this one!!
-
2018-01-30status Active
Show marketing remark (636 chars)
WOW. .. WHAT A NEAT HOME IN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD AND PRICED RIGHT!!! This is a very nice home with big yard, landscaped, and nice trees. All bedrooms are spacious with walk-in closets and high ceilings. Ceiling fans and decorative lighting throughout. Eat-in Kitchen with separate large utility room plus a utility closet! Roof replaced Oct 2014 with 10 yr warranty. Laminate hardwoods in living room, ceramic tile in kitchen & bathrooms. Wood plant tile in 2nd bedroom. Large backyard with steel post fence. Pre wired for surround sound. Quite friendly neighborhood. Mustang Park right down the street. Don't Miss this one!!
-
2018-01-27historical Active Option Contract
Show marketing remark (636 chars)
WOW. .. WHAT A NEAT HOME IN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD AND PRICED RIGHT!!! This is a very nice home with big yard, landscaped, and nice trees. All bedrooms are spacious with walk-in closets and high ceilings. Ceiling fans and decorative lighting throughout. Eat-in Kitchen with separate large utility room plus a utility closet! Roof replaced Oct 2014 with 10 yr warranty. Laminate hardwoods in living room, ceramic tile in kitchen & bathrooms. Wood plant tile in 2nd bedroom. Large backyard with steel post fence. Pre wired for surround sound. Quite friendly neighborhood. Mustang Park right down the street. Don't Miss this one!!
-
2018-01-22price $180,000
Show marketing remark (636 chars)
WOW. .. WHAT A NEAT HOME IN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD AND PRICED RIGHT!!! This is a very nice home with big yard, landscaped, and nice trees. All bedrooms are spacious with walk-in closets and high ceilings. Ceiling fans and decorative lighting throughout. Eat-in Kitchen with separate large utility room plus a utility closet! Roof replaced Oct 2014 with 10 yr warranty. Laminate hardwoods in living room, ceramic tile in kitchen & bathrooms. Wood plant tile in 2nd bedroom. Large backyard with steel post fence. Pre wired for surround sound. Quite friendly neighborhood. Mustang Park right down the street. Don't Miss this one!!
-
2017-12-30$185,000 Active
Show marketing remark (636 chars)
WOW. .. WHAT A NEAT HOME IN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD AND PRICED RIGHT!!! This is a very nice home with big yard, landscaped, and nice trees. All bedrooms are spacious with walk-in closets and high ceilings. Ceiling fans and decorative lighting throughout. Eat-in Kitchen with separate large utility room plus a utility closet! Roof replaced Oct 2014 with 10 yr warranty. Laminate hardwoods in living room, ceramic tile in kitchen & bathrooms. Wood plant tile in 2nd bedroom. Large backyard with steel post fence. Pre wired for surround sound. Quite friendly neighborhood. Mustang Park right down the street. Don't Miss this one!!
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2017-07-27soldstatus
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2017-07-25soldstatus Sold
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2017-07-12status Pending
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2017-07-07historical Active Option Contract
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2017-07-06$149,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,327 · $444/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,327 · $444/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,726
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,758
- − Property taxes
- −$5,327
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,978
- − Management
- −$1,978
- − HOA
- −$276
- − Depreciation
- −$6,106
- Taxable loss
- −$3,747
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$899
- After-tax cash flow
- $571/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forney ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819560
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $86,679
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3812
- State rank
- #234 of 826 in TX
Livability — Forney
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #3339
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Forney, TX
- County
- Kaufman County · 122,338 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 84,799
- Household income
- $103,673
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1306.0
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.93%
- Current HPI
- 148.5749
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+40.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $209,900 NTREIS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $225,000 NTREIS
- 2018-03-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-03-15 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2018-02-08 Pending — NTREIS
- 2018-02-01 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2018-01-30 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2018-01-27 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2018-01-22 Price Changed $180,000 NTREIS
- 2017-12-30 Listed $185,000 NTREIS
- 2017-07-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-07-25 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2017-07-12 Pending — NTREIS
- 2017-07-07 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2017-07-06 Listed $149,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,327 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…