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106 S Fostoria Ave
D- Composite 38.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.2/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

106 S Fostoria Ave · Springfield, OH 45505
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1923 6,474 sqft lot $141/sqft · at area comps Est $149k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity on this 3 bedroom with detached garage and large back yard. Convenient location and large rooms. Upper level has 3 bedrooms and basement has plenty of storage. This is a Fannie Mae Homepath Property.

Key facts

  • Charming porch
  • Generous lot
  • Welcoming deck

Tags

WELCOMING DECKCHARMING PORCHGENEROUS LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached one-car garage
  • Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding exterior
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Residential zoning

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 3 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating with natural gas
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($215/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (15.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.8% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Springfield City School District (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #616 of 656 in OH (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $31k; list at $150k implies a 384% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $127,153 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.51%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$148,930
List price
$150,000
Delta
0.72%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
121 Willis Ave 0.07mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,042 (-2%) 3mo $169,900 $163 86
106 Cottage Pl 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,056 (-1%) 1mo $164,900 $156 80
2817 Hillside Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,024 (-4%) 4mo $199,900 $195 70
127 Bellevue Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-2%) 7mo $129,900 $125 68
532 Gruen Dr 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,041 (-2%) 6mo $155,000 $149 66
2434 Irwin Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-5%) 4mo $107,500 $107 61
2804 Lowman St 0.48mi 3/1.0 960 (-10%) 2mo $130,000 $135 60
262 Raffensperger Ave 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,148 (+8%) 4mo $54,500 $47 56
415 Belleaire Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+8%) 8mo $155,000 $135 51
133 N Arlington Ave 0.69mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-5%) 6mo $162,000 $161 49
419 Bellevue Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-12%) 3mo $149,900 $160 45
2136 Hillside Ave 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-12%) 7mo $75,500 $81 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.5%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-23,177
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-18,761
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45505

Home prices YoY
-34.3%
Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,272 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$18

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,249
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
127 N Belmont Ave Unit 1 Springfield, OH 2.0 1.0 1052 $1,050 $1.00 1d 1 0.80mi
515 Ludlow Ave Springfield, OH 3.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 1.11mi
190 Skyway Dr Springfield, OH 3.0 2.5 1460 $2,200 $1.51 3d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $150,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $150,000 Active 832-char remark
  17. 2019-12-27
    soldstatus $31,000 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    Great opportunity on this 3 bedroom with detached garage and large back yard. Convenient location and large rooms. Upper level has 3 bedrooms and basement has plenty of storage. This is a Fannie Mae Homepath Property.

  18. 2019-10-02
    listed $34,900 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    Great opportunity on this 3 bedroom with detached garage and large back yard. Convenient location and large rooms. Upper level has 3 bedrooms and basement has plenty of storage. This is a Fannie Mae Homepath Property.

  19. 2007-04-11
    soldstatus $65,000
  20. 2007-03-09
    soldstatus $65,000
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    New roof, furnace, central air, water heater, plumbing, microwave, carpet, vinyl & freshly painted inside and out! Other amenities include: living room with decorative fireplace & open staircase, full basement, 1 car garage, front porch and 3 bedrooms.

  21. 2007-01-23
    listed $69,000
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    New roof, furnace, central air, water heater, plumbing, microwave, carpet, vinyl & freshly painted inside and out! Other amenities include: living room with decorative fireplace & open staircase, full basement, 1 car garage, front porch and 3 bedrooms.

  22. 1990-11-28
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,650 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,995 · $166/mo
Expected delta
+$345/yr (+$29/mo · 20.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,258
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,221
− Management
−$1,221
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$2,349
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$564
After-tax cash flow
$779/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield City School District
NCES district ID
3904481
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$32,541
Composite
19.12/100
National rank
#8834
State rank
#616 of 656 in OH

Livability — Springfield

Score
56/100
State rank
#1108
US rank
#22551

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, OH
County
Clark County · 33,261 people
City population
33,261
Metro
Springfield, OH
Population (ZIP)
19,826
Household income
$43,819
Rent vs Own
47.3% rent · 52.7% own
Severe rent burden
950.0

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,703 people
By 2030
126,952 · -2.9%
By 2040
118,344 · -9.5%
By 2050
109,590 · -16.2%
By 2075
89,464 · -31.6%
By 2100
68,810 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% German 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
2008→2024 swing
-27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.16%
Current HPI
258.9037
Rent YoY
Metro
Springfield, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+368.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $150,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2019-12-27 Sold (MLS) $31,000 WRIST
  • 2019-10-02 Listed $34,900 WRIST
  • 2007-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2007-03-09 Sold (MLS) $65,000 WRIST
  • 2007-01-23 Listed $69,000 WRIST
  • 1990-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,650 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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