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3626 Sparrow St
D+ Composite 46.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.3/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$237,900

3626 Sparrow St · Houston, TX 77051
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market
Built 1960 7,000 sqft lot $142/sqft · at area comps Est $227k · at est. ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Completely updated 4 Bedroom 2 Bathroom Home. Kitchen offers Stainless Steel Appliances w/ Gas Oven. Luxury vinyl plank flooring and brand new carpeting. Bedrooms are very spacious! Primary suite has walk in closet and en suite bathroom w/ spacious walk in shower.

Key facts

  • En suite bathroom
  • Gas oven
  • Walk in closet

Tags

STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGAS OVENWALK IN CLOSETEN SUITE BATHROOMWALK IN SHOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $238k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-51 ($-609/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (3.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (17.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,953/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1446% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,255 (17.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.91%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$226,922
List price
$237,900
Delta
4.84%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3609 Dawson Ln 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,648 (-2%) 2mo $200,000 $121 86
3623 Jipsie Ln 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,617 (-4%) 2mo $205,000 $127 74
9401 Kappa Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,631 (-3%) 1mo $200,000 $123 67
3517 Dawson Ln 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,832 (+9%) 10mo $235,000 $128 67
9007 Comal St 0.67mi 3/2.5 1,703 (+1%) 4mo $289,000 $170 59
10616 Ashville Dr 0.53mi 3/2.5 1,800 (+7%) 4mo $325,000 $181 56
10513 Chesterfield Dr 0.47mi 3/3.0 1,820 (+8%) 4mo $299,999 $165 55
3116 Grassmere St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,547 (-8%) 10mo $219,900 $142 53
10202 Cathedral Dr 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,902 (+13%) 8mo $219,000 $115 44
10123 Berkeley Springs Trl 0.73mi 3/2.5 1,586 (-6%) 11mo $299,990 $189 43
4402 Phlox St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,436 (-14%) 5mo $239,999 $167 38
10601 Dulcimer St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,428 (-15%) 10mo $200,000 $140 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$129,874
Equity at exit
$214,319
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
6.90×
Total profit
$392,709
Equity at exit
$462,187

Cash invested: $66,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77051

Home prices YoY
9.7%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
312
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,953 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,248
Tax from tax record
$247 /mo · $2,958/yr
Insurance
$99
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$-51

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,017
Max offer price $228,942
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $84 -5% $17 +0% $-51 +5% $-118 +10% $-185
Rent -10% $-205 -5% $-128 +0% $-51 +5% $26 +10% $104
Rate -1.0pp $69 -0.5pp $10 base $-51 +0.5pp $-112 +1.0pp $-175

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,475
Closing costs
$7,137
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9606 Ashville Dr Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1610 $1,570 $0.98 44d 1 0.13mi
3710 Rockingham St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1890 $1,700 $0.90 44d 1 0.18mi
9610 Buffum St Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1605 $1,799 $1.12 44d 1 0.64mi
2910 Reed Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1221 $1,228 $1.01 0d 3 0.81mi
2937 Amherst Meadow Ln Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1820 $2,450 $1.35 22d 1 0.87mi
2937 Amherst Meadow Ln Unit NA Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1820 $2,400 $1.32 5d 1 0.87mi
4538 Clover St Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1768 $1,595 $0.90 44d 1 0.89mi
10514 Wellesley Terrace Trl Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1843 $2,300 $1.25 18d 1 0.92mi
2889 Reed Rd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 997 $1,648 $1.65 3d 2 0.93mi
10415 Lancaster Ln Houston, TX 3.0–4.0 2.5 1937 $2,525 $1.30 21d 1 1.03mi
2725 Reed Rd Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 911 $975 $1.07 44d 1 1.05mi
4723 Mallow St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1472 $1,850 $1.26 6d 1 1.11mi
4810 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1165 $1,650 $1.42 44d 1 1.11mi
4526 Knoxville St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1474 $1,775 $1.20 15d 1 1.12mi
4514 Galesburg St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1680 $3,500 $2.08 25d 1 1.14mi
4921a Pederson St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1765 $2,150 $1.22 13d 1 1.23mi
4918 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1300 $2,100 $1.62 44d 1 1.24mi
4406 Sterling St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1840 $1,999 $1.09 17d 1 1.25mi
4117 Shelby Cir Unit 1230900P Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1367 $5,253 $3.84 0d 1 1.29mi
3137 W Bellfort Ave Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1164 $1,802 $1.55 44d 1 1.29mi
8328 Corinth St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,800 $1.87 20d 1 1.31mi
5012 Higgins St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1611 $1,650 $1.02 25d 1 1.33mi
3620 Du Bois St Unit 1302349P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1797 $2,945 $1.64 3d 1 1.40mi
11819 Leitrim Way Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1476 $1,150 $0.78 6d 1 1.43mi
5036 Mallow St Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1472 $2,050 $1.39 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $237,900 Active 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $237,900 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $237,900 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $237,900 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $237,900 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $237,900 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $237,900 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $237,900 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $237,900 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $237,900 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $237,900 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-04-12
    listed $237,900 Active 264-char remark
    Show marketing remark (264 chars)

    Completely updated 4 Bedroom 2 Bathroom Home. Kitchen offers Stainless Steel Appliances w/ Gas Oven. Luxury vinyl plank flooring and brand new carpeting. Bedrooms are very spacious! Primary suite has walk in closet and en suite bathroom w/ spacious walk in shower.

  13. 2026-04-12
    price $237,900
    Show marketing remark (264 chars)

    Completely updated 4 Bedroom 2 Bathroom Home. Kitchen offers Stainless Steel Appliances w/ Gas Oven. Luxury vinyl plank flooring and brand new carpeting. Bedrooms are very spacious! Primary suite has walk in closet and en suite bathroom w/ spacious walk in shower.

  14. 2026-04-11
    historical
  15. 2025-10-07
    status Active
  16. 2025-10-07
    historical
  17. 2025-10-07
    listed $239,900 Active
  18. 2025-10-07
    historical
  19. 2025-10-06
    price $239,900
  20. 2025-07-03
    listed $244,900 Active
  21. 2025-04-21
    soldstatus
  22. 2004-04-19
    soldstatus
  23. 2000-09-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,958 · $247/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,354 · $363/mo
Expected delta
+$1,395/yr (+$116/mo · 47.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,431
− Mortgage interest
−$13,326
− Property taxes
−$2,958
− Insurance
−$1,190
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,874
− Management
−$1,874
− Depreciation
−$6,921
Taxable loss
−$4,713
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,131
After-tax cash flow
$523/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,795
Household income
$37,415
Rent vs Own
58.2% rent · 41.8% own
Severe rent burden
1446.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.02%
Current HPI
180.4283
Rent YoY
▲ 4.77%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $237,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-12 Price Changed $237,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-10-07 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2025-10-07 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $239,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-07 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Price Changed $239,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-03 Listed $244,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-04-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-04-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2000-09-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,958 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…