122 S Billings St · Marion, KS
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$19,880
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 546 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Composition roof; Other construction materials; Above-grade finished area approximately 2,283
- Exterior features: Paved road access; 116' x 134' lot (0.26 acre)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Window air conditioning units; No central heating listed
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; No built-in appliances
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $17k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#163 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion-Florence (rural): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 169 in KS (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Marion Elem (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #131 of 684 statewide, top 23%, 244 students, 46% FRL); Marion Middle (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #49 of 219 statewide, top 24%, 127 students, 47% FRL); Marion High (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #198 of 327 statewide, top 66%, 142 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($137 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Marion County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 547 days — a 12% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 547 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 48.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 149.97%
- DSCR
- 7.67
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.91×
- Total profit
- $55,161
- Equity at exit
- $17,909
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 23.93×
- Total profit
- $127,650
- Equity at exit
- $38,622
Cash invested: $5,566 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66861
- Home prices YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,076 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$104
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $505/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $696
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,970
- Closing costs
- $596
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $19,880 Active 547 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $19,880 Active 546 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $19,880 Active 545 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $19,880 Active 544 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $19,880 Active 542 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $19,880 Active 541 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $19,880 Active 538 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $19,880 Active 537 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $19,880 Active 536 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $19,880 Active 534 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $19,880 Active 532 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $19,880 Active 531 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $19,880 Active 530 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $19,880 Active 529 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $19,880 Active 528 DOM
-
2026-03-13price $19,880
-
2025-06-13price $25,000
-
2024-12-18$29,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $505 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $505 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,916
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,114
- − Property taxes
- −$505
- − Insurance
- −$99
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,033
- − Management
- −$1,033
- − Depreciation
- −$578
- Taxable income
- $8,553
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,053
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,295/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion-Florence
- NCES district ID
- 2009240
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,826
- Composite
- 33.67/100
- National rank
- #5390
- State rank
- #37 of 169 in KS
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #7701
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, KS
- City population
- 2,929
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,929
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,315 people
- By 2030
- 10,852 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 9,989 · -11.7%
- By 2050
- 9,375 · -17.1%
- By 2075
- 8,969 · -20.7%
- By 2100
- 9,019 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.1) · D 24.3% · R 73.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -49.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.1 2020: R+48.8 2016: R+50.3 2012: R+46.5 2008: R+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 15.73%
- Current HPI
- 203.6912
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-33.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $19,880 MKMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-06-13 Price Changed $25,000 MKMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-12-18 Listed $29,900 MKMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
-2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $505 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…