CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2065 Carefree Ln Unit G
A Composite 86.53
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$57,500

2065 Carefree Ln Unit G · Florissant, MO 63033
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 870 sqft · Condo public records · 406 Days on market
Built 1967 Fair condition $66/sqft · 32% below area Est $85k · 32% under $264/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Florissant condo is being sold AS IS in Leisure Village condominium committee! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo. It features a spacious layout with an open floor plan for the living room / dining room combo and a breakfast bar. Patio accessible from both the kitchen and bedroom., in a well-maintained community close to shopping, dining, and public transportation! This is an upstairs unit has 2 assigned parking spots on the side of the building.

Key facts

  • $264 HOA
  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $58k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
  • Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 6.4% in Florissant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Halls Ferry Elementary (math 7% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,003 of 1,115 statewide, top 90%, 346 students, 99% FRL); Cross Keys Middle (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #379 of 391 statewide, top 97%, 625 students, 100% FRL); Mccluer North High (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #487 of 521 statewide, top 93%, 1,136 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 300 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 28d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($398 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 406 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $58k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $50,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 406 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.31%
Cap rate
14.47%
Cash-on-cash
29.21%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$85,025
List price
$57,500
Delta
-32.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3181 Carefree Ln Unit A 0.05mi 2/1.0 870 (0%) 2mo $76,000 $87 96
1710 Kay Dr 1.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (+10%) 3mo $135,000 $141 40
14214 Riverfront Dr 1.13mi 2/1.5 1,008 (+16%) 3mo $120,000 $119 35
14295 Riverfront Dr 1.15mi 2/1.5 1,008 (+16%) 4mo $120,000 $119 35
340 Patterson Ln 1.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 988 (+14%) 3mo $160,000 $162 35
165 Humes Ln 1.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,025 (+18%) 1mo $149,000 $145 34
2345 Hummingbird Dr 0.99mi 3/1.0 (+1) 988 (+14%) 4mo $175,000 $177 34
390 Versailles Dr 1.49mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,040 (+20%) 2mo $174,900 $168 31
4205 Canal Dr 1.15mi 2/2.5 1,044 (+20%) 3mo $120,000 $115 31
1770 Beverly Dr 1.33mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,040 (+20%) 3mo $200,000 $192 30
2310 Orleans Ln 1.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,025 (+18%) 3mo $198,900 $194 29
4109 Gulf Shr 1.15mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,044 (+20%) 3mo $135,000 $129 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.2%
Equity multiple
4.90×
Total profit
$62,744
Equity at exit
$51,801
10-year hold
IRR
46.4%
Equity multiple
12.23×
Total profit
$180,796
Equity at exit
$111,710

Cash invested: $16,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63033

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
300
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,326 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$302
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $799/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$264
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$392

Break-even live

Break-even rent $830
Max offer price $57,500
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $424 -5% $408 +0% $392 +5% $376 +10% $359
Rent -10% $287 -5% $339 +0% $392 +5% $444 +10% $497
Rate -1.0pp $421 -0.5pp $406 base $392 +0.5pp $377 +1.0pp $362

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,375
Closing costs
$1,725
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3209 Cross Keys Dr Florissant, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 9d 1 0.23mi
2990 Santiago Dr Florissant, MO 2.0 2.0 984 $1,200 $1.22 93d 1 0.26mi
3144 Sunswept Pk Ct Florissant, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 818 $850 $1.04 9d 12 0.62mi
2415 Cambridge Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,646 $1.58 27d 1 1.14mi
4112 Monsols Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,945 $1.74 93d 1 1.19mi
2100 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 893 $1,250 $1.40 9d 1 1.22mi
1960 Parker Rd Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1064 $1,400 $1.32 18d 1 1.26mi
1983 Greenheath Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,331 $1.28 47d 1 1.28mi
1710 Kay Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 51d 1 1.41mi
4583 Whisper Lake Dr Black Jack, MO 1.0–5.0 1.0–2.5 1225 $994 $0.81 9d 17 1.44mi
330 Moule Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,575 $1.55 93d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail $264/mo · $3,168/yr condo

Likely covers
parking
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $57,500 Active 406 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $57,500 Active 405 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $57,500 Active 404 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $57,500 Active 403 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $57,500 Active 402 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $57,500 Active 401 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $57,500 Active 398 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $57,500 Active 396 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $57,500 Active 395 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $57,500 Active 393 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $57,500 Active 391 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $57,500 Active 390 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $57,500 Active 389 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $57,500 Active 388 DOM
  15. 2026-07-20
    days on market $57,500 Active 387 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $57,500 Active 385 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $57,500 Active 384 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $57,500 Active 383 DOM
  19. 2026-07-15
    days on market $57,500 Active 382 DOM
  20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $57,500 Active 381 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $57,500 Active 380 DOM
  22. 2026-06-30
    days on market $57,500 Active 379 DOM
  23. 2026-06-29
    days on market $57,500 Active 378 DOM
  24. 2026-06-28
    days on market $57,500 Active 377 DOM
  25. 2026-06-27
    days on market $57,500 Active 376 DOM
  26. 2026-06-26
    days on market $57,500 Active 375 DOM
  27. 2026-06-24
    days on market $57,500 Active 373 DOM
  28. 2026-06-22
    days on market $57,500 Active 371 DOM
  29. 2026-06-21
    days on market $57,500 Active 370 DOM
  30. 2026-06-18
    days on market $57,500 Active 367 DOM
  31. 2026-06-17
    days on market $57,500 Active 366 DOM
  32. 2026-06-16
    days on market $57,500 Active 365 DOM
  33. 2026-06-15
    days on market $57,500 Active 364 DOM
  34. 2026-06-13
    days on market $57,500 Active 362 DOM
  35. 2026-06-13
    days on market $57,500 Active 361 DOM
  36. 2026-06-09
    days on market $57,500 Active 358 DOM
  37. 2026-06-08
    days on market $57,500 Active 357 DOM
  38. 2026-06-08
    price $57,500 Active 356 DOM
  39. 2026-06-07
    days on market $62,000 Active 356 DOM
  40. 2026-06-05
    days on market $62,000 Active 353 DOM
  41. 2026-06-03
    days on market $62,000 Active 352 DOM
  42. 2026-06-02
    days on market $62,000 Active 351 DOM
  43. 2026-06-01
    days on market $62,000 Active 350 DOM
  44. 2026-05-31
    days on market $62,000 Active 349 DOM
  45. 2026-01-04
    status Active 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    This Florissant condo is being sold AS IS in Leisure Village condominium committee! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo. It features a spacious layout with an open floor plan for the living room / dining room combo and a breakfast bar. Patio accessible from both the kitchen and bedroom., in a well-maintained community close to shopping, dining, and public transportation! This is an upstairs unit has 2 assigned parking spots on the side of the building. Private storage and laundry in the building,

  46. 2025-09-27
    price $62,000 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    This Florissant condo is being sold AS IS in Leisure Village condominium committee! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo. It features a spacious layout with an open floor plan for the living room / dining room combo and a breakfast bar. Patio accessible from both the kitchen and bedroom., in a well-maintained community close to shopping, dining, and public transportation! This is an upstairs unit has 2 assigned parking spots on the side of the building. Private storage and laundry in the building,

  47. 2025-06-13
    listed $63,500 Active 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    This Florissant condo is being sold AS IS in Leisure Village condominium committee! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo. It features a spacious layout with an open floor plan for the living room / dining room combo and a breakfast bar. Patio accessible from both the kitchen and bedroom., in a well-maintained community close to shopping, dining, and public transportation! This is an upstairs unit has 2 assigned parking spots on the side of the building. Private storage and laundry in the building,

  48. 2025-06-04
    historical $63,500 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    This Florissant condo is being sold AS IS in Leisure Village condominium committee! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo. It features a spacious layout with an open floor plan for the living room / dining room combo and a breakfast bar. Patio accessible from both the kitchen and bedroom., in a well-maintained community close to shopping, dining, and public transportation! This is an upstairs unit has 2 assigned parking spots on the side of the building. Private storage and laundry in the building,

  49. 1998-04-22
    soldstatus
  50. 1997-02-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$799 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$799 · $67/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,917
− Mortgage interest
−$3,221
− Property taxes
−$799
− Insurance
−$288
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,273
− Management
−$1,273
− HOA
−$3,168
− Depreciation
−$1,673
Taxable income
$4,223
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,013
After-tax cash flow
$3,689/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $4,350–$13,050 screening

This Florissant condo is in fair condition with some cosmetic updates needed. The kitchen and bathroom require updates, and the home could benefit from fresh paint and landscaping.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
  • Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and worn

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint would improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both landscape and maintain exterior — a well-maintained exterior would enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 12/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Halls Ferry Elementary F MO #1,003/1,115 Nat'l #37,398/41,679 Middle Cross Keys Middle F MO #379/391 Nat'l #13,619/14,009 High Mccluer North High F MO #487/521 Nat'l #15,176/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO
B Composite livability gradescore 73/100

Livability — Florissant

Score
73/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#5406

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florissant, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 1,025,227 people
City population
69,104
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
43,056
Household income
$66,776
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
11% of renters

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 23% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+74.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-04 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-27 Price Changed $62,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-13 Listed $63,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-04 Coming Soon $63,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-04-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-02-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-02-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1980-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2022): $799 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…