113 N 8th St · Holly, CO
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Excellent fixer-upper or potential income property. The home needs some TLC and has excellent living space. This is a great price for this home. Come check it out!
Key facts
- Fixer-upper
- 7,130 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential; One story
- Construction: Frame construction with metal siding; Composition roof; No basement
- Exterior features: Porch; Wood fencing; Shed(s) on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (1 on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Baseboard heating; No central air conditioning
- Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; Wood window frames
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#262 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Holly School District No. Re-3 (rural): math 15% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #154 of 176 in CO (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Prowers County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $317 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
- Prowers County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 598 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $100k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 598 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.91%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $17,735
- Equity at exit
- $30,632
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $54,866
- Equity at exit
- $38,119
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81047
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,157 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $562/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $301
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 598 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 597 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 596 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 595 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 593 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 592 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 589 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 588 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 587 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 585 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 583 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 582 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 581 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 580 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 579 DOM
-
2026-03-16price $100,000
-
2026-01-27price $105,000
-
2025-08-08price $115,000
-
2025-06-04price $123,500
-
2025-03-31price $130,000
-
2024-10-29$145,000 Active
-
2004-10-28soldstatus $38,000
-
2001-07-03soldstatus $20,000
-
1999-03-01soldstatus $40,000
-
1998-04-10soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $562 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $562 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,887
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$562
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,111
- − Management
- −$1,111
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,092
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$502
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,114/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Holly School District No. Re-3
- NCES district ID
- 0804680
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,756
- Composite
- 20.06/100
- National rank
- #13861
- State rank
- #154 of 176 in CO
Livability — Holly
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #262
- US rank
- #19667
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Holly, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,565
Population outlook (Prowers County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,654 people
- By 2030
- 9,902 · -7.1%
- By 2040
- 8,419 · -21.0%
- By 2050
- 7,122 · -33.2%
- By 2075
- 4,648 · -56.4%
- By 2100
- 2,900 · -72.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 26%
Political lean MEDSL · Prowers
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.7) · D 23.9% · R 74.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -50.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.7 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+46.9 2012: R+35.4 2008: R+33.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.32%
- Current HPI
- 170.2434
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+185.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $100,000 PARMLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $105,000 PARMLS
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $115,000 PARMLS
- 2025-06-04 Price Changed $123,500 PARMLS
- 2025-03-31 Price Changed $130,000 PARMLS
- 2024-10-29 Listed $145,000 PARMLS
- 2004-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 2001-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 1999-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1998-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $562 · +585.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…