CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
No image
D- Composite 37.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.2/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$379,900

4757 Green Shanty Rd · Chattanooga, TN 37363
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,100 sqft · SingleFamily · 82 Days on market
Built 2025 8,712 sqft lot Est $370k · at est. ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

🔥 PRICE IMPROVEMENT to $389,900 + $10,000 BUYER BONUS! 🔥 Take advantage of this incredible incentive use it toward closing costs, a rate buy-down, or upgrades to make this home truly yours! The seller is motivated and ready to negotiate, making this one of the best values on the market right now. 🏡 Brand New Construction | 5 Bedrooms | 3 Bathrooms Step into modern comfort with this beautifully built home offering approx. 2,100 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. With 5 spacious bedrooms and 3 full baths, there's room for everyone to live, work, and entertain with ease. ✨ Highlights You'll Love: ✔️ NO CITY TAXES ✔️ Open-concept living & dining - perfect for hosting ✔️ S

Key facts

  • Primary suite
  • Tile bathrooms
  • Modern kitchen

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LIVINGMODERN KITCHENDURABLE LVP FLOORINGTILE BATHROOMSPRIMARY SUITETANKLESS GAS WATER HEATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $380k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-61 ($-730/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $371k (2.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $325k (14.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $325k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.4% in Chattanooga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#3 in TN, #2,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 733 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($357k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $324,625 (14.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.69%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$369,600
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8005 Leon Brenda Ln 0.63mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,272 (+8%) 4mo $400,000 $176 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.8%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-74,901
Equity at exit
$56,644
10-year hold
IRR
-23.0%
Equity multiple
-0.00×
Total profit
$-106,781
Equity at exit
$32,847

Cash invested: $106,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37363

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
733
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,246 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,992
Tax est. 1.5%
$475 /mo · $5,698/yr
Insurance
$158
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$682
Net cashflow
$-61

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,323
Max offer price $371,093
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$94,975
Closing costs
$11,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4840 Bobby Jeffery Dr Ooltewah, TN 5.0 3.0 2798 $3,000 $1.07 13d 1 0.78mi
4046 Brock Rd Chattanooga, TN 4.0 2.5 2777 $4,300 $1.55 23d 1 1.05mi
2945 Old Britain Cir Chattanooga, TN 4.0 2.5 2048 $2,450 $1.20 23d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on market $379,900 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $379,900 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $379,900 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-05-11
    price $379,900
  5. 2026-05-06
    price $2,500
  6. 2026-04-21
    price $389,900
  7. 2026-04-15
    price $2,600
  8. 2026-03-23
    price $399,900
  9. 2026-03-11
    listed $449,900 Active
  10. 2026-03-09
    price $2,700
  11. 2026-01-03
    listed $2,800
  12. 2025-10-10
    price $459,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,955
− Mortgage interest
−$21,280
− Property taxes
−$5,698
− Insurance
−$1,900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,116
− Management
−$3,116
− Depreciation
−$11,052
Taxable loss
−$7,208
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,730
After-tax cash flow
$999/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamilton County
NCES district ID
4701590
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$47,456
Composite
26.8/100
National rank
#7122
State rank
#42 of 139 in TN

Livability — Chattanooga

Score
78/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#2582

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hamilton County · 312,777 people
City population
131,999
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
Population (ZIP)
42,093
Household income
$97,399
Rent vs Own
24.8% rent · 75.2% own
Severe rent burden
884.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
393,784 people
By 2030
412,983 · +4.9%
By 2040
449,502 · +14.1%
By 2050
484,341 · +23.0%
By 2075
565,746 · +43.7%
By 2100
618,394 · +57.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.23%
Current HPI
247.6005
Rent YoY
▼ -0.79%
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $379,900 GCAR
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $2,500 GCAR
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $389,900 GCAR
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $2,600 GCAR
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $399,900 GCAR
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $449,900 GCAR
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $2,700 GCAR
  • 2026-01-03 Listed for Rent $2,800 GCAR
  • 2025-10-10 Price Changed $459,900 GCAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…