2109 Cedar Run Dr #208 · Lower Allen, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,400
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Condominiums in this Camp Hill building rarely come up for sale and preferred units like #208 are even rarer! This sunny, south-facing, second-floor end unit with a balcony overlooking the quiet back lawn is ideal for owner-occupants or investors. Solid concrete and brick construction ensures confidence, quiet and privacy while substantial investments in name-brand upgrades maximize this unit’s attraction, comfort, and convenience. Low HOA fees that include water, sewer, and trash pick-up plus low taxes deliver your choice of affordable living or high investment return. This move-in-ready, 702 square foot, 3 room condo offers a large bedroom, roomy bathroom, and even larger family ro
Key facts
- Name brand upgrades
- $140 HOA
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $140 covering water, sewer, trash, and exterior building maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking lot with 1 space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electrical service with circuit breakers; Electric heating fuel; Electric hot water
- Home design: Condominium unit; Garden-style building (1–4 floors); Unit/flat; Entry on floor 1
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Double pane windows; Above grade and below grade structures
- Exterior features: Balcony; Porch(es); Level lot; Not in a federal flood zone; 2+ access exits
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven/range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Water heater
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate plank
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Stall shower; Combination dining/living area; Elevator access; Eat-in kitchen; Window treatments; Drywall and plaster walls; Energy Star qualified door(s); Sliding glass door
- Laundry & utility: Shared basement laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $104k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $104k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.4% in Lower Allen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#231 in PA, #2,010 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- West Shore SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #222 of 539 in PA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cedar Cliff Hs (math 56% / reading 24%, grade F, #263 of 437 statewide, top 60%, 1,353 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $722 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.68%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-3,883
- Equity at exit
- $15,566
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $26,434
- Equity at exit
- $9,027
Cash invested: $29,232 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17011
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,265 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$547
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$130 /mo · $1,566/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$140
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $138
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,100
- Closing costs
- $3,132
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2100 Cedar Run Dr Camp Hill, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,222 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1149 Columbus Ave Lemoyne, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $1,197 | $1.43 | 14d | 9 | 0.67mi |
| 1400 Market St Unit 1400 Market 103 Camp Hill, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,895 | $2.53 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 122 S 7th St Unit B Lemoyne, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,245 | $1.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 701 Market St Lemoyne, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,545 | $2.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $140 · $1,680/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrash
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 1715-char remark
-
2026-04-28$104,400 Active 1715-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,848
- − Property taxes
- −$1,566
- − Insurance
- −$522
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,215
- − Management
- −$1,215
- − HOA
- −$1,680
- − Depreciation
- −$3,037
- Taxable income
- $103
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$25
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,634/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This move-in-ready, 702 square foot, 3 room condo is in excellent condition with minimal maintenance required. It offers a large bedroom, roomy bathroom, and substantial investments in name-brand upgrades, making it ideal for owner-occupants or investors.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value.
- Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency, attracting both buyers and renters.
- Both Window treatments — Improves energy efficiency and adds to the home's curb appeal.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value. ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency, attracting both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Window treatments — Improves energy efficiency and adds to the home's curb appeal. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Shore SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225830
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,398
- Composite
- 40.9/100
- National rank
- #3617
- State rank
- #222 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lower Allen
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #231
- US rank
- #2010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lower Allen, PA
- County
- Cumberland County · 257,673 people
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,664
- Household income
- $92,556
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 858.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,950 people
- By 2030
- 278,105 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 296,552 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 312,937 · +16.8%
- By 2075
- 349,233 · +30.3%
- By 2100
- 361,875 · +35.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.6% · R 54.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -232.65%
- Current HPI
- 254.4755
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+11.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Sold (MLS) $116,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-05 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $104,400 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…