4757 Green Shanty Rd · Chattanooga, TN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$379,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
🔥 PRICE IMPROVEMENT to $389,900 + $10,000 BUYER BONUS! 🔥 Take advantage of this incredible incentive use it toward closing costs, a rate buy-down, or upgrades to make this home truly yours! The seller is motivated and ready to negotiate, making this one of the best values on the market right now. 🏡 Brand New Construction | 5 Bedrooms | 3 Bathrooms Step into modern comfort with this beautifully built home offering approx. 2,100 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. With 5 spacious bedrooms and 3 full baths, there's room for everyone to live, work, and entertain with ease. ✨ Highlights You'll Love: ✔️ NO CITY TAXES ✔️ Open-concept living & dining - perfect for hosting ✔️ S
Key facts
- Primary suite
- Tile bathrooms
- Modern kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $380k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-61 ($-730/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $371k (2.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $325k (14.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $325k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.4% in Chattanooga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#3 in TN, #2,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 733 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($357k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.69%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $369,600
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8005 Leon Brenda Ln | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,272 (+8%) | 4mo | $400,000 | $176 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-74,901
- Equity at exit
- $56,644
- IRR
- -23.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.00×
- Total profit
- $-106,781
- Equity at exit
- $32,847
Cash invested: $106,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37363
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 733
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,246 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,992
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$475 /mo · $5,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$682
- Net cashflow
- $-61
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $94,975
- Closing costs
- $11,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4840 Bobby Jeffery Dr Ooltewah, TN | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2798 | $3,000 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4046 Brock Rd Chattanooga, TN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2777 | $4,300 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2945 Old Britain Cir Chattanooga, TN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2048 | $2,450 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $379,900 Active 82 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $379,900 Active 81 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $379,900 Active 80 DOM
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2026-05-11price $379,900
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2026-05-06price $2,500
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2026-04-21price $389,900
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2026-04-15price $2,600
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2026-03-23price $399,900
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2026-03-11$449,900 Active
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2026-03-09price $2,700
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2026-01-03$2,800
-
2025-10-10price $459,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,955
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,280
- − Property taxes
- −$5,698
- − Insurance
- −$1,900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,116
- − Management
- −$3,116
- − Depreciation
- −$11,052
- Taxable loss
- −$7,208
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,730
- After-tax cash flow
- $999/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton County
- NCES district ID
- 4701590
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,456
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7122
- State rank
- #42 of 139 in TN
Livability — Chattanooga
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #2582
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hamilton County · 312,777 people
- City population
- 131,999
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,093
- Household income
- $97,399
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 884.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 393,784 people
- By 2030
- 412,983 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 449,502 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 484,341 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 565,746 · +43.7%
- By 2100
- 618,394 · +57.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -140.23%
- Current HPI
- 247.6005
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.79%
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-17.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $379,900 GCAR
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $2,500 GCAR
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $389,900 GCAR
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $2,600 GCAR
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $399,900 GCAR
- 2026-03-11 Listed $449,900 GCAR
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $2,700 GCAR
- 2026-01-03 Listed for Rent $2,800 GCAR
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $459,900 GCAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…