38 Cadillac St · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great 2-unit building. Separate gas and electric. Owner pays water. approx $100.00 a month.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 13 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type listed as residential income (multi-family)
- Financial info: One unit currently rents for $850
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Multi-family residential property; Two-story building; Residential zoning
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Built area: 1,811 finished square feet (above grade)
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (2 full bathrooms total)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 6.7% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 17 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $125k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.05%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $338,500
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 391 Lake Shore Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,557 (-6%) | 7mo | $348,000 | $136 | 55 |
| 415 Lake Laura Dr | 0.41mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,436 (-10%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $144 | 50 |
| 302 Shari St | 0.74mi | 5/3.0 | 2,902 (+7%) | 0mo | $322,000 | $111 | 49 |
| 295 Payne Ave | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,482 (-8%) | 14mo | $310,000 | $125 | 40 |
| 10 Legrande Ave | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,444 (-10%) | 24mo | $249,900 | $102 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,806
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $26,450
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48342
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,715 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$194 /mo · $2,331/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $340
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $145,000 Pending 13 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-05-23$145,000 Active 91-char remark
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
Great 2-unit building. Separate gas and electric. Owner pays water. approx $100.00 a month.
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2026-05-23$145,000 Active
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
Great 2-unit building. Separate gas and electric. Owner pays water. approx $100.00 a month.
-
2022-06-15soldstatus $125,000 Sold 4-char remark
Show marketing remark (4 chars)
LSSD
-
2022-06-15historical 4-char remark
Show marketing remark (4 chars)
LSSD
-
2022-06-15soldstatus $125,000
Show marketing remark (4 chars)
LSSD
-
2022-06-15$125,000 4-char remark
Show marketing remark (4 chars)
LSSD
-
2022-06-15$125,000
Show marketing remark (4 chars)
LSSD
-
2022-05-31soldstatus $74,000
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2022-04-12historical
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2022-03-31status Pending
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2022-03-31status Pending
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2022-03-24historical
-
2022-03-18historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2022-03-18historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2022-03-14$140,000 Active
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2022-03-14$140,000 Active
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2020-10-21soldstatus $74,000
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2020-05-18soldstatus $74,000 Sold
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2020-05-18soldstatus $74,000 Closed
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2020-05-04status Pending
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2020-05-04status Pending
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2020-04-10status Active
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2020-04-10status Active
-
2020-03-12historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2020-03-12historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2020-03-10$85,000 Active
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2020-03-10$85,000 Active
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2018-11-16soldstatus $40,000 Sold
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2018-11-16soldstatus $40,000 Closed
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2018-11-15status Pending
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2018-11-14status Pending
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2018-11-10price $49,000
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2018-11-09price $49,000
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2018-10-31$59,900 Active
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2018-10-31$59,900 Active
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2018-01-29historical
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2018-01-29historical
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2018-01-04status Active
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2018-01-04status Active
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2017-12-27status Pending
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2017-12-27status Pending
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2017-12-11price $42,000
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2017-12-11price $42,000
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2017-12-05price $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,331 · $194/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,331 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,583
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,331
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,647
- − Management
- −$1,647
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $1,894
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$454
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,626/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pontiac City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628740
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,888
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9802
- State rank
- #514 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pontiac, MI
- City population
- 44,593
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,227
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 13% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.18%
- Current HPI
- 214.3258
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+95.9% since first listed54 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-23 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-06-15 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-06-15 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-06-15 Sold (MLS) $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-06-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-06-15 Sold (MLS) $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-03-31 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-31 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-03-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-18 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-18 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2022-03-14 Listed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-14 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 2020-05-18 Sold (MLS) $74,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-05-18 Sold (MLS) $74,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-05-04 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-05-04 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-04-10 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-04-10 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2020-03-12 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-12 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2020-03-10 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-10 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-11-16 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-11-16 Sold (MLS) $40,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-11-15 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-11-14 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-11-10 Price Changed $49,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-11-09 Price Changed $49,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-10-31 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-10-31 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2018-01-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-01-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-01-04 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-01-04 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2017-12-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-12-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2017-12-11 Price Changed $42,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-12-11 Price Changed $42,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-12-05 Price Changed $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-12-04 Price Changed $48,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-12-02 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-12-01 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-11-28 Price Changed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-11-27 Price Changed $54,900 REALCOMP
- 2017-11-20 Listed $58,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-11-20 Listed $58,000 REALCOMP
- 2011-05-23 Sold (MLS) $8,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-12-10 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,331 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…