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4928 Desert Inn Ave
B- Composite 69.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

4928 Desert Inn Ave · Desoto Acres, FL 34234
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 149 Days on market
Built 1967 4,798 sqft lot $137/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained single-wide manufactured home offering a bright and functional layout with comfortable living spaces throughout. The home features an open living and dining area with abundant natural light, neutral finishes, and durable flooring. The kitchen offers ample cabinet storage, granite style countertops, and convenient access to the main living areas. Bedrooms are generously sized with built-in closets, and the bathroom includes tiled walls, a tub/shower combination, and updated vanity. Additional features include an enclosed Florida room, covered carport, and ample storage space. The exterior offers a wide driveway and low-maintenance landscaping. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways, with easy access to downtown Sarasota and surrounding areas. A great opportunity for affordable Florida living.

Key facts

  • Covered carport
  • Wide driveway
  • 4,798 sq ft lot

Tags

OPEN LIVING AND DINING AREAAMPLE CABINET STORAGEENCLOSED FLORIDA ROOMCOVERED CARPORTWIDE DRIVEWAYLOW-MAINTENANCE LANDSCAPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $759 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 4.0% in Desoto Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $43k; list at $75k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.55%
Cap rate
18.44%
Cash-on-cash
43.37%
DSCR
2.93
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.2%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$30,751
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
41.1%
Equity multiple
4.24×
Total profit
$68,047
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34234

Rents YoY
-3.1%
Active inventory
268
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,914 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,301/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$137
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$759

Break-even live

Break-even rent $954
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $801 -5% $780 +0% $759 +5% $738 +10% $717
Rent -10% $608 -5% $683 +0% $759 +5% $835 +10% $910
Rate -1.0pp $797 -0.5pp $778 base $759 +0.5pp $740 +1.0pp $720

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2351 University Pkwy Sarasota, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1046 $2,480 $2.37 2d 24 1.03mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$137 · $1,644/yr
Likely covers
landscaping

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 149 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 148 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 146 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 144 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 143 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 141 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 140 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 139 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 138 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,000 Active 135 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 134 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 133 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 132 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 131 DOM
  16. 2026-04-23
    price $75,000 862-char remark
    Show marketing remark (862 chars)

    Well-maintained single-wide manufactured home offering a bright and functional layout with comfortable living spaces throughout. The home features an open living and dining area with abundant natural light, neutral finishes, and durable flooring. The kitchen offers ample cabinet storage, granite style countertops, and convenient access to the main living areas. Bedrooms are generously sized with built-in closets, and the bathroom includes tiled walls, a tub/shower combination, and updated vanity. Additional features include an enclosed Florida room, covered carport, and ample storage space. The exterior offers a wide driveway and low-maintenance landscaping. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways, with easy access to downtown Sarasota and surrounding areas. A great opportunity for affordable Florida living.

  17. 2026-04-14
    price $85,000 862-char remark
    Show marketing remark (862 chars)

    Well-maintained single-wide manufactured home offering a bright and functional layout with comfortable living spaces throughout. The home features an open living and dining area with abundant natural light, neutral finishes, and durable flooring. The kitchen offers ample cabinet storage, granite style countertops, and convenient access to the main living areas. Bedrooms are generously sized with built-in closets, and the bathroom includes tiled walls, a tub/shower combination, and updated vanity. Additional features include an enclosed Florida room, covered carport, and ample storage space. The exterior offers a wide driveway and low-maintenance landscaping. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways, with easy access to downtown Sarasota and surrounding areas. A great opportunity for affordable Florida living.

  18. 2026-01-20
    listed $95,000 Active 862-char remark
    Show marketing remark (862 chars)

    Well-maintained single-wide manufactured home offering a bright and functional layout with comfortable living spaces throughout. The home features an open living and dining area with abundant natural light, neutral finishes, and durable flooring. The kitchen offers ample cabinet storage, granite style countertops, and convenient access to the main living areas. Bedrooms are generously sized with built-in closets, and the bathroom includes tiled walls, a tub/shower combination, and updated vanity. Additional features include an enclosed Florida room, covered carport, and ample storage space. The exterior offers a wide driveway and low-maintenance landscaping. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, medical facilities, and major roadways, with easy access to downtown Sarasota and surrounding areas. A great opportunity for affordable Florida living.

  19. 1999-02-22
    soldstatus $43,400
  20. 1997-05-16
    soldstatus $25,000
  21. 1996-09-24
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,301 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,301 · $192/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,972
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$2,301
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,838
− Management
−$1,838
− HOA
−$1,644
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$8,593
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,062
After-tax cash flow
$7,046/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sarasota
NCES district ID
1201680
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$51,167
Composite
53.68/100
National rank
#1428
State rank
#7 of 73 in FL

Livability — Desoto Acres

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Sarasota County · 448,376 people
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,986
Household income
$57,288
Rent vs Own
40.5% rent · 59.5% own
Severe rent burden
1306.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
452,380 people
By 2030
474,175 · +4.8%
By 2040
511,577 · +13.1%
By 2050
541,467 · +19.7%
By 2075
604,947 · +33.7%
By 2100
621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Hispanic 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -229.06%
Current HPI
305.6629
Rent YoY
▼ -3.15%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+275.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $85,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $43,400 Public Records
  • 1997-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 1996-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,301 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…