1901 Ford St · Ogdensburg, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful oppurtunity- with this Large (3200 Sq Ft), vinyl sided home w/ metal roof on a corner lot w/ 3 car garage(no more scraping ice and snow off your cars) covered front & side porch. There's 8 (various size) bedrooms(Back BR has attached bath). Don't need 8 BR ? ( the small ones would work well as computer room, craft or playroom or easily combined to make fewer large ones. ) Main Floor features LR, DR, Den attached 1/4 bath & . The spacious eat-in kitchen opens to enclosed side porch. Upstairs are bedrooms & 3 full baths & A stairway from hall to garage. Access cellar from inside the garage. You'll love the oversized w/ a wall of workshelves- space to do projects & protection for your vehicles. Side yard w/ fenced in area great for kids and pets. plus a /playhouse and shed. while the home needs some updating- your van put your own touches on it. Call today to schedule a showing.
Key facts
- Vinyl sided home
- Covered front porch
- Enclosed side porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 9-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 5.3% in Ogdensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, crime F.
- Ogdensburg City School District (town): math 34% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #531 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
- St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.01%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,983
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -14.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.07% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $20,515
- Equity at exit
- $41,386
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $63,964
- Equity at exit
- $55,325
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13669
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,405 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $280
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $363 | -5% $322 | +0% $280 | +5% $239 | +10% $197 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $169 | -5% $225 | +0% $280 | +5% $336 | +10% $391 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $341 | -0.5pp $311 | base $280 | +0.5pp $249 | +1.0pp $218 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $120,000 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
Wonderful oppurtunity- with this Large (3200 Sq Ft), vinyl sided home w/ metal roof on a corner lot w/ 3 car garage(no more scraping ice and snow off your cars) covered front & side porch. There's 8 (various size) bedrooms(Back BR has attached bath). Don't need 8 BR ? ( the small ones would work well as computer room, craft or playroom or easily combined to make fewer large ones. ) Main Floor features LR, DR, Den attached 1/4 bath & . The spacious eat-in kitchen opens to enclosed side porch. Upstairs are bedrooms & 3 full baths & A stairway from hall to garage. Access cellar from inside the garage. You'll love the oversized w/ a wall of workshelves- space to do projects & protection for your vehicles. Side yard w/ fenced in area great for kids and pets. plus a /playhouse and shed. while the home needs some updating- your van put your own touches on it. Call today to schedule a showing.
-
2026-02-26price $159,000 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
Wonderful oppurtunity- with this Large (3200 Sq Ft), vinyl sided home w/ metal roof on a corner lot w/ 3 car garage(no more scraping ice and snow off your cars) covered front & side porch. There's 8 (various size) bedrooms(Back BR has attached bath). Don't need 8 BR ? ( the small ones would work well as computer room, craft or playroom or easily combined to make fewer large ones. ) Main Floor features LR, DR, Den attached 1/4 bath & . The spacious eat-in kitchen opens to enclosed side porch. Upstairs are bedrooms & 3 full baths & A stairway from hall to garage. Access cellar from inside the garage. You'll love the oversized w/ a wall of workshelves- space to do projects & protection for your vehicles. Side yard w/ fenced in area great for kids and pets. plus a /playhouse and shed. while the home needs some updating- your van put your own touches on it. Call today to schedule a showing.
-
2025-10-15$179,900 Active 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
Wonderful oppurtunity- with this Large (3200 Sq Ft), vinyl sided home w/ metal roof on a corner lot w/ 3 car garage(no more scraping ice and snow off your cars) covered front & side porch. There's 8 (various size) bedrooms(Back BR has attached bath). Don't need 8 BR ? ( the small ones would work well as computer room, craft or playroom or easily combined to make fewer large ones. ) Main Floor features LR, DR, Den attached 1/4 bath & . The spacious eat-in kitchen opens to enclosed side porch. Upstairs are bedrooms & 3 full baths & A stairway from hall to garage. Access cellar from inside the garage. You'll love the oversized w/ a wall of workshelves- space to do projects & protection for your vehicles. Side yard w/ fenced in area great for kids and pets. plus a /playhouse and shed. while the home needs some updating- your van put your own touches on it. Call today to schedule a showing.
-
2013-12-09soldstatus $130,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,855
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,348
- − Management
- −$1,348
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $1,546
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$371
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,993/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ogdensburg City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621660
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,253
- Composite
- 33.33/100
- National rank
- #5497
- State rank
- #531 of 590 in NY
Livability — Ogdensburg
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11365
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ogdensburg, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,615
Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,027 people
- By 2030
- 107,455 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 100,492 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 94,254 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 80,175 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 63,140 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Polish 6% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · German/W. Germanic 9% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.07%
- Current HPI
- 264.0261
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-7.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $120,000 SLCMLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $159,000 SLCMLS
- 2025-10-15 Listed $179,900 SLCMLS
- 2013-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.5%/yrLatest (2025): $7,095 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…