3112 Running Deer Dr · North Fort Myers, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$117,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in the highly sought-after Lake Arrowhead Mobile Home Village, a 55+ community where you own the land, this property presents a fantastic opportunity for those looking to rebuild or bring in a new home. The existing 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is being offered at land value, giving you a prime chance to create their ideal Florida retreat. Lake Arrowhead offers low maintenance fees and an abundance of amenities, including a clubhouse, exercise room, library, heated pool and spa overlooking the lake, bocce, shuffleboard, and a storage compound for boats and RVs. This community is filled with activities and social opportunities, making it a wonderful place to enjoy the Florida lifestyle. Conveniently located and not in a flood zone, this property provides a great foundation for your next home. Please note: pets are only permitted on perimeter lots. Don't miss this opportunity to invest in a well-established community with so much to offer!
Key facts
- Manufactured home
- Exercise room
- Well kept grounds
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Deeded restrictions with no commercial use; Zoning: MH-1; Lot unit 27; Approximate living area 1104 (listed); Lot dimensions and area recorded from Property Appraiser Office; View includes landscaped area and partial buildings; Canal width: None
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $125; Total annual recurring fees approximately $1,500; Professional management; Community is non-gated; Community maintenance includes internet/Wi-Fi access, laundry facilities, manager, recreation facilities, street lights, street maintenance, and trash removal; Community amenities include clubhouse, community pool, community spa/hot tub, exercise room, library, billiards, bocce court, shuffleboard, and streetlight
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car carport
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured residential home; 1 story / Ranch with Florida and split-level elements; Rear exposure to the east; Located in Lake Arrowhead mobile village
- Construction: Built in 1981; Manufactured construction; Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Storage; Single-hung windows; Roof over
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator/Freezer; Pantry
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms arranged in a split layout
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with combo tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Thermal fan cooling; Cooling noted as 'See Remarks'
- Interior features: Cable prewire; Custom mirrors; Pantry; Walk-in closet; Window coverings; Breakfast bar and breakfast room; Glass porch; Screened balcony; Workshop; Furnished; Great room floor plan; Split bedrooms floor plan
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in residence; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $372 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $118k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 841 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $812 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 10582% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $118k implies a 201% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.56%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $125,856
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 826 Peaceful Dr | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+4%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $117 | 57 |
| 1091 Laurel Dr | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,194 (+8%) | 14mo | $79,000 | $66 | 56 |
| 786 Roses Ln | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-4%) | 4mo | $149,000 | $141 | 55 |
| 3500 Celestial Way | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (-0%) | 24mo | $85,000 | $77 | 51 |
| 974 Restful Rd | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-13%) | 3mo | $109,575 | $114 | 49 |
| 16034 Citron Way | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-13%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $130 | 38 |
| 16041 Citron Way | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-13%) | 6mo | $92,000 | $96 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $4,129
- Equity at exit
- $17,520
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $31,997
- Equity at exit
- $10,159
Cash invested: $32,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33917
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 841
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,647 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$616
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,671/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$125
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $372
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $438 | -5% $405 | +0% $372 | +5% $339 | +10% $305 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $242 | -5% $307 | +0% $372 | +5% $437 | +10% $502 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $431 | -0.5pp $402 | base $372 | +0.5pp $341 | +1.0pp $310 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,375
- Closing costs
- $3,525
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2774 Wedgewood Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,300 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 266 Mongoose Ln #266 North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,499 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4120 Pine Drop Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $1,895 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2095 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,295 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2027 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $1,300 | $1.58 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 535 Zebra Dr #535 North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,499 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3404 Rainbow Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 3d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 28 Nyborg Ave North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $1,299 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 17499 Monte Isola Way Unit 17499 North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1405 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 16363 Teresa Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 17489 Monte Isola Way North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1347 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4208 Caterina Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1347 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 17400 Monte Isola Way North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,875 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4264 Cirella Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1442 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 12d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4276 Cirella Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1378 | $1,800 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3957 Pomodoro Cir #301 Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,450 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4275 Cirella Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1378 | $1,800 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3961 Pomodoro Cir #204 Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,450 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3961 Pomodoro Cir #204 Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,450 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3953 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1044 | $1,462 | $1.40 | 15d | 9 | 1.15mi |
| 8791 Littleton Rd North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,549 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3973 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $1,575 | $1.03 | 3d | 3 | 1.22mi |
| 3973 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $1,498 | $1.02 | 24d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 3968 Pomodoro Cir #202 Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $1,475 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3944 Pomodoro Cir #202 Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,200 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2904 Tuscan Dr #303 Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,450 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2913 Tuscan Dr #102 Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $1,450 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2909 Tuscan Dr Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $1,475 | $1.00 | 24d | 2 | 1.25mi |
| 3940 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,475 | $1.16 | 3d | 2 | 1.25mi |
| 3940 Villa Del Mar CIR Cape Coral, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1051 | $2,116 | $2.01 | 2d | 21 | 1.28mi |
| 571 Sunrise Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $125 · $1,500/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $117,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $117,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $117,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $117,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $117,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $117,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $117,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $117,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $117,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $117,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $117,500 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $117,500 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $117,500 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-05-20$1,100
-
2026-05-16status Active
-
2026-05-15historical $1,100
-
2026-05-14status Pending With Contingencies
-
2026-05-06price $1,100
-
2026-04-26$1,195
-
2026-04-04price $117,500
-
2026-01-15$125,000 Active
-
2025-04-04soldstatus $39,000 Closed 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
Located in the highly sought-after Lake Arrowhead Mobile Home Village, a 55+ community where you own the land, this property presents a fantastic opportunity for those looking to rebuild or bring in a new home. The existing 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is being offered at land value, giving you a prime chance to create their ideal Florida retreat. Lake Arrowhead offers low maintenance fees and an abundance of amenities, including a clubhouse, exercise room, library, heated pool and spa overlooking the lake, bocce, shuffleboard, and a storage compound for boats and RVs. This community is filled with activities and social opportunities, making it a wonderful place to enjoy the Florida lifestyle. Conveniently located and not in a flood zone, this property provides a great foundation for your next home. Please note: pets are only permitted on perimeter lots. Don't miss this opportunity to invest in a well-established community with so much to offer!
-
2025-04-04soldstatus $39,000 Closed 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
Located in the highly sought-after Lake Arrowhead Mobile Home Village, a 55+ community where you own the land, this property presents a fantastic opportunity for those looking to rebuild or bring in a new home. The existing 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is being offered at land value, giving you a prime chance to create their ideal Florida retreat. Lake Arrowhead offers low maintenance fees and an abundance of amenities, including a clubhouse, exercise room, library, heated pool and spa overlooking the lake, bocce, shuffleboard, and a storage compound for boats and RVs. This community is filled with activities and social opportunities, making it a wonderful place to enjoy the Florida lifestyle. Conveniently located and not in a flood zone, this property provides a great foundation for your next home. Please note: pets are only permitted on perimeter lots. Don't miss this opportunity to invest in a well-established community with so much to offer!
-
2025-03-18status Pending 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
Located in the highly sought-after Lake Arrowhead Mobile Home Village, a 55+ community where you own the land, this property presents a fantastic opportunity for those looking to rebuild or bring in a new home. The existing 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is being offered at land value, giving you a prime chance to create their ideal Florida retreat. Lake Arrowhead offers low maintenance fees and an abundance of amenities, including a clubhouse, exercise room, library, heated pool and spa overlooking the lake, bocce, shuffleboard, and a storage compound for boats and RVs. This community is filled with activities and social opportunities, making it a wonderful place to enjoy the Florida lifestyle. Conveniently located and not in a flood zone, this property provides a great foundation for your next home. Please note: pets are only permitted on perimeter lots. Don't miss this opportunity to invest in a well-established community with so much to offer!
-
2025-02-10$50,000 Active 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
Located in the highly sought-after Lake Arrowhead Mobile Home Village, a 55+ community where you own the land, this property presents a fantastic opportunity for those looking to rebuild or bring in a new home. The existing 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is being offered at land value, giving you a prime chance to create their ideal Florida retreat. Lake Arrowhead offers low maintenance fees and an abundance of amenities, including a clubhouse, exercise room, library, heated pool and spa overlooking the lake, bocce, shuffleboard, and a storage compound for boats and RVs. This community is filled with activities and social opportunities, making it a wonderful place to enjoy the Florida lifestyle. Conveniently located and not in a flood zone, this property provides a great foundation for your next home. Please note: pets are only permitted on perimeter lots. Don't miss this opportunity to invest in a well-established community with so much to offer!
-
2025-02-10$50,000 Active 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
Located in the highly sought-after Lake Arrowhead Mobile Home Village, a 55+ community where you own the land, this property presents a fantastic opportunity for those looking to rebuild or bring in a new home. The existing 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is being offered at land value, giving you a prime chance to create their ideal Florida retreat. Lake Arrowhead offers low maintenance fees and an abundance of amenities, including a clubhouse, exercise room, library, heated pool and spa overlooking the lake, bocce, shuffleboard, and a storage compound for boats and RVs. This community is filled with activities and social opportunities, making it a wonderful place to enjoy the Florida lifestyle. Conveniently located and not in a flood zone, this property provides a great foundation for your next home. Please note: pets are only permitted on perimeter lots. Don't miss this opportunity to invest in a well-established community with so much to offer!
-
2002-09-20soldstatus $53,400
-
2002-09-16soldstatus $53,400
-
2002-08-08price $54,500
-
1981-03-01soldstatus $8,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,671 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,671 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,766
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,582
- − Property taxes
- −$1,671
- − Insurance
- −$588
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,581
- − Management
- −$1,581
- − HOA
- −$1,500
- − Depreciation
- −$3,418
- Taxable income
- $2,845
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$683
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,779/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Fort Myers
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #269
- US rank
- #4409
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Fort Myers, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 57,035
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,380
- Household income
- $55,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 775.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.28%
- Current HPI
- 282.2895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-86.6% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed for Rent $1,100 FGCMLS
- 2026-05-16 Relisted — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-05-15 Rental Removed $1,100 FGCMLS
- 2026-05-14 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $1,100 FGCMLS
- 2026-04-26 Listed for Rent $1,195 FGCMLS
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $117,500 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $125,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-04-04 Sold (MLS) $39,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-04 Sold (MLS) $39,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-03-18 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2025-02-10 Listed $50,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-10 Listed $50,000 FORTMLS
- 2002-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $53,400 Public Records
- 2002-09-16 Sold (MLS) $53,400 FORTMLS
- 2002-08-08 Price Changed $54,500 FORTMLS
- 1981-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,671 · +459.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…