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4116 Southview Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 68.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$105,000

4116 Southview Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31205
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,065 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 238 Days on market
Built 1958 0.26 ac lot $99/sqft · 22% below area Est $134k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Conveniently located near shopping and freeway access. Established neighborhood. This home has character! Serious inquiries only. Priced to sale. You can make this your next home, or use for an income property. Do not disturb tenant. Please call agent, or have your agent call agent for viewing details.

Key facts

  • Freeway access
  • Shopping access
  • 0.26 acre lot

Tags

SHOPPING ACCESSFREEWAY ACCESSESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $105,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$134,218) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 238 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $105k implies a 320% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 238 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
9.09%
Cash-on-cash
9.98%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$134,218
List price
$105,000
Delta
-21.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3966 Mickey St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,088 (+2%) 2mo $160,000 $147 63
3979 Spencer Cir 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+3%) 10mo $95,000 $86 58
3765 Lindsey Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,060 (-0%) 16mo $146,000 $138 51
3867 Lindwood Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,125 (+6%) 9mo $107,000 $95 49
3042 Ohara Dr S 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,040 (-2%) 22mo $125,000 $120 47
3852 Tyler Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,000 (-6%) 11mo $125,000 $125 43
3860 Lindwood Dr 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+13%) 9mo $50,000 $42 36
3741 Lindsey Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,160 (+9%) 23mo $120,000 $103 32
3910 Saint Charles Pl 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 928 (-13%) 11mo $17,500 $19 30
4039 Lindsey Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+13%) 21mo $53,750 $45 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$23,990
Equity at exit
$47,213
10-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
3.37×
Total profit
$69,541
Equity at exit
$72,760

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31205

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,121 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $557/yr
Insurance
$44
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$178

Break-even live

Break-even rent $895
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $237 -5% $208 +0% $178 +5% $148 +10% $119
Rent -10% $89 -5% $134 +0% $178 +5% $222 +10% $267
Rate -1.0pp $231 -0.5pp $205 base $178 +0.5pp $151 +1.0pp $123

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4028 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 21d 1 0.59mi
3823 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,150 $1.13 44d 1 0.73mi
1332 Hillridge Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,050 $1.00 14d 1 0.77mi
3257 Ohara Dr S Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1352 $1,125 $0.83 21d 1 0.82mi
3837 Spencer Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,300 $1.20 44d 1 0.88mi
1289 Rocky Creek Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1404 $750 $0.53 44d 1 0.91mi
3778 Spencer Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 21d 1 0.93mi
3685 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,450 $1.26 44d 1 1.03mi
1240 Rocky Creek Rd Unit A Macon, GA 4.0 1.0 1342 $1,090 $0.81 21d 1 1.04mi
1260 Auburn Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,295 $1.50 21d 1 1.04mi
1260 Auburn Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,075 $1.24 44d 1 1.04mi
4300 Essex Rd Macon, GA 4.0 1.5 1246 $1,450 $1.16 21d 1 1.11mi
1156 Triple Hill Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 980 $875 $0.89 14d 1 1.17mi
4278 Vinson Ave Macon, GA 4.0 2.0 1104 $1,550 $1.40 21d 1 1.23mi
2427 Vivian Dr Macon, GA 4.0 1.0 1056 $1,150 $1.09 44d 1 1.27mi
2418 Adger Rd Macon, GA 4.0 1.0 1365 $1,500 $1.10 44d 1 1.27mi
4455 Fairfax Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1352 $1,225 $0.91 44d 1 1.29mi
2423 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1056 $725 $0.69 44d 1 1.30mi
2459 Vivian Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 792 $850 $1.07 14d 1 1.35mi
1148 N Beddingfield Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1076 $825 $0.77 44d 1 1.36mi
955 Putnam St Unit 1 Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,199 $1.26 44d 1 1.37mi
906 Thomas St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 800 $650 $0.81 44d 1 1.40mi
4322 Mikado Ave Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,230 $0.92 21d 1 1.42mi
1164 Newberg Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 44d 1 1.42mi
2477 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 960 $825 $0.86 14d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $105,000 Active 238 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 237 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 236 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 235 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 234 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $105,000 Active 232 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 231 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $105,000 Active 229 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 228 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 227 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 226 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 222 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 221 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 220 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 219 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $105,000 Active 218 DOM
  17. 2026-02-12
    price $105,000 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Conveniently located near shopping and freeway access. Established neighborhood. This home has character! Serious inquiries only. Priced to sale. You can make this your next home, or use for an income property. Do not disturb tenant. Please call agent, or have your agent call agent for viewing details.

  18. 2026-02-12
    price $105,000 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Conveniently located near shopping and freeway access. Established neighborhood. This home has character! Serious inquiries only. Priced to sale. You can make this your next home, or use for an income property. Do not disturb tenant. Please call agent, or have your agent call agent for viewing details.

  19. 2026-02-12
    price $105,000
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Conveniently located near shopping and freeway access. Established neighborhood. This home has character! Serious inquiries only. Priced to sale. You can make this your next home, or use for an income property. Do not disturb tenant. Please call agent, or have your agent call agent for viewing details.

  20. 2025-10-24
    listed $135,000 New
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Conveniently located near shopping and freeway access. Established neighborhood. This home has character! Serious inquiries only. Priced to sale. You can make this your next home, or use for an income property. Do not disturb tenant. Please call agent, or have your agent call agent for viewing details.

  21. 2025-10-24
    listed $135,000 Active 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Conveniently located near shopping and freeway access. Established neighborhood. This home has character! Serious inquiries only. Priced to sale. You can make this your next home, or use for an income property. Do not disturb tenant. Please call agent, or have your agent call agent for viewing details.

  22. 2025-09-29
    listed $135,000 Active 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Conveniently located near shopping and freeway access. Established neighborhood. This home has character! Serious inquiries only. Priced to sale. You can make this your next home, or use for an income property. Do not disturb tenant. Please call agent, or have your agent call agent for viewing details.

  23. 2019-11-22
    soldstatus $25,000
  24. 2019-11-17
    listed $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$557 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$966 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$409/yr (+$34/mo · 73.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,447
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$557
− Insurance
−$1,322
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,076
− Management
−$1,076
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$480
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$115
After-tax cash flow
$2,021/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+251.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $105,000 CGMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $105,000 MGMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $105,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $135,000 CGMLS
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $135,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $135,000 MGMLS
  • 2019-11-22 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MGMLS
  • 2019-11-17 Listed $29,900 MGMLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $557 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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