38910 Desert Greens Dr W · Palm Desert, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home is well maintained, has dual pane windows, Rock scape, low maintenance. Center island, tile and laminate flooring thru out.
Key facts
- Vinyl flooring
- Carport cover
- Water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: PUD: Yes
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $400; HOA covers clubhouse, trash, security, and cable TV; Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, banquet facilities, golf course within development, basketball and tennis courts, sport court, recreation room, playground, greenbelt/park, pickleball courts, and trailer storage; Senior community; Gated community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport with 2 covered parking spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
- Security: Community security included in association amenities
- Utilities: Water: Water district (connected); Sewer: Connected and paid; Cable TV available
- Home design: Detached double-wide mobile home; Single story (ground level, no unit above); Front entry facing north
- Construction: Manufactured home built in 1971; Model: Casino; Manufacturer: Fuqua Homes Inc.; Approximately 20 ft wide and 40.4 ft long
- Exterior features: Gated community; Block and vinyl fencing; Fenced; Mountain view; Front door faces north; Fee simple land
Interior
- Kitchen: Tile countertops; Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Disposal; Refrigerator; Water line to refrigerator; Exhaust fan
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One 3/4 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Double-pane windows; Mini blinds; Partially furnished; Tile shower
- Laundry & utility: Stackable washer/dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $225k).
- Recommended offer: $218k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 3.5% in Palm Desert — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,050 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: schools A-, employment B+, housing B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 549 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,628/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1734% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $162k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.48%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $174,720
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38768 Bautista Canyon Way | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 | 960 (0%) | 14mo | $175,000 | $182 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $23,848
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $85,430
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92260
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 549
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,628 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,051/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$400
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$762
- Net cashflow
- $1,022
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,149 | -5% $1,086 | +0% $1,022 | +5% $958 | +10% $895 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $736 | -5% $879 | +0% $1,022 | +5% $1,165 | +10% $1,309 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,135 | -0.5pp $1,079 | base $1,022 | +0.5pp $964 | +1.0pp $905 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73373 Country Club Dr Palm Desert, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $2,165 | $2.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 40445 Portola Ave Palm Desert, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $3,215 | $3.30 | 0d | 16 | 1.12mi |
| 74300 Country Club Dr Unit 243 Palm Desert, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $5,495 | $8.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 74300 Country Club Dr Apt 5001 Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $7,120 | $6.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1 Marbella Ln Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $4,500 | $4.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 36101 Explorer Dr Palm Desert, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,478 | $1.84 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $400 · $4,800/yr
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $224,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $224,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $224,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $224,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-16price $224,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $229,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $229,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $229,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $229,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $229,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $229,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $229,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-21$229,000 Active
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2023-02-27soldstatus $162,000 Closed 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Home is well maintained, has dual pane windows, Rock scape, low maintenance. Center island, tile and laminate flooring thru out.
-
2023-02-27soldstatus $90,000
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Home is well maintained, has dual pane windows, Rock scape, low maintenance. Center island, tile and laminate flooring thru out.
-
2023-01-10price $179,999 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Home is well maintained, has dual pane windows, Rock scape, low maintenance. Center island, tile and laminate flooring thru out.
-
2023-01-10historical 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Home is well maintained, has dual pane windows, Rock scape, low maintenance. Center island, tile and laminate flooring thru out.
-
2023-01-07$162,000 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Home is well maintained, has dual pane windows, Rock scape, low maintenance. Center island, tile and laminate flooring thru out.
-
2019-05-31soldstatus $129,000 Closed 849-char remark
Show marketing remark (849 chars)
New Price! Remodeled home close to the the Library & down the street for the Club House! The rock landscaping & front patio greets you, which lead into the home through double entry doors. The AC & furnace are newer. Home offers dual pane windows, tiled counters, newer kitchen cabinets, laminate flooring in Living Room & Kitchen, & tiled flooring through the balance of the home. Home is dry walled, has a tiled walk-in shower & pedestal sink. The square footage(800sq ft) may not be big, but the feel of the home is large! The back yard is large & offers low maintenance. HOA dues are just currently $285/pm which include your FREE GOLF, basic cable TV, & trash pickup, plus other amenities, tennis, bocci ball, shuffleboard, exercise room, three pools & a lovely Club House & restaurant.
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2019-05-31soldstatus $129,000 Sold 849-char remark
Show marketing remark (849 chars)
New Price! Remodeled home close to the the Library & down the street for the Club House! The rock landscaping & front patio greets you, which lead into the home through double entry doors. The AC & furnace are newer. Home offers dual pane windows, tiled counters, newer kitchen cabinets, laminate flooring in Living Room & Kitchen, & tiled flooring through the balance of the home. Home is dry walled, has a tiled walk-in shower & pedestal sink. The square footage(800sq ft) may not be big, but the feel of the home is large! The back yard is large & offers low maintenance. HOA dues are just currently $285/pm which include your FREE GOLF, basic cable TV, & trash pickup, plus other amenities, tennis, bocci ball, shuffleboard, exercise room, three pools & a lovely Club House & restaurant.
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2019-05-31soldstatus $80,000
Show marketing remark (849 chars)
New Price! Remodeled home close to the the Library & down the street for the Club House! The rock landscaping & front patio greets you, which lead into the home through double entry doors. The AC & furnace are newer. Home offers dual pane windows, tiled counters, newer kitchen cabinets, laminate flooring in Living Room & Kitchen, & tiled flooring through the balance of the home. Home is dry walled, has a tiled walk-in shower & pedestal sink. The square footage(800sq ft) may not be big, but the feel of the home is large! The back yard is large & offers low maintenance. HOA dues are just currently $285/pm which include your FREE GOLF, basic cable TV, & trash pickup, plus other amenities, tennis, bocci ball, shuffleboard, exercise room, three pools & a lovely Club House & restaurant.
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2019-05-09status Pending 849-char remark
Show marketing remark (849 chars)
New Price! Remodeled home close to the the Library & down the street for the Club House! The rock landscaping & front patio greets you, which lead into the home through double entry doors. The AC & furnace are newer. Home offers dual pane windows, tiled counters, newer kitchen cabinets, laminate flooring in Living Room & Kitchen, & tiled flooring through the balance of the home. Home is dry walled, has a tiled walk-in shower & pedestal sink. The square footage(800sq ft) may not be big, but the feel of the home is large! The back yard is large & offers low maintenance. HOA dues are just currently $285/pm which include your FREE GOLF, basic cable TV, & trash pickup, plus other amenities, tennis, bocci ball, shuffleboard, exercise room, three pools & a lovely Club House & restaurant.
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2019-04-07historical Contingent 849-char remark
Show marketing remark (849 chars)
New Price! Remodeled home close to the the Library & down the street for the Club House! The rock landscaping & front patio greets you, which lead into the home through double entry doors. The AC & furnace are newer. Home offers dual pane windows, tiled counters, newer kitchen cabinets, laminate flooring in Living Room & Kitchen, & tiled flooring through the balance of the home. Home is dry walled, has a tiled walk-in shower & pedestal sink. The square footage(800sq ft) may not be big, but the feel of the home is large! The back yard is large & offers low maintenance. HOA dues are just currently $285/pm which include your FREE GOLF, basic cable TV, & trash pickup, plus other amenities, tennis, bocci ball, shuffleboard, exercise room, three pools & a lovely Club House & restaurant.
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2019-04-01price $129,000 849-char remark
Show marketing remark (849 chars)
New Price! Remodeled home close to the the Library & down the street for the Club House! The rock landscaping & front patio greets you, which lead into the home through double entry doors. The AC & furnace are newer. Home offers dual pane windows, tiled counters, newer kitchen cabinets, laminate flooring in Living Room & Kitchen, & tiled flooring through the balance of the home. Home is dry walled, has a tiled walk-in shower & pedestal sink. The square footage(800sq ft) may not be big, but the feel of the home is large! The back yard is large & offers low maintenance. HOA dues are just currently $285/pm which include your FREE GOLF, basic cable TV, & trash pickup, plus other amenities, tennis, bocci ball, shuffleboard, exercise room, three pools & a lovely Club House & restaurant.
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2018-11-01$139,000 Active 849-char remark
Show marketing remark (849 chars)
New Price! Remodeled home close to the the Library & down the street for the Club House! The rock landscaping & front patio greets you, which lead into the home through double entry doors. The AC & furnace are newer. Home offers dual pane windows, tiled counters, newer kitchen cabinets, laminate flooring in Living Room & Kitchen, & tiled flooring through the balance of the home. Home is dry walled, has a tiled walk-in shower & pedestal sink. The square footage(800sq ft) may not be big, but the feel of the home is large! The back yard is large & offers low maintenance. HOA dues are just currently $285/pm which include your FREE GOLF, basic cable TV, & trash pickup, plus other amenities, tennis, bocci ball, shuffleboard, exercise room, three pools & a lovely Club House & restaurant.
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2014-06-28historical
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2013-10-08$129,500 Active
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2012-01-07historical Hold
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2011-09-01$152,000 Active
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2009-10-29historical
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2009-09-09$135,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,051 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,051 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,536
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$2,051
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,483
- − Management
- −$3,483
- − HOA
- −$4,800
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable income
- $9,455
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,269
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,996/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desert Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0611110
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,957
- Composite
- 37.77/100
- National rank
- #4346
- State rank
- #199 of 517 in CA
Livability — Palm Desert
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1050
- US rank
- #25164
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Desert, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 58,615
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,523
- Household income
- $70,091
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1734.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 20% Asian 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -364.94%
- Current HPI
- 294.9425
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.60%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+66.6% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $224,900 GPSMLS
- 2026-05-21 Listed $229,000 GPSMLS
- 2023-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2023-02-27 Sold (MLS) $162,000 GPSMLS
- 2023-01-10 Price Changed $179,999 GPSMLS
- 2023-01-10 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2023-01-07 Listed $162,000 GPSMLS
- 2019-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2019-05-31 Sold (MLS) $129,000 GPSMLS
- 2019-05-31 Sold (MLS) $129,000 GPSMLS
- 2019-05-09 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2019-04-07 Contingent — GPSMLS
- 2019-04-01 Price Changed $129,000 GPSMLS
- 2018-11-01 Listed $139,000 GPSMLS
- 2014-06-28 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2013-10-08 Listed $129,500 GPSMLS
- 2012-01-07 Delisted — GPSMLS
- 2011-09-01 Listed $152,000 GPSMLS
- 2009-10-29 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2009-09-09 Listed $135,000 GPSMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,051 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…