24936 Canal St · East Rochester, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.2/5.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Surprise yourself by taking a look at this very nice two story. Well kept with some updates. Washer and dryer and stove stay. Detached garage with additional work buildings. New windows. Park like patio area. . you just need to see it!!
Key facts
- Knotty pine ceiling
- Brick patio
- First-floor bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax information available (not included per instructions)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Carport (2 cars)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: 2-story brick home; Metal roof
- Construction: Brick construction; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.2 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas cooling and window unit(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full basement; Electric fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-95/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (1.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (22.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 44/100 on livability (#1,187 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Minerva Local (town): math 55% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #352 of 656 in OH (top 54%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Minerva Elementary School (math 66% / reading 60%, grade B, #573 of 1,584 statewide, top 37%, 814 students, 45% FRL); Minerva Middle School (math 49% / reading 53%, grade C, #405 of 654 statewide, top 63%, 443 students, 43% FRL); Minerva High School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #343 of 781 statewide, top 47%, 430 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Columbiana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
- Columbiana County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $41k; list at $129k implies a 217% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.26%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $217,355
- List price
- $129,000
- Delta
- -40.65%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
6.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $42,028
- Equity at exit
- $86,765
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.40×
- Total profit
- $122,747
- Equity at exit
- $162,488
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44625
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $997 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $785/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $-8
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $65 | -5% $29 | +0% $-8 | +5% $-44 | +10% $-81 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-87 | -5% $-47 | +0% $-8 | +5% $31 | +10% $71 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $57 | -0.5pp $25 | base $-8 | +0.5pp $-41 | +1.0pp $-75 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-09status $129,000 Pending 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $129,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$129,000 Active 831-char remark
-
2012-12-19soldstatus $40,700
-
2008-07-23soldstatus $42,000 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Surprise yourself by taking a look at this very nice two story. Well kept with some updates. Washer and dryer and stove stay. Detached garage with additional work buildings. New windows. Park like patio area. . you just need to see it!!
-
2008-07-23soldstatus $42,000
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Surprise yourself by taking a look at this very nice two story. Well kept with some updates. Washer and dryer and stove stay. Detached garage with additional work buildings. New windows. Park like patio area. . you just need to see it!!
-
2008-06-13$44,900 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Surprise yourself by taking a look at this very nice two story. Well kept with some updates. Washer and dryer and stove stay. Detached garage with additional work buildings. New windows. Park like patio area. . you just need to see it!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $785 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,399 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$614/yr (+$51/mo · 78.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,965
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$785
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$957
- − Management
- −$957
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable loss
- −$2,358
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$566
- After-tax cash flow
- $471/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minerva Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904989
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,153
- Composite
- 47.58/100
- National rank
- #2263
- State rank
- #352 of 656 in OH
Livability — East Rochester
- Score
- 44/100
- State rank
- #1187
- US rank
- #26707
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Rochester, OH
- County
- Columbiana · 99,532 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 945
- Household income
- $58,824
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Columbiana County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 98,353 people
- By 2030
- 94,225 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 85,169 · -13.4%
- By 2050
- 76,157 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 58,451 · -40.6%
- By 2100
- 42,805 · -56.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- American 11% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbiana
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.0) · D 25.1% · R 74.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.4pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -49.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.0 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+7.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.69%
- Current HPI
- 258.2687
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+187.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-13 Listed $129,000 MLSNOW
- 2012-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $40,700 Public Records
- 2008-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 2008-07-23 Sold (MLS) $42,000 MLSNOW
- 2008-06-13 Listed $44,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $785 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…