2025 Yancey Ave · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.2/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the desirable Capitol Heights neighborhood! This well-maintained home features fresh paint throughout, creating a bright and inviting interior. Step outside to enjoy the spacious backyard and large deck—perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or family gatherings. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and downtown Montgomery, this move-in-ready home is a great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors alike.
Key facts
- Large deck
- Spacious backyard
- Move-in-ready
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: City lot with mature trees; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 160
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; High-speed internet available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Brick and vinyl siding construction
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Covered porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Space heater; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Storm windows; Linen closet
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility room on the first floor; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities D-.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Morningview Elementary School (math 0% / reading 15%, grade F, #598 of 627 statewide, top 96%, 448 students, 86% FRL); Capitol Heights Middle School (math 0% / reading 15%, grade F, #241 of 257 statewide, top 95%, 655 students, 97% FRL); Lee High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #276 of 305 statewide, top 95%, 1,374 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 70% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Montgomery County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $105k implies a 483% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.79%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $90,368
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1923 Mckinley Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,354 (-4%) | 1mo | $111,400 | $82 | 84 |
| 1915 Mckinley Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (-2%) | 3mo | $148,000 | $107 | 84 |
| 2148 Madison Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,350 (-4%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $44 | 76 |
| 1814 James Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,425 (+1%) | 1mo | $61,000 | $43 | 71 |
| 1540 St Charles Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,462 (+4%) | 1mo | $93,000 | $64 | 69 |
| 2129 Windsor Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,585 (+12%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $85 | 67 |
| 1536 St Charles Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,462 (+4%) | 5mo | $77,000 | $53 | 65 |
| 1839 James Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,520 (+8%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $33 | 63 |
| 524 Morningview Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,518 (+8%) | 5mo | $103,000 | $68 | 61 |
| 20 Arden Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,575 (+12%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $105 | 50 |
| 717 W Shawnee Dr W | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (-14%) | 4mo | $57,000 | $47 | 48 |
| 2627 Geneva St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,526 (+8%) | 4mo | $83,000 | $54 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,160
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $33,569
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36107
- Home prices YoY
- -10.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,130 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $409/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $264
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $324 | -5% $294 | +0% $264 | +5% $235 | +10% $205 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $175 | -5% $220 | +0% $264 | +5% $309 | +10% $354 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $317 | -0.5pp $291 | base $264 | +0.5pp $237 | +1.0pp $209 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 Yancey Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,080 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 2023 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $895 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2122 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $725 | $0.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 517 N Florida St Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2243 Winona Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1492 | $1,225 | $0.82 | 22d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2310 Yancey Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,250 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2229 Madison Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $625 | $0.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2004 Capitol Ave Unit 1043879P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1797 | $3,518 | $1.96 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1827 Capitol Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1827 Capitol Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2113 Brewton St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1363 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 508 Glenmore Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1135 | $1,000 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 39 S Lewis St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1209 | $950 | $0.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 128 S Capitol Pkwy Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,500 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 7 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1529 | $1,500 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2769 Pelzer Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,325 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 15 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 7 Calhoun Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 961 | $850 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 18 Oak Forest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,050 | $0.66 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2009 Palmetto St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1487 | $1,050 | $0.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 108 Calhoun Rd Unit 108B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $750 | $0.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2814 Ashley Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1683 | $1,350 | $0.80 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 122 Oak Forest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $975 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2503 Skyline Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,150 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2822 Sumter Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1617 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 311 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $825 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2001 Speigle St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,035 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1324 Federal Dr Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2000 Cherry St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $950 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1008 Pelham St Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,300 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 200 Eton Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $895 | $0.60 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 167 E Salem Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,050 | $0.62 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 401 Ridgewood Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,195 | $0.79 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3319 Willow Lane Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 186 E Salem Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,195 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 67 Holliday Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3329 Vermont Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1465 | $1,395 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3105 Pelzer Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1605 | $1,425 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2019 Amos St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $985 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3334 Cottonwood Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $105,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $105,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $105,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19$119,000 Active
-
2016-05-11soldstatus $18,000
-
2016-03-15$28,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $409 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $431 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- +$21/yr (+$2/mo · 5.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,562
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$409
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,085
- − Management
- −$1,085
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $1,522
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$365
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,807/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,001
- Household income
- $32,492
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 642.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 20%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.16%
- Current HPI
- 147.8065
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.05%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+268.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $105,000 MAAR
- 2026-05-19 Listed $119,000 MAAR
- 2016-05-11 Sold (MLS) $18,000 MAAR
- 2016-03-15 Listed $28,500 MAAR
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $409 · -10.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…