101 Friar Tuck Dr · Chester, MA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- ARV discount +4.4/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable 2 bedroom 1 bath home located in Sherwood Forest. Enjoy deeded lake access and a nice fenced in back yard with large fire pit. Updates include - new roof and shed roof in 2020 and new flooring.
Key facts
- Open concept ranch
- Half acre
- 0.53 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: 4 off-street parking spaces
- Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; 110-volt electric; Gas connections available for range and oven
- Home design: Single family residence; Single-story (entry level and exact stories not specified)
- Construction: Shingle roof; Irregular foundation; Built year per public records
- Exterior features: Porch; Fenced yard; Fenced/enclosed; Cleared lot; Private road frontage; Private maintained road; Unimproved road surface; Lake/pond access; Nearby beach with deeded beach rights (1/10 to 3/10 mile)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Water heater
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Insulated doors; Insulated windows; Total of 4 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-192 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (17.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (33.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (33.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 1.8% in Chester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#91 in MA, #4,646 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Central Berkshire (rural): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #206 of 302 in MA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Berkshire County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Berkshire County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.12%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 12.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $186,960
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 King Arthur Dr | 0.28mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 765 (+1%) | 17mo | $180,000 | $235 | 67 |
| 40 Dragon Way | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 651 (-14%) | 9mo | $198,000 | $304 | 37 |
| 73 Porcupine Ct | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 852 (+12%) | 20mo | $210,000 | $246 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $96,577
- Equity at exit
- $180,086
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.25×
- Total profit
- $293,884
- Equity at exit
- $388,362
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 01223
- Home prices YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,325 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,288/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $-192
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-79 | -5% $-135 | +0% $-192 | +5% $-249 | +10% $-305 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-297 | -5% $-244 | +0% $-192 | +5% $-140 | +10% $-87 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-91 | -0.5pp $-141 | base $-192 | +0.5pp $-244 | +1.0pp $-296 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
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2026-06-19days on market $199,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $199,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $199,900 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $199,900 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-01statusdays on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $199,900 New 4 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $199,900 New 3 DOM
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2026-05-28$199,900 New
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2022-09-30soldstatus $150,000 Closed 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Affordable 2 bedroom 1 bath home located in Sherwood Forest. Enjoy deeded lake access and a nice fenced in back yard with large fire pit. Updates include - new roof and shed roof in 2020 and new flooring.
-
2022-09-13status Pending 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Affordable 2 bedroom 1 bath home located in Sherwood Forest. Enjoy deeded lake access and a nice fenced in back yard with large fire pit. Updates include - new roof and shed roof in 2020 and new flooring.
-
2022-09-06$150,000 Active 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Affordable 2 bedroom 1 bath home located in Sherwood Forest. Enjoy deeded lake access and a nice fenced in back yard with large fire pit. Updates include - new roof and shed roof in 2020 and new flooring.
-
2017-01-31soldstatus $73,400 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Close to southern Berkshire cultural attractions. Bring your own personal touches. Open concept, single level living. Comes with extra lot across the street. Title V to be determined. Agent is related to seller.
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2017-01-31soldstatus $73,400
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Close to southern Berkshire cultural attractions. Bring your own personal touches. Open concept, single level living. Comes with extra lot across the street. Title V to be determined. Agent is related to seller.
-
2016-11-07$69,900 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Close to southern Berkshire cultural attractions. Bring your own personal touches. Open concept, single level living. Comes with extra lot across the street. Title V to be determined. Agent is related to seller.
-
2016-11-07$69,900
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Close to southern Berkshire cultural attractions. Bring your own personal touches. Open concept, single level living. Comes with extra lot across the street. Title V to be determined. Agent is related to seller.
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2016-06-13historical
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2016-05-01$55,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,288 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,873 · $156/mo
- Expected delta
- +$585/yr (+$49/mo · 45.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,903
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$1,288
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,272
- − Management
- −$1,272
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$5,942
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,426
- After-tax cash flow
- $-878/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Berkshire
- NCES district ID
- 2503390
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,145
- Composite
- 34.8/100
- National rank
- #5108
- State rank
- #206 of 302 in MA
Livability — Chester
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #91
- US rank
- #4646
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,588
Population outlook (Berkshire County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 119,723 people
- By 2030
- 114,608 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 102,806 · -14.1%
- By 2050
- 91,305 · -23.7%
- By 2075
- 71,517 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 57,988 · -51.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Romanian 6% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5%
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Berkshire
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.9) · D 68.9% · R 29.0% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: 52.4pp · 2024: 39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.9 2020: D+47.1 2016: D+41.5 2012: D+53.7 2008: D+52.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.33%
- Current HPI
- 305.8977
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+260.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $199,900 MLS PIN
- 2022-09-30 Sold (MLS) $150,000 BCMLS
- 2022-09-13 Pending — BCMLS
- 2022-09-06 Listed $150,000 BCMLS
- 2017-01-31 Sold (MLS) $73,400 BCMLS
- 2017-01-31 Sold (MLS) $73,400 MLS PIN
- 2016-11-07 Listed $69,900 BCMLS
- 2016-11-07 Listed $69,900 MLS PIN
- 2016-06-13 Listing Removed — BCMLS
- 2016-05-01 Listed $55,500 BCMLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2023): $1,288 · +37.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…