7806 Manor Cir #203 · Westland, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$121,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unit #203 is a cozy ranch-style upper-level condo offering 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, a spacious primary bedroom closet, and a convenient laundry room. This private unit faces the beautiful Holiday Park Nature Reserve, offering peaceful wooded views and added privacy. Exceptionally clean and move-in ready, this condo features a variety of hardwood flooring throughout. The living room, dining area, and kitchen flow seamlessly together, creating a bright, open feel perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Step out onto the private balcony off the living room and enjoy relaxing views of the woods - the perfect spot for morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. The HOA replaced the roof in 2024 - see included documents for details. The Certificate of Occupancy process is currently in motion. Enter through the front entry door facing the woods for a serene and welcoming setting. Conveniently located close to shopping, restaurants, parks, and major freeways. Looking for a ground-level ranch unit? Unit #103 directly below is also available for sale - MLS #20261037559.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Private balcony
- Laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Off Warren Rd turn on Central City Parkway; north side first entrance, turn left into complex. Follow to last building, turn left in front and go to the west side of the building. Parking lot — enter building on the north side where woods are.
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $350; HOA covers grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, snow removal, trash, and water; Community sidewalks; Maintenance of grounds provided
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Parking lot; Assigned parking; Carport; No garage
- Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Circuit breaker electric; Cable available; Underground utilities
- Home design: Condominium; One level; Upper-level entry
- Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built with residential condominium design
- Exterior features: Balcony; Exterior lighting; Wooded setting; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Upper-level entry with steps
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator; Gas water heater; Intercom; Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $121k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $108 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $121k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.4% in Westland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#124 in MI, #3,067 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime D+.
- Livonia Public Schools School District (urban): math 46% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #77 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 166 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $837 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $121k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.81%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-16,490
- Equity at exit
- $18,041
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-20,014
- Equity at exit
- $10,462
Cash invested: $33,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48185
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,394 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$635
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $701/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $108
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $176 | -5% $142 | +0% $108 | +5% $73 | +10% $39 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2 | -5% $53 | +0% $108 | +5% $163 | +10% $218 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $169 | -0.5pp $138 | base $108 | +0.5pp $76 | +1.0pp $44 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,250
- Closing costs
- $3,630
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7640 Woodview St #1 Westland, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $1,385 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 7344 Drew Cir Westland, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,365 | $1.52 | 0d | 8 | 0.29mi |
| 7500 N Newburgh Rd Westland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 843 | $1,868 | $2.21 | 0d | 7 | 0.47mi |
| 37410 Fountain Park Cir Westland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 932 | $1,755 | $1.88 | 0d | 14 | 0.58mi |
| 7000 Lakeview Blvd Westland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $1,299 | $1.73 | 0d | 60 | 0.68mi |
| 8300 Woodcrest Dr Westland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,285 | $1.43 | 6d | 10 | 0.69mi |
| 37670 Dale Dr Westland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 760 | $1,460 | $1.92 | 0d | 9 | 0.72mi |
| 8181 N Wayne Rd Westland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,199 | $1.33 | 0d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 6930 Yale St Unit 5 Westland, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 6501 Yale St Westland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 746 | $1,129 | $1.51 | 6d | 5 | 0.92mi |
| 6737 N Wayne Rd Westland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $1,375 | $1.62 | 5d | 6 | 0.93mi |
| 37830 Westwood Cir Westland, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,400 | $1.51 | 0d | 5 | 0.93mi |
| 6200 N Wayne Rd Westland, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 34601 Elmwood St Westland, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 573 | $1,348 | $2.35 | 18d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 36665 Angeline Cir Livonia, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1007 | $2,095 | $2.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 37828 Arbor Woods Dr Livonia, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,485 | $1.35 | 6d | 2 | 1.43mi |
| 5800 N Christine Westland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,445 | $1.59 | 0d | 7 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $121,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $121,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $121,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $121,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $121,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $121,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $121,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $121,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $121,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $121,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $121,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $121,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $121,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $121,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$121,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1095 chars)
Unit #203 is a cozy ranch-style upper-level condo offering 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, a spacious primary bedroom closet, and a convenient laundry room. This private unit faces the beautiful Holiday Park Nature Reserve, offering peaceful wooded views and added privacy. Exceptionally clean and move-in ready, this condo features a variety of hardwood flooring throughout. The living room, dining area, and kitchen flow seamlessly together, creating a bright, open feel perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Step out onto the private balcony off the living room and enjoy relaxing views of the woods - the perfect spot for morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. The HOA replaced the roof in 2024 - see included documents for details. The Certificate of Occupancy process is currently in motion. Enter through the front entry door facing the woods for a serene and welcoming setting. Conveniently located close to shopping, restaurants, parks, and major freeways. Looking for a ground-level ranch unit? Unit #103 directly below is also available for sale - MLS #20261037559.
-
2026-05-26$121,000 Active 1095-char remark
Show marketing remark (1095 chars)
Unit #203 is a cozy ranch-style upper-level condo offering 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, a spacious primary bedroom closet, and a convenient laundry room. This private unit faces the beautiful Holiday Park Nature Reserve, offering peaceful wooded views and added privacy. Exceptionally clean and move-in ready, this condo features a variety of hardwood flooring throughout. The living room, dining area, and kitchen flow seamlessly together, creating a bright, open feel perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Step out onto the private balcony off the living room and enjoy relaxing views of the woods - the perfect spot for morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. The HOA replaced the roof in 2024 - see included documents for details. The Certificate of Occupancy process is currently in motion. Enter through the front entry door facing the woods for a serene and welcoming setting. Conveniently located close to shopping, restaurants, parks, and major freeways. Looking for a ground-level ranch unit? Unit #103 directly below is also available for sale - MLS #20261037559.
-
1992-11-16soldstatus $50,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $701 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,282 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$581/yr (+$48/mo · 82.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,725
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,778
- − Property taxes
- −$701
- − Insurance
- −$605
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,338
- − Management
- −$1,338
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$3,520
- Taxable loss
- −$555
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$133
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,426/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Livonia Public Schools School District
- NCES district ID
- 2621840
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,268
- Composite
- 46.27/100
- National rank
- #2480
- State rank
- #77 of 540 in MI
Livability — Westland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #124
- US rank
- #3067
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Westland, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 83,633
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,530
- Household income
- $60,854
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2263.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 22% Two or more races 7% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Arabic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -265.65%
- Current HPI
- 237.7594
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.17%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+141.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $121,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Listed $121,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1992-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $50,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $701 · -14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…