3105 M St SE #33 · Auburn, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2-bedroom, 1 bath home is located in the heart of Auburn at Skylark Mobile Home Park (All ages) very well maintained, recently painted and almost new shed. Sellers had a garden with tons of veggies, herbs and fruits each year. This home has space for everything! Very close to schools, restaurants, markets and public transportation. Financing available. Please contact a realtor to view it, do not disturb tenants.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1974
- Listed 149 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Buyer to verify schools; Bus line nearby
- Financial info: Land lease: $1,225/month; Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: Located in Skylark Village Estates II (park approved for sale); Monthly land lease
Exterior
- Parking: 2 open/uncovered parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Electric energy source; Electric water heater (located in closet)
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One level; Mobile home remains on site; Good condition
- Construction: Metal/vinyl and wood construction; Torch down roof; Tie-down foundation; Manufactured house structure
- Exterior features: Patio/porch/deck; Metal/vinyl and wood exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with bathtub
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Water heater (electric)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry available in park
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $909 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.5% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 176 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 64.93%
- DSCR
- 3.89
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $92,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3225 M St SE #131 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 900 (+7%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $117 | 76 |
| 3105 M St SE #44 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-14%) | 2mo | $36,000 | $50 | 74 |
| 2302 R St SE #55 | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 849 (+1%) | 1mo | $23,500 | $28 | 69 |
| 900 29th St SE Unit E10 | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-14%) | 6mo | $29,000 | $40 | 63 |
| 900 29th St SE Unit D-11 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (+14%) | 3mo | $71,750 | $75 | 56 |
| 401 37th St SE #20 | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+7%) | 12mo | $100,000 | $112 | 53 |
| 2304 A St SE #55 | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (-7%) | 3mo | $103,000 | $132 | 52 |
| 210 37th St SE #35 | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-7%) | 13mo | $115,000 | $147 | 46 |
| 418 37th St SE | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (+10%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $244 | 41 |
| 210 37th St SE #94 | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+10%) | 15mo | $85,000 | $92 | 35 |
| 210 37th St SE #64 | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+14%) | 7mo | $72,000 | $75 | 33 |
| 210 37th St SE #1 | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 952 (+13%) | 18mo | $105,000 | $110 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $45,719
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 66.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.23×
- Total profit
- $104,601
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98002
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 176
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,675 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $909
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $950 | -5% $930 | +0% $909 | +5% $888 | +10% $867 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $777 | -5% $843 | +0% $909 | +5% $975 | +10% $1,041 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $939 | -0.5pp $924 | base $909 | +0.5pp $893 | +1.0pp $878 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2952 O St SE Unit F Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1051 | $1,495 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2952 O St SE Unit D Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $1,375 | $1.73 | 3d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1526 29th St SE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,595 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1120 37th St SE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $1,695 | $2.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1014 37th St SE Apt 4 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,780 | $1.77 | 6d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 404 27th St SE Unit 19-1 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 13d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2455 F St SE Auburn, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 757 | $1,678 | $2.21 | 3d | 6 | 0.58mi |
| 417 22nd St SE Apt C Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,700 | $2.83 | 0d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 402 21st St SE Auburn, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 747 | $1,695 | $2.27 | 15d | 4 | 0.74mi |
| 2020 F St SE Auburn, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,599 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1420 17th St SE Auburn, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,695 | $2.34 | 4d | 4 | 0.88mi |
| 703 47th St SE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 781 | $1,970 | $2.52 | 2d | 7 | 1.06mi |
| 732 4th Ave NE Pacific, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,805 | $2.12 | 6d | 2 | 1.07mi |
| 2901 Auburn Way S Auburn, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $2,175 | $3.26 | 0d | 20 | 1.16mi |
| 345 Pacific Ave N Pacific, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 898 | $1,950 | $2.17 | 0d | 10 | 1.33mi |
| 111 10th St SE Unit 4 Auburn, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,295 | $2.31 | 6d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 111 10th St SE Apt 1 Auburn, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,295 | $2.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $59,999 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,999 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,999 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,999 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,999 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,999 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,999 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,999 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,999 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,999 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $59,999 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,999 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,999 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,999 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,999 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $59,999
-
2026-05-06price $50,999
-
2026-04-08price $55,999
-
2026-04-04price $58,000
-
2026-03-16price $60,000
-
2026-03-16price $65,000
-
2026-02-27price $70,000
-
2026-02-13price $75,000
-
2026-01-23$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,105
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,608
- − Management
- −$1,608
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $10,582
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,540
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,368/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300300
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,048
- Composite
- 46.73/100
- National rank
- #5240
- State rank
- #125 of 291 in WA
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1371
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 74,969
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,509
- Household income
- $78,684
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2202.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -677.96%
- Current HPI
- 298.0849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.51%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
-25.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $59,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $50,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $55,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $58,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $60,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $65,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $70,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $75,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-23 Listed $80,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…