106 S Fostoria Ave · Springfield, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity on this 3 bedroom with detached garage and large back yard. Convenient location and large rooms. Upper level has 3 bedrooms and basement has plenty of storage. This is a Fannie Mae Homepath Property.
Key facts
- Charming porch
- Generous lot
- Welcoming deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Detached one-car garage
- Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding exterior
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Residential zoning
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 3 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating with natural gas
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($215/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (15.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $127k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.8% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Springfield City School District (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #616 of 656 in OH (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $31k; list at $150k implies a 384% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.51%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $148,930
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- 0.72%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 Willis Ave | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,042 (-2%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $163 | 86 |
| 106 Cottage Pl | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,056 (-1%) | 1mo | $164,900 | $156 | 80 |
| 2817 Hillside Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (-4%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $195 | 70 |
| 127 Bellevue Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-2%) | 7mo | $129,900 | $125 | 68 |
| 532 Gruen Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,041 (-2%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $149 | 66 |
| 2434 Irwin Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-5%) | 4mo | $107,500 | $107 | 61 |
| 2804 Lowman St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-10%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $135 | 60 |
| 262 Raffensperger Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,148 (+8%) | 4mo | $54,500 | $47 | 56 |
| 415 Belleaire Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+8%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $135 | 51 |
| 133 N Arlington Ave | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-5%) | 6mo | $162,000 | $161 | 49 |
| 419 Bellevue Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-12%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $160 | 45 |
| 2136 Hillside Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-12%) | 7mo | $75,500 | $81 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-23,177
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-18,761
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45505
- Home prices YoY
- -34.3%
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,272 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $18
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 N Belmont Ave Unit 1 Springfield, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 1d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 515 Ludlow Ave Springfield, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 190 Skyway Dr Springfield, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1460 | $2,200 | $1.51 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $150,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$150,000 Active 832-char remark
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2019-12-27soldstatus $31,000 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Great opportunity on this 3 bedroom with detached garage and large back yard. Convenient location and large rooms. Upper level has 3 bedrooms and basement has plenty of storage. This is a Fannie Mae Homepath Property.
-
2019-10-02$34,900 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Great opportunity on this 3 bedroom with detached garage and large back yard. Convenient location and large rooms. Upper level has 3 bedrooms and basement has plenty of storage. This is a Fannie Mae Homepath Property.
-
2007-04-11soldstatus $65,000
-
2007-03-09soldstatus $65,000
Show marketing remark (260 chars)
New roof, furnace, central air, water heater, plumbing, microwave, carpet, vinyl & freshly painted inside and out! Other amenities include: living room with decorative fireplace & open staircase, full basement, 1 car garage, front porch and 3 bedrooms.
-
2007-01-23$69,000
Show marketing remark (260 chars)
New roof, furnace, central air, water heater, plumbing, microwave, carpet, vinyl & freshly painted inside and out! Other amenities include: living room with decorative fireplace & open staircase, full basement, 1 car garage, front porch and 3 bedrooms.
-
1990-11-28soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,650 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,995 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- +$345/yr (+$29/mo · 20.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,258
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,221
- − Management
- −$1,221
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$2,349
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$564
- After-tax cash flow
- $779/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904481
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,541
- Composite
- 19.12/100
- National rank
- #8834
- State rank
- #616 of 656 in OH
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1108
- US rank
- #22551
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, OH
- County
- Clark County · 33,261 people
- City population
- 33,261
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,826
- Household income
- $43,819
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 950.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,703 people
- By 2030
- 126,952 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 118,344 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 109,590 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 89,464 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 68,810 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% German 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.16%
- Current HPI
- 258.9037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+368.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $150,000 Dayton MLS
- 2019-12-27 Sold (MLS) $31,000 WRIST
- 2019-10-02 Listed $34,900 WRIST
- 2007-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-09 Sold (MLS) $65,000 WRIST
- 2007-01-23 Listed $69,000 WRIST
- 1990-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,650 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…