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C- Composite 54.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$19,880

122 S Billings St · Marion, KS 66861
6 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,283 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 547 Days on market
Built 1900 0.26 ac lot ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 546 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Composition roof; Other construction materials; Above-grade finished area approximately 2,283
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; 116' x 134' lot (0.26 acre)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Window air conditioning units; No central heating listed
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; No built-in appliances

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $17k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#163 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion-Florence (rural): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 169 in KS (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Marion Elem (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #131 of 684 statewide, top 23%, 244 students, 46% FRL); Marion Middle (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #49 of 219 statewide, top 24%, 127 students, 47% FRL); Marion High (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #198 of 327 statewide, top 66%, 142 students, 45% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($137 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Marion County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 547 days — a 12% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $17,494 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 547 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.41%
Cap rate
48.28%
Cash-on-cash
149.97%
DSCR
7.67
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
10.91×
Total profit
$55,161
Equity at exit
$17,909
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
23.93×
Total profit
$127,650
Equity at exit
$38,622

Cash invested: $5,566 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66861

Home prices YoY
8.4%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,076 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$104
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $505/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$696

Break-even live

Break-even rent $196
Max offer price $19,880
Occupancy floor 30%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,970
Closing costs
$596
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $19,880 Active 547 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $19,880 Active 546 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $19,880 Active 545 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $19,880 Active 544 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $19,880 Active 542 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $19,880 Active 541 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $19,880 Active 538 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $19,880 Active 537 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $19,880 Active 536 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $19,880 Active 534 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $19,880 Active 532 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $19,880 Active 531 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $19,880 Active 530 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $19,880 Active 529 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $19,880 Active 528 DOM
  16. 2026-03-13
    price $19,880
  17. 2025-06-13
    price $25,000
  18. 2024-12-18
    listed $29,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$505 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$505 · $42/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,916
− Mortgage interest
−$1,114
− Property taxes
−$505
− Insurance
−$99
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,033
− Management
−$1,033
− Depreciation
−$578
Taxable income
$8,553
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,053
After-tax cash flow
$6,295/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion-Florence
NCES district ID
2009240
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$41,826
Composite
33.67/100
National rank
#5390
State rank
#37 of 169 in KS

Livability — Marion

Score
70/100
State rank
#163
US rank
#7701

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marion, KS
City population
2,929
Population (ZIP)
2,929

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,315 people
By 2030
10,852 · -4.1%
By 2040
9,989 · -11.7%
By 2050
9,375 · -17.1%
By 2075
8,969 · -20.7%
By 2100
9,019 · -20.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.1) · D 24.3% · R 73.5% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -49.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.1 2020: R+48.8 2016: R+50.3 2012: R+46.5 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.73%
Current HPI
203.6912
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-33.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $19,880 MKMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-06-13 Price Changed $25,000 MKMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-12-18 Listed $29,900 MKMLS as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

-2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $505 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…