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B- Composite 66.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$100,000

113 N 8th St · Holly, CO 81047
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,372 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 598 Days on market
Built 1925 7,130 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Excellent fixer-upper or potential income property. The home needs some TLC and has excellent living space. This is a great price for this home. Come check it out!

Key facts

  • Fixer-upper
  • 7,130 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

FIXER-UPPERPOTENTIAL INCOME PROPERTY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential; One story
  • Construction: Frame construction with metal siding; Composition roof; No basement
  • Exterior features: Porch; Wood fencing; Shed(s) on the property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (1 on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Baseboard heating; No central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; Wood window frames
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#262 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Holly School District No. Re-3 (rural): math 15% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #154 of 176 in CO (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Prowers County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $317 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Prowers County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 598 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $100k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 598 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.91%
Cash-on-cash
12.91%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$17,735
Equity at exit
$30,632
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$54,866
Equity at exit
$38,119

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81047

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,157 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $562/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$301

Break-even live

Break-even rent $776
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 598 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 597 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 596 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 595 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 593 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $100,000 Active 592 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 589 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 588 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 587 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 585 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 583 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 582 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 581 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 580 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 579 DOM
  16. 2026-03-16
    price $100,000
  17. 2026-01-27
    price $105,000
  18. 2025-08-08
    price $115,000
  19. 2025-06-04
    price $123,500
  20. 2025-03-31
    price $130,000
  21. 2024-10-29
    listed $145,000 Active
  22. 2004-10-28
    soldstatus $38,000
  23. 2001-07-03
    soldstatus $20,000
  24. 1999-03-01
    soldstatus $40,000
  25. 1998-04-10
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$562 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$562 · $47/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,887
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$562
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,111
− Management
−$1,111
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$2,092
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$502
After-tax cash flow
$3,114/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Holly School District No. Re-3
NCES district ID
0804680
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,756
Composite
20.06/100
National rank
#13861
State rank
#154 of 176 in CO

Livability — Holly

Score
59/100
State rank
#262
US rank
#19667

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Holly, CO
Population (ZIP)
1,565

Population outlook (Prowers County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,654 people
By 2030
9,902 · -7.1%
By 2040
8,419 · -21.0%
By 2050
7,122 · -33.2%
By 2075
4,648 · -56.4%
By 2100
2,900 · -72.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 3% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 26%

Political lean MEDSL · Prowers

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.7) · D 23.9% · R 74.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-16.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -50.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.7 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+46.9 2012: R+35.4 2008: R+33.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.32%
Current HPI
170.2434
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+185.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $100,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $105,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-08-08 Price Changed $115,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-06-04 Price Changed $123,500 PARMLS
  • 2025-03-31 Price Changed $130,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-10-29 Listed $145,000 PARMLS
  • 2004-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 2001-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 1999-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 1998-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $562 · +585.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…